Sion v Ajax in Europa Conference League ended 2:4. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Sion v Ajax
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Sion at 50.8% - the match finished 2:4, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Sion
X
2 · Ajax
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
56.6%
22.6%
20.8%
Home win · Sion
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
50.8%
18.7%
30.5%
Home win · Sion
✘ Missed
Data Providers
35.0%
35.0%
30.0%
Home win · Sion
✘ Missed
Final score
2:4
Away win · Ajax
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.89 on a Sion win, 3.99 on the draw and 1.76 on a Ajax win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Sion win
3.89
4.10BetVictor
25.7%
50.8%
Draw
3.99
4.35Betano
25.1%
18.7%
Ajax win
1.76
1.83Betano
56.8%
30.5%
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
1.6210Bet
63.7%
66%
Under 2.5 goals
2.33
2.411xBet
42.9%
34%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.56
1.60Betano
64.1%
65.4%
Both teams to score - No
2.28
2.321xBet
43.9%
34.7%
Updated: 20.08.2026 14:33 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Sion v Ajax
30′🟨Baltazar · Yellow card
34′⚽F. Surdez · Goal (assist: A. Kabacalman)
36′🟨Y. Regeer · Yellow card
46′🔄Y. Regeer · Substitution (off: J. Mokio)
53′⚽J. Brandt · Goal
60′⚽Marcos Leonardo · Goal
69′🟨J. Mokio · Yellow card
72′⚽I. Chouaref · Penalty
73′🔄O. Gloukh · Substitution (off: A. Ouazane)
73′🔄Marcos Leonardo · Substitution (off: T. Arokodare)
73′🔄Caio Henrique · Substitution (off: O. Wijndal)