Cruzeiro v Athletico PR in Serie A ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Cruzeiro v Athletico PR
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Cruzeiro at 41.5% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Cruzeiro
X
2 · Athletico PR
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
42.3%
27.8%
30.0%
Home win · Cruzeiro
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
41.5%
26.0%
32.5%
Home win · Cruzeiro
✔ Correct
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Athletico PR
✘ Missed
Final score
3:1
Home win · Cruzeiro
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.82 on a Cruzeiro win, 3.63 on the draw and 4.22 on a Athletico PR win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Cruzeiro win
1.82
1.86Pinnacle
54.9%
41.5%
Draw
3.63
3.761xBet
27.5%
26%
Athletico PR win
4.22
4.49Pinnacle
23.7%
32.5%
Over 2.5 goals
1.87
1.93Pinnacle
53.5%
50.9%
Under 2.5 goals
1.92
1.96Pinnacle
52.1%
49.1%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.76
1.80Bet365
56.8%
54.4%
Both teams to score - No
1.96
2.00BetVictor
51%
45.6%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:22 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Cruzeiro v Athletico PR
30′⚽Matheus Pereira · Goal (assist: Gerson)
33′🟨Gabriel Rojas · Yellow card
45+1′⚽João Victor Machado Cruz · Goal
45+8′✖Matheus Pereira · Penalty missed
45′🔄Gabriel Rojas · Substitution (off: Lucas Villalba)
45′🔄Arthur Dias · Substitution (off: Lucas Esquivel)
45′🔄Jadson Alves dos Santos · Substitution (off: Juan Portilla)