Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Nottingham Forest v Leeds United in English Premier League ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Nottingham Forest at 50.0% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Nottingham Forest X 2 · Leeds United Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 48.3% 26.4% 25.4% Home win · Nottingham Forest ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 50.0% 20.3% 29.8% Home win · Nottingham Forest ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Leeds United ✔ Correct
Final score 0:1 Away win · Leeds United
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.34 on a Nottingham Forest win, 3.29 on the draw and 3.14 on a Leeds United win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Nottingham Forest win 2.34 2.41 1xBet 42.7% 50%
Draw 3.29 3.40 BetVictor 30.4% 20.3%
Leeds United win 3.14 3.27 1xBet 31.8% 29.8%
Over 2.5 goals 2.06 2.14 1xBet 48.5% 61.7%
Under 2.5 goals 1.78 1.85 10Bet 56.2% 38.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.78 1.82 Superbet 56.2% 56.2%
Both teams to score - No 1.98 2.10 10Bet 50.5% 43.8%
Updated: 22.08.2026 14:41 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

  1. 18′O. Aina · Yellow card
  2. 32′D. Calvert-Lewin · Yellow card
  3. 52′Cunha · Yellow card
  4. 62′D. Ndoye · Substitution (off: C. Wood)
  5. 66′H. Wilson · Substitution (off: N. Okafor)
  6. 74′O. Aina · Substitution (off: L. Netz)
  7. 74′J. McAtee · Substitution (off: X. Schlager)
  8. 82′B. Aaronson · Substitution (off: S. Longstaff)
  9. 88′A. Stach · Goal
  10. 90+3′Murillo · Substitution (off: A. Kalimuendo)

Match statistics: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Statistic Nottingham Forest Leeds United
Possession 55% 45%
Shots on target 2 3
Total shots 12 11
Shots off target 8 2
Blocked shots 2 6
Corners 3 2
Fouls 15 14
Offsides 3 3
Yellow cards 2 1
Saves 2 3
Passes 392 325
Pass accuracy 78% 71%

Line-ups: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 Neco Williams 6.6
  2. 5 Murillo 7.0
  3. 6 Ibrahim Sangaré 6.6
  4. 10 Morgan Gibbs-White 6.9
  5. 11 Igor Jesus 6.9
  6. 14 Dan Ndoye 6.3
  7. 23 Jair 6.7
  8. 24 James McAtee 7.2
  9. 26 Matz Sels 6.3
  10. 31 Nikola Milenković 6.5
  11. 34 Ola Aina 6.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 Ousmane Diomande
  2. 7 Callum Hudson Odoi
  3. 8 Nicolás Domínguez
  4. 9 Chris Wood 6.3
  5. 12 John Victor
  6. 15 Arnaud Kalimuendo
  7. 21 Xaver Schlager 6.5
  8. 25 Luca Netz 6.3
  9. 44 Zach Abbott

Leeds United 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 James Trafford 7.2
  2. 2 Jayden Bogle 6.7
  3. 4 Ethan Ampadu 6.9
  4. 5 Tarik Muharemović 6.9
  5. 6 Joe Rodon 7.2
  6. 9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin 6.2
  7. 10 Harry Wilson 6.9
  8. 11 Brenden Aaronson 6.9
  9. 15 Jaka Bijol 7.2
  10. 18 Anton Stach 8.2
  11. 24 James Justin 7.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 7 Daniel James
  2. 8 Sean Longstaff 6.7
  3. 14 Lukas Nmecha
  4. 19 Noah Okafor 6.6
  5. 22 Ao Tanaka
  6. 23 Lucas Perri
  7. 30 Nico Elvedi
  8. 50 Alfie Cresswell
  9. 65 Jayden Lienou

Form and head-to-head: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Nottingham Forest

WDDLD

Leeds United

WLDDW

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Nottingham Forest wins: 0; draws: 0; Leeds United wins: 2.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Nottingham Forest 0–2 Leeds United Carabao Cup
Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham Forest English Premier League

English Premier League standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 +7 12 WWWW
2 Manchester City 4 4 0 0 +6 12 WWWW
3 Hull City 4 2 2 0 +3 8 DDWW
4 Brighton & Hove Albion 4 2 1 1 +8 7 WDLW
5 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 +1 7 DLWW
6 Brentford 4 1 3 0 +3 6 DDDW
7 Liverpool 4 1 3 0 +2 6 DWDD
8 Everton 4 1 3 0 +2 6 DDDW
9 Ipswich Town 4 2 0 2 -3 6 WLLW
10 Newcastle United 3 1 2 0 +2 5 DWD
11 Leeds United 3 1 2 0 +1 5 DDW
12 Nottingham Forest 4 1 2 1 0 5 WDDL
13 Manchester United 4 1 1 2 0 4 LDWL
14 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 -2 4 LDWL
15 AFC Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 -1 3 DDDL
16 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 -5 3 LWLL
17 Tottenham Hotspur 4 0 2 2 -5 2 DDLL
18 Fulham 4 0 1 3 -3 1 DLLL
19 Aston Villa 4 0 1 3 -6 1 LDLL
20 Coventry City 4 0 0 4 -10 0 LLLL

Managers: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

O. Glasner
Nottingham ForestManagerO. Glasner
D. Farke
Leeds UnitedManagerD. Farke

Match information: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Premier League
Round
1
City
Nottingham
Surface
grass
Capacity
30,445

TV coverage: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Where to watch in Bulgaria

1 broadcast licensed for Bulgaria

  • Play Diema Xtra