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Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Carabao Cup
Nottingham Forest
0:2
Full time
Leeds United

Nottingham Forest v Leeds United in Carabao Cup ended 0:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Nottingham Forest at 41.5% - the match finished 0:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Nottingham Forest X 2 · Leeds United Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 39.0% 29.1% 31.9% Home win · Nottingham Forest ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.5% 23.6% 34.9% Home win · Nottingham Forest ✘ Missed
Data Providers 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% Away win · Leeds United ✔ Correct
Final score 0:2 Away win · Leeds United
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.20 on a Nottingham Forest win, 3.32 on the draw and 3.24 on a Leeds United win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Nottingham Forest win 2.20 2.40 10Bet 45.5% 41.5%
Draw 3.32 3.55 Dafabet 30.1% 23.6%
Leeds United win 3.24 3.38 Marathonbet 30.9% 34.9%
Over 2.5 goals 1.98 2.25 10Bet 50.5% 57.5%
Under 2.5 goals 1.82 1.87 Betfair 54.9% 42.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.76 2.00 10Bet 56.8% 55%
Both teams to score - No 1.99 2.10 Betfair 50.3% 45%
Updated: 25.08.2026 14:53 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

  1. 26′A. Tanaka · Yellow card
  2. 46′X. Schlager · Yellow card
  3. 50′D. James · Goal (assist: S. Longstaff)
  4. 60′O. Diomande · Substitution (off: Murillo)
  5. 60′Igor Jesus · Substitution (off: D. Ndoye)
  6. 60′A. Kalimuendo · Substitution (off: C. Hudson-Odoi)
  7. 61′O. Aina · Substitution (off: L. Netz)
  8. 67′S. Longstaff · Yellow card
  9. 67′S. Longstaff · Substitution (off: H. Wilson)
  10. 68′N. Okafor · Substitution (off: B. Aaronson)
  11. 68′A. Tanaka · Substitution (off: A. Stach)
  12. 71′D. James · Substitution (off: J. Bogle)
  13. 73′Cunha · Yellow card
  14. 75′J. Justin · Goal
  15. 79′Murillo · Yellow card
  16. 79′N. Williams · Substitution (off: O. Hutchinson)
  17. 83′L. Nmecha · Substitution (off: D. Calvert-Lewin)
  18. 84′N. Dominguez · Yellow card
  19. 86′E. Ampadu · Yellow card

Match statistics: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Statistic Nottingham Forest Leeds United
Possession 50% 50%
Shots on target 3 5
Total shots 9 13
Shots off target 4 6
Blocked shots 2 2
Corners 3 2
Fouls 15 11
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 4 3
Saves 3 2
Passes 427 434
Pass accuracy 76% 82%

Line-ups: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Nottingham Forest 3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 2 Ousmane Diomande 6.6
  2. 3 Neco Williams 7.0
  3. 8 Nicolás Domínguez 6.5
  4. 9 Chris Wood 6.3
  5. 11 Igor Jesus 6.2
  6. 15 Arnaud Kalimuendo 6.3
  7. 21 Xaver Schlager 6.7
  8. 23 Jair 6.2
  9. 26 Matz Sels 6.7
  10. 31 Nikola Milenković 7.2
  11. 34 Ola Aina 6.7
Substitutes (9)
  1. 5 Murillo 6.3
  2. 6 Ibrahim Sangaré
  3. 7 Callum Hudson Odoi 6.5
  4. 12 John Victor
  5. 14 Dan Ndoye 6.5
  6. 20 Omari Hutchinson 6.6
  7. 24 James McAtee
  8. 25 Luca Netz 6.7
  9. 44 Zach Abbott

Leeds United 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 James Trafford 6.6
  2. 4 Ethan Ampadu 7.3
  3. 5 Tarik Muharemović 7.2
  4. 6 Joe Rodon 6.3
  5. 7 Daniel James 7.9
  6. 8 Sean Longstaff 6.3
  7. 14 Lukas Nmecha 6.9
  8. 19 Noah Okafor 6.6
  9. 22 Ao Tanaka 6.3
  10. 24 James Justin 9.3
  11. 30 Nico Elvedi 7.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 Jayden Bogle 6.5
  2. 9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin 6.5
  3. 10 Harry Wilson 6.3
  4. 11 Brenden Aaronson 6.6
  5. 15 Jaka Bijol
  6. 18 Anton Stach 6.3
  7. 23 Lucas Perri
  8. 50 Alfie Cresswell
  9. 65 Jayden Lienou

Form and head-to-head: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Nottingham Forest

WDDLD

Leeds United

WLDDW

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Nottingham Forest wins: 0; draws: 0; Leeds United wins: 2.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds United English Premier League
Leeds United 3–1 Nottingham Forest English Premier League

Carabao Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

O. Glasner
Nottingham ForestManagerO. Glasner
D. Farke
Leeds UnitedManagerD. Farke

Match information: Nottingham Forest v Leeds United

Kick-off
·
Competition
Carabao Cup
City
Nottingham
Surface
grass
Capacity
30,445