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Athletico PR v Fluminense

Serie A
Athletico PR
3:3
Full time
Fluminense

Athletico PR v Fluminense in Serie A ended 3:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Athletico PR v Fluminense

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Athletico PR at 47.1% - the match finished 3:3, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Athletico PR X 2 · Fluminense Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 52.0% 25.1% 22.9% Home win · Athletico PR ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 47.1% 26.5% 26.4% Home win · Athletico PR ✘ Missed
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Athletico PR ✘ Missed
Final score 3:3 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.16 on a Athletico PR win, 3.14 on the draw and 3.45 on a Fluminense win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Athletico PR win 2.16 2.24 Dafabet 46.3% 47.1%
Draw 3.14 3.30 Betano 31.8% 26.5%
Fluminense win 3.45 3.62 Pinnacle 29% 26.4%
Over 2.5 goals 2.25 2.32 Unibet 44.4% 45.1%
Under 2.5 goals 1.63 1.67 Betano 61.3% 54.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.93 1.95 William Hill 51.8% 43.6%
Both teams to score - No 1.79 1.80 10Bet 55.9% 56.4%
Updated: 27.08.2026 09:53 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Athletico PR v Fluminense

  1. 35′Leozinho · Goal (assist: S. Mendoza)
  2. 38′Hulk · Goal

Match statistics: Athletico PR v Fluminense

Statistic Athletico PR Fluminense
Possession 47% 53%
Shots on target 3 2
Total shots 7 6
Shots off target 1 2
Blocked shots 3 2
Corners 3 0
Fouls 4 3
Saves 1 2
Passes 192 225
Pass accuracy 88% 88%

Line-ups: Athletico PR v Fluminense

Athletico PR 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 4 Arthur Dias 6.2
  2. 7 Steven Mendoza 7.3
  3. 8 João Cruz 6.3
  4. 9 Kevin Viveros 6.2
  5. 14 Luiz Gustavo 6.7
  6. 16 Jádson 6.6
  7. 21 Leozinho 8.2
  8. 23 Santos 6.3
  9. 25 Dantas 6.3
  10. 29 Gastón Benavídez 6.9
  11. 33 Juan Felipe Aguirre 6.7
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 Mycael
  2. 2 Gilberto Junior
  3. 3 Léo
  4. 5 Felipinho
  5. 10 Bruno Zapelli
  6. 11 Isaac
  7. 18 Kerwin Vargas
  8. 19 Jorge Rivaldo
  9. 22 Carlos Terán
  10. 53 Dudu
  11. 63 Diogo Riquelme
  12. 70 Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno

Fluminense 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Fábio 7.0
  2. 4 Ignácio 6.2
  3. 6 Renê 6.2
  4. 7 Hulk 7.7
  5. 8 Martinelli 6.7
  6. 10 Ganso 6.9
  7. 16 Nonato 6.9
  8. 17 Agustín Canobbio 6.6
  9. 23 Guga 6.2
  10. 29 Julián Millán 6.9
  11. 30 Yeferson Soteldo 6.2
Substitutes (12)
  1. 3 Thiago Silva
  2. 11 Jefferson Savarino
  3. 13 Guilherme Arana
  4. 14 Germán Cano
  5. 19 Rodrigo Castillo
  6. 27 Marcelo Pitaluga
  7. 28 Riquelme Felipe
  8. 32 Luciano Acosta
  9. 44 Jemmes
  10. 46 Júlio Fidelis
  11. 90 Kevin Serna
  12. 94 Otávio

Form and head-to-head: Athletico PR v Fluminense

Athletico PR

DLWDW

Fluminense

LWWWD

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Palmeiras 16 10 5 1 +13 35 LWWWDDWWWW
2 Flamengo 15 9 4 2 +15 31 WWWDWWWWDD
3 Fluminense 16 9 3 4 +6 30 WWDWWWLLWL
4 São Paulo 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLLWLLWWWD
5 Athletico PR 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLWLWWWWDW
6 Bragantino 16 7 2 7 +1 23 WLLWWWWLLW
7 Bahia 15 6 5 4 +2 23 WDWDWWLWDD
8 Coritiba 16 6 5 5 +2 23 WWLWLWLDLD
9 Botafogo 15 6 3 6 +1 21 WLLLLWLWDW
10 Atlético Mineiro 16 6 3 7 -1 21 WLWLDWDLWD
11 Internacional 16 5 6 5 +3 21 DWLDLLLDWW
12 Vasco da Gama 16 5 5 6 -3 20 LLDLWDWLLD
13 Cruzeiro 16 5 5 6 -5 20 WWLWWDDLLW
14 Vitória 15 5 4 6 -4 19 WLWLLDWLDL
15 Grêmio 16 4 6 6 -2 18 DLDLLWLLWD
16 Santos 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LLLWWLDLWL
17 Corinthians 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LDWDWWLLDL
18 Remo 16 3 6 7 -8 15 LWLLLDWDLD
19 Mirassol 15 3 4 8 -6 13 DDLLLWDWLL
20 Chapecoense 15 1 6 8 -14 9 DDLLLDDWLL

Managers: Athletico PR v Fluminense

Joao Correia
Athletico PRManagerJoao Correia
Marcao
FluminenseManagerMarcao

Match information: Athletico PR v Fluminense

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
25
City
Curitiba
Surface
grass
Capacity
43,000