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Atlético Mineiro v Vitória

Serie A
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
Full time
Vitória

Atlético Mineiro v Vitória in Serie A ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Atlético Mineiro v Vitória

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Atlético Mineiro at 60.6% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Atlético Mineiro X 2 · Vitória Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 57.5% 24.1% 18.4% Home win · Atlético Mineiro ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 60.6% 21.1% 18.3% Home win · Atlético Mineiro ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Atlético Mineiro ✔ Correct
Final score 2:1 Home win · Atlético Mineiro
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.78 on a Atlético Mineiro win, 3.47 on the draw and 4.64 on a Vitória win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Atlético Mineiro win 1.78 1.85 Betano 56.2% 60.6%
Draw 3.47 3.60 10Bet 28.8% 21.1%
Vitória win 4.64 4.97 Pinnacle 21.6% 18.3%
Over 2.5 goals 2.05 2.12 Unibet 48.8% 47.5%
Under 2.5 goals 1.76 1.80 10Bet 56.8% 52.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.90 1.95 Bet365 52.6% 49.5%
Both teams to score - No 1.82 1.90 Betfair 54.9% 50.6%
Updated: 29.08.2026 22:06 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Atlético Mineiro v Vitória

  1. 25′T. Borbas · Goal (assist: Reinier)
  2. 35′D. Tarzia · Yellow card
  3. 44′A. Preciado · Yellow card
  4. 46′E. Britez · Substitution (off: Matheusinho)
  5. 59′M. Cisse · Yellow card
  6. 60′T. Borbas · Substitution (off: Gustavo Scarpa)
  7. 63′Reinier · Goal
  8. 69′Emmanuel Martinez · Substitution (off: Erick)
  9. 69′D. Tarzia · Substitution (off: Matheuzinho)
  10. 69′Alex Bruno · Substitution (off: Rene)
  11. 75′A. Minda · Substitution (off: Dudu)
  12. 81′Caique Goncalves · Substitution (off: Walace)
  13. 87′Erick · Goal
  14. 90′Reinier · Substitution (off: Caua)
  15. 90′Alexsander · Substitution (off: Vitor Hugo)

Match statistics: Atlético Mineiro v Vitória

Statistic Atlético Mineiro Vitória
Possession 61% 39%
Shots on target 8 2
Total shots 18 13
Shots off target 6 4
Blocked shots 4 7
Corners 4 4
Fouls 12 11
Offsides 2 0
Yellow cards 2 1
Saves 1 6
Passes 624 379
Pass accuracy 91% 83%

Line-ups: Atlético Mineiro v Vitória

Atlético Mineiro 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Gabriel Delfim 6.3
  2. 2 Natanael 6.6
  3. 5 Alexsander 7.2
  4. 18 Thiago Borbas 7.0
  5. 19 Reinier 8.6
  6. 23 Ángelo Preciado 7.2
  7. 25 Tomás Pérez 7.3
  8. 27 Alan Minda 6.7
  9. 36 Kauã Pascini 6.5
  10. 39 Mamady Cissé 7.0
  11. 40 Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira 7.2
Substitutes (12)
  1. 6 Renan Lodi
  2. 9 Mateo Cassierra
  3. 10 Gustavo Scarpa 6.7
  4. 14 Vitor Hugo
  5. 15 Kevin Castaño
  6. 21 Alan Franco
  7. 28 Tomás Cuello
  8. 29 Cauã Campos Soares
  9. 31 Robert Alves
  10. 48 Gutte
  11. 53 Pedro Tocantins
  12. 92 Dudu 6.7

Vitória 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Lucas Arcanjo 7.2
  2. 2 Emanuel Brítez 6.3
  3. 6 Emmanuel Martínez 6.3
  4. 7 Marinho 6.9
  5. 8 Tomás Pochettino 6.7
  6. 9 Alex Bruno 6.3
  7. 12 Diego Tarzia 6.0
  8. 25 Cacá 7.3
  9. 36 Luan Cândido 6.3
  10. 83 Jamerson 6.2
  11. 95 Caique Gonçalves 6.2
Substitutes (12)
  1. 10 Matheuzinho 6.9
  2. 11 Osvaldo
  3. 13 Ramon
  4. 15 Walace 6.5
  5. 23 Fabrício Santos
  6. 26 Edenilson
  7. 33 Erick 7.9
  8. 71 Yuri Sena
  9. 79 Renato Kayzer
  10. 88 Zé Vitor
  11. 91 Renê Sousa 6.3
  12. 98 Mateusinho 6.9

Form and head-to-head: Atlético Mineiro v Vitória

Atlético Mineiro

WLWDD

Vitória

DWLLL

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Palmeiras 16 10 5 1 +13 35 LWWWDDWWWW
2 Flamengo 15 9 4 2 +15 31 WWWDWWWWDD
3 Fluminense 16 9 3 4 +6 30 WWDWWWLLWL
4 São Paulo 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLLWLLWWWD
5 Athletico PR 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLWLWWWWDW
6 Bragantino 16 7 2 7 +1 23 WLLWWWWLLW
7 Bahia 15 6 5 4 +2 23 WDWDWWLWDD
8 Coritiba 16 6 5 5 +2 23 WWLWLWLDLD
9 Botafogo 15 6 3 6 +1 21 WLLLLWLWDW
10 Atlético Mineiro 16 6 3 7 -1 21 WLWLDWDLWD
11 Internacional 16 5 6 5 +3 21 DWLDLLLDWW
12 Vasco da Gama 16 5 5 6 -3 20 LLDLWDWLLD
13 Cruzeiro 16 5 5 6 -5 20 WWLWWDDLLW
14 Vitória 15 5 4 6 -4 19 WLWLLDWLDL
15 Grêmio 16 4 6 6 -2 18 DLDLLWLLWD
16 Santos 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LLLWWLDLWL
17 Corinthians 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LDWDWWLLDL
18 Remo 16 3 6 7 -8 15 LWLLLDWDLD
19 Mirassol 15 3 4 8 -6 13 DDLLLWDWLL
20 Chapecoense 15 1 6 8 -14 9 DDLLLDDWLL

Managers: Atlético Mineiro v Vitória

Eduardo Dominguez
Atlético MineiroManagerEduardo Dominguez
Ventura Jair
VitóriaManagerVentura Jair

Match information: Atlético Mineiro v Vitória

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
25
Venue
Arena MRV
Surface
grass
Capacity
44,892