LigaToday
Profile

Atlético Mineiro v Fluminense

Serie A
Atlético Mineiro
3:1
Full time
Fluminense

Atlético Mineiro v Fluminense in Serie A ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Atlético Mineiro v Fluminense

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Atlético Mineiro at 48.0% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Atlético Mineiro X 2 · Fluminense Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 49.0% 25.6% 25.4% Home win · Atlético Mineiro ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 48.0% 24.8% 27.2% Home win · Atlético Mineiro ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Fluminense ✘ Missed
Final score 3:1 Home win · Atlético Mineiro
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.22 on a Atlético Mineiro win, 3.19 on the draw and 3.30 on a Fluminense win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Atlético Mineiro win 2.22 2.25 Bet365 45% 48%
Draw 3.19 3.29 1xBet 31.3% 24.8%
Fluminense win 3.30 3.47 Pinnacle 30.3% 27.2%
Over 2.5 goals 2.20 2.25 Bet365 45.5% 43.3%
Under 2.5 goals 1.65 1.68 1xBet 60.6% 56.7%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.91 1.95 William Hill 52.4% 48.2%
Both teams to score - No 1.81 1.83 1xBet 55.2% 51.8%
Updated: 09.09.2026 23:25 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Atlético Mineiro v Fluminense

  1. 19′Alan Franco · Yellow card
  2. 52′Otávio Henrique Passos Santos · Yellow card
  3. 61′Luciano Acosta · Substitution (off: Hércules Pereira do Nascimento)
  4. 61′Agustín Canobbio · Substitution (off: Kevin Serna)
  5. 61′Reinier Jesus Carvalho · Goal (assist: Tomás Cuello)
  6. 63′Tomás Cuello · Goal
  7. 65′Alan Franco · Substitution (off: Maycon de Andrade Barberan)
  8. 65′Kevin Castaño · Substitution (off: Mamady Cisse)
  9. 69′Rodrigo Castillo · Yellow card
  10. 70′Tomás Cuello · Substitution (off: Igor Gomes)
  11. 70′Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte · Substitution (off: Gustavo Scarpa)
  12. 72′Otávio Henrique Passos Santos · Substitution (off: Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima)
  13. 72′Jefferson David Savarino Quintero · Substitution (off: Riquelme Felipe·Silva de Almeida)
  14. 78′Reinier Jesus Carvalho · Substitution (off: Mateo Cassierra)
  15. 81′Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira · Goal (assist: Mateo Cassierra)
  16. 90′Rodrigo Castillo · Goal (assist: Kevin Serna)
  17. 90+1′Julio César Lima Fidelis · Substitution (off: Jemmes Bruno Ribeiro Da Silva)

Match statistics: Atlético Mineiro v Fluminense

Statistic Atlético Mineiro Fluminense
Possession 48% 52%
Shots on target 7 3
Total shots 15 9
Shots off target 3 5
Blocked shots 5 1
Corners 5 2
Fouls 8 11
Offsides 2 0
Yellow cards 1 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 5
Passes 495 536

Line-ups: Atlético Mineiro v Fluminense

Atlético Mineiro 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Gabriel Delfim 6.8
  2. 2 Natanael 7.2
  3. 7 Fred 7.0
  4. 11 Bernard 6.3
  5. 14 Vitor Hugo 6.9
  6. 15 K. Castaño 7.1
  7. 19 Reinier 8.2
  8. 21 A. Franco 6.5
  9. 28 T. Cuello 9.0
  10. 36 K. Pascini 6.6
  11. 40 Vitão 7.5
Substitutes (12)
  1. 5 Alexsander
  2. 6 Renan Lodi
  3. 8 Maycon 6.4
  4. 9 M. Cassierra 7.0
  5. 10 Gustavo Scarpa 6.9
  6. 13 Lyanco
  7. 17 Igor Gomes 6.6
  8. 23 A. Preciado
  9. 27 A. Minda
  10. 31 Robert
  11. 39 Mamady Cisse 6.6
  12. 92 Dudu

Fluminense 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 Fábio 6.9
  2. 11 J. Savarino 6.4
  3. 13 Guilherme Arana 6.7
  4. 16 Nonato 6.5
  5. 17 A. Canobbio 5.9
  6. 19 R. Castillo 7.8
  7. 21 Igor Rabello 6.7
  8. 22 J. Freytes 7.0
  9. 32 L. Acosta 6.0
  10. 46 Julio Fidelis 6.2
  11. 94 Otávio 6.4
Substitutes (10)
  1. 6 Renê
  2. 8 Martinelli
  3. 10 PH Ganso 6.1
  4. 28 Riquelme 6.8
  5. 29 J. Millán
  6. 34 Wesley Nata
  7. 35 Hércules 6.3
  8. 44 Jemmes
  9. 90 K. Serna 6.6
  10. 98 Vitor Eudes

Form and head-to-head: Atlético Mineiro v Fluminense

Atlético Mineiro

LWWDD

Fluminense

WWDWD

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Palmeiras 27 16 8 3 +26 56 WDDWL
2 Flamengo 26 16 6 4 +30 54 WWWLW
3 Athletico PR 27 13 7 7 +10 46 DLDWD
4 Fluminense 27 12 9 6 +6 45 LWDWW
5 Bahia 26 11 10 5 +8 43 WWWDD
6 Cruzeiro 27 12 6 9 0 42 LWLWW
7 Atlético Mineiro 26 11 6 9 +4 39 WLWDW
8 Coritiba 27 10 8 9 -1 38 DLWWD
9 Bragantino 26 10 6 10 +3 36 DLLWD
10 Santos 26 9 8 9 0 35 WWWDW
11 São Paulo 26 9 6 11 +1 33 LWWLD
12 Vitória 27 9 6 12 -12 33 DWLLW
13 Corinthians 26 8 8 10 0 32 LLLLW
14 Botafogo 26 8 8 10 -3 32 DDLLL
15 Mirassol 27 7 8 12 -11 29 DWLDD
16 Grêmio 26 7 7 12 -7 28 LLWLL
17 Vasco da Gama 26 7 7 12 -12 28 WLWLL
18 Internacional 27 6 10 11 -5 28 WLLDD
19 Remo 26 5 8 13 -13 23 LLLDD
20 Chapecoense 26 3 8 15 -24 17 LWLWD

Managers: Atlético Mineiro v Fluminense

E. Domínguez
Atlético MineiroManagerE. Domínguez
Marcao
FluminenseManagerMarcao

Match information: Atlético Mineiro v Fluminense

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
Regular Season – 27
Venue
Arena MRV
Surface
grass
Capacity
44,892