Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion in English Premier League ended 4:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Brighton & Hove Albion at 43.2% - the match finished 4:3, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Chelsea
X
2 · Brighton & Hove Albion
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
48.4%
26.1%
25.5%
Home win · Chelsea
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
33.4%
23.5%
43.2%
Away win · Brighton & Hove Albion
✘ Missed
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Brighton & Hove Albion
✘ Missed
Final score
4:3
Home win · Chelsea
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.91 on a Chelsea win, 3.81 on the draw and 3.84 on a Brighton & Hove Albion win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Chelsea win
1.91
1.971xBet
52.4%
33.4%
Draw
3.81
4.00Dafabet
26.2%
23.5%
Brighton & Hove Albion win
3.84
4.10Dafabet
26%
43.2%
Over 2.5 goals
1.64
1.691xBet
61%
54.4%
Under 2.5 goals
2.28
2.361xBet
43.9%
45.6%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.57
1.62Bet365
63.7%
48.1%
Both teams to score - No
2.32
2.50Betfair
43.1%
51.9%
Updated: 30.08.2026 10:09 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion
4′⚽R. Lavia · Goal
14′⚽P. Neto · Goal (assist: M. Rogers)
32′⚽Joao Pedro · Goal (assist: J. Hato)
35′⚽M. Yalcouye · Goal
55′🟨W. Fofana · Yellow card
Match statistics: Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion
Statistic
Chelsea
Brighton & Hove Albion
Possession
28%
72%
Shots on target
5
3
Total shots
13
8
Shots off target
3
4
Blocked shots
5
1
Corners
3
4
Fouls
4
7
Yellow cards
1
0
Saves
2
1
Passes
151
388
Pass accuracy
72%
88%
Line-ups: Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion
Chelsea 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
3 Wesley Fofana 6.9
5 Maxence Lacroix 6.5
6 Levi Colwill 6.2
7 Pedro Neto 8.2
9 João Pedro 7.9
10 Cole Palmer 6.3
17 Morgan Rogers 8.2
21 Jorrel Hato 7.2
26 Emiliano Martínez 8.3
27 Malo Gusto 6.5
45 Roméo Lavia 7.3
Substitutes (9)
4 Valentín Barco
11 Jamie Gittens
18 Danny Welbeck
24 Reece James
25 Moisés Caicedo
29 Pep Chavarría
34 Josh Acheampong
39 Mike Penders
41 Estêvão
Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 Bart Verbruggen 5.2
5 Lewis Dunk 6.3
13 Pascal Groß 6.2
19 Charalampos Kostoulas 6.3
21 Olivier Boscagli 6.9
24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu 5.6
25 Diego Gómez 6.2
27 Mats Wieffer 7.7
29 Maxim De Cuyper 6.2
35 Malick Yalcouyé 7.7
44 Luka Vušković 6.5
Substitutes (9)
4 Pascal Struijk
6 Jaouen Hadjam
12 Promise David
15 Ibrahim Osman
20 Costinha
22 Amario Cozier-Duberry
23 Jason Steele
33 Matt O'Riley
49 Nehemiah Oriola
Form and head-to-head: Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion
