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Chelsea v Luton Town

Carabao Cup
Chelsea
2:0
Full time
Luton Town

Chelsea v Luton Town in Carabao Cup ended 2:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Chelsea v Luton Town

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Chelsea at 48.9% - the match finished 2:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Chelsea X 2 · Luton Town Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 34.7% 26.0% 39.3% Away win · Luton Town ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 48.9% 20.7% 30.5% Home win · Chelsea ✔ Correct
Data Providers 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% Home win · Chelsea ✔ Correct
Final score 2:0 Home win · Chelsea
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.15 on a Chelsea win, 8.18 on the draw and 16.23 on a Luton Town win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Chelsea win 1.15 1.19 Betano 87% 48.9%
Draw 8.18 9.00 Unibet 12.2% 20.7%
Luton Town win 16.23 18.00 Unibet 6.2% 30.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.33 1.36 Betfair 75.2% 73.1%
Under 2.5 goals 3.18 3.50 Bet365 31.4% 26.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 2.01 2.15 Betfair 49.8% 64.8%
Both teams to score - No 1.74 1.80 William Hill 57.5% 35.2%
Updated: 27.08.2026 15:54 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Chelsea v Luton Town

  1. 46′G. Kodua · Substitution (off: J. Richards)
  2. 50′D. Welbeck · Goal (assist: M. Gusto)
  3. 56′J. Johnson · Yellow card
  4. 61′E. Lawrence · Substitution (off: H. Fox)
  5. 61′B. Benagr · Substitution (off: I. Jones)
  6. 67′R. James · Substitution (off: P. Neto)
  7. 67′M. Gusto · Substitution (off: J. Hato)
  8. 68′M. Rogers · Substitution (off: R. Lavia)
  9. 73′D. Welbeck · Substitution (off: Joao Pedro)
  10. 78′C. Marshall · Substitution (off: N. Wells)
  11. 78′K. Palmer · Substitution (off: D. Cole)
  12. 79′H. Odoffin · Own goal
  13. 80′Estevao · Substitution (off: J. Gittens)

Match statistics: Chelsea v Luton Town

Statistic Chelsea Luton Town
Possession 67% 33%
Shots on target 5 1
Total shots 23 6
Shots off target 10 4
Blocked shots 8 1
Corners 9 2
Fouls 11 6
Offsides 2 0
Yellow cards 0 1
Saves 1 5
Passes 683 334
Pass accuracy 92% 81%

Form and head-to-head: Chelsea v Luton Town

Chelsea

DWLWW

Luton Town

LDWLD

Carabao Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Chelsea v Luton Town

X. Alonso Olano
ChelseaManagerX. Alonso Olano
J. Wilshere
Luton TownManagerJ. Wilshere

Match information: Chelsea v Luton Town

Kick-off
·
Competition
Carabao Cup
City
London
Surface
grass
Capacity
40,341