Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest in English Premier League ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Aston Villa at 56.7% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Aston Villa X 2 · Nottingham Forest Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 49.8% 26.8% 23.3% Home win · Aston Villa ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 56.7% 19.3% 24.1% Home win · Aston Villa ✘ Missed
Final score 1:2 Away win · Nottingham Forest
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.08 on a Aston Villa win, 3.51 on the draw and 3.51 on a Nottingham Forest win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Aston Villa win 2.08 2.15 1xBet 48.1% 56.7%
Draw 3.51 3.62 1xBet 28.5% 19.3%
Nottingham Forest win 3.51 3.64 1xBet 28.5% 24.1%
Over 2.5 goals 1.93 1.99 1xBet 51.8% 61.2%
Under 2.5 goals 1.89 1.95 1xBet 52.9% 38.8%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.73 1.75 Bet365 57.8% 54.8%
Both teams to score - No 2.01 2.05 William Hill 49.8% 45.2%
Updated: 08.09.2026 23:19 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match statistics: Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

Statistic Aston Villa Nottingham Forest
Possession 61% 39%
Shots on target 2 1
Total shots 4 2
Shots off target 1 1
Blocked shots 1 0
Corners 3 0
Fouls 2 1
Yellow cards 0 0
Red cards 0 0
Saves 1 3
Passes 80 52

Line-ups: Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Z. Suzuki 6.9
  2. 3 V. Lindelöf 6.4
  3. 6 R. Barkley 6.5
  4. 7 J. McGinn 6.3
  5. 8 B. Kamara 6.6
  6. 10 E. Buendía 6.2
  7. 11 N. Jackson 6.4
  8. 14 Pau Torres 6.6
  9. 22 I. Maatsen 6.7
  10. 29 A. Wan-Bissaka 6.5
  11. 53 George Hemmings 7.0
Substitutes (9)
  1. 5 T. Mings
  2. 13 M. Ruggeri
  3. 17 A. Garnacho
  4. 18 T. Abraham
  5. 19 I. Mbaye
  6. 26 L. Bogarde
  7. 40 M. Bizot
  8. 44 J. Manzambi
  9. 47 Alysson Edward

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 O. Diomande 6.8
  2. 3 N. Williams 6.4
  3. 5 Murillo 6.2
  4. 10 M. Gibbs-White 6.6
  5. 14 D. Ndoye 6.5
  6. 19 L. Delap 6.5
  7. 21 X. Schlager 6.1
  8. 24 J. McAtee 6.6
  9. 26 M. Sels 7.9
  10. 27 D. Muñoz 6.7
  11. 34 O. Aina 6.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 6 I. Sangaré
  2. 7 C. Hudson-Odoi
  3. 8 N. Domínguez
  4. 9 C. Wood
  5. 11 Igor Jesus
  6. 12 John
  7. 15 A. Kalimuendo
  8. 22 R. Yates
  9. 25 L. Netz

Form and head-to-head: Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

Aston Villa

WDLLL

Nottingham Forest

DDLLD

Head-to-head – last 4 meetings

Aston Villa wins: 2; draws: 1; Nottingham Forest wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Aston Villa 4–0 Nottingham Forest Europa League
Nottingham Forest 1–0 Aston Villa Europa League
Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa English Premier League
Aston Villa 3–1 Nottingham Forest English Premier League

English Premier League standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 +7 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4 4 0 0 +6 12 WWWW
3 Hull City 4 2 2 0 +3 8 DDWW
4 Brighton & Hove Albion 4 2 1 1 +8 7 WDLW
5 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 +1 7 DLWW
6 Brentford 4 1 3 0 +3 6 DDDW
7 Liverpool 4 1 3 0 +2 6 DWDD
8 Everton 4 1 3 0 +2 6 DDDW
9 Ipswich Town 4 2 0 2 -3 6 WLLW
10 Newcastle United 3 1 2 0 +2 5 DWD
11 Leeds United 3 1 2 0 +1 5 DDW
12 Nottingham Forest 4 1 2 1 0 5 WDDL
13 Manchester United 4 1 1 2 0 4 LDWL
14 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 -2 4 LDWL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 -1 3 DDDL
16 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 -5 3 LWLL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4 0 2 2 -5 2 DDLL
18 Fulham 4 0 1 3 -3 1 DLLL
19 Aston Villa 4 0 1 3 -6 1 LDLL
20 Coventry City 4 0 0 4 -10 0 LLLL

Managers: Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

Unai Emery
Aston VillaManagerUnai Emery
O. Glasner
Nottingham ForestManagerO. Glasner

Match information: Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Premier League
Round
4
Venue
Villa Park
City
Birmingham
Surface
grass
Capacity
42,640