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Chelsea v Leeds United

Carabao Cup
Chelsea
6:3
Full time
Leeds United

Chelsea v Leeds United in Carabao Cup ended 6:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Chelsea v Leeds United

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Chelsea at 50.0% - the match finished 6:3, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Chelsea X 2 · Leeds United Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 38.8% 26.0% 35.3% Home win · Chelsea ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 50.0% 21.2% 28.8% Home win · Chelsea ✔ Correct
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Chelsea ✔ Correct
Final score 6:3 Home win · Chelsea
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.65 on a Chelsea win, 3.99 on the draw and 4.81 on a Leeds United win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Chelsea win 1.65 1.69 1xBet 60.6% 50%
Draw 3.99 4.15 Marathonbet 25.1% 21.2%
Leeds United win 4.81 5.05 Marathonbet 20.8% 28.8%
Over 2.5 goals 1.69 1.71 Marathonbet 59.2% 55.7%
Under 2.5 goals 2.14 2.17 Marathonbet 46.7% 44.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.68 1.70 Bet365 59.5% 55.3%
Both teams to score - No 2.08 2.10 William Hill 48.1% 44.7%
Updated: 07.09.2026 04:55 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Chelsea v Leeds United

  1. 23′Tarik Muharemovic · Goal (assist: Harry Wilson)
  2. 45+1′Reggie Watson · Yellow card
  3. 45′Reggie Watson · Substitution (off: Reece James)
  4. 45′Malo Gusto · Substitution (off: Morgan Rogers)
  5. 45′Jamie Gittens · Substitution (off: Cole Palmer)
  6. 45′Estêvão Willian Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves · Substitution (off: Pedro Neto)
  7. 48′Brenden Aaronson · Goal (assist: Lukas Nmecha)
  8. 53′Cole Palmer · Penalty
  9. 55′Cole Palmer · Goal (assist: Morgan Rogers)
  10. 60′Pedro Neto · Goal (assist: Morgan Rogers)
  11. 65′Danny Welbeck · Goal (assist: Morgan Rogers)
  12. 66′Daniel James · Substitution (off: Anton Stach)
  13. 66′Lukas Nmecha · Substitution (off: Dominic Calvert-Lewin)
  14. 67′Brenden Aaronson · Substitution (off: Noah Okafor)
  15. 67′Sean Longstaff · Substitution (off: Ao Tanaka)
  16. 75′Dominic Calvert-Lewin · Goal (assist: Noah Okafor)
  17. 76′Levi Colwill · Substitution (off: Wesley Fofana)
  18. 78′Melvin Bard · Substitution (off: Gabriel Gudmundsson)
  19. 80′Valentin Barco · Goal
  20. 82′Xabier Alonso Olano · Yellow card

Match statistics: Chelsea v Leeds United

Statistic Chelsea Leeds United
Possession 49% 51%
Shots on target 7 6
Total shots 13 18
Shots off target 3 3
Blocked shots 3 9
Corners 3 5
Fouls 6 10
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 1 0
Red cards 0 0
Saves 3 2
Passes 459 466

Line-ups: Chelsea v Leeds United

Chelsea 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 4 V. Barco 8.0
  2. 5 M. Lacroix 6.2
  3. 6 L. Colwill 6.4
  4. 11 J. Bynoe-Gittens 6.3
  5. 18 D. Welbeck 7.7
  6. 27 M. Gusto 5.4
  7. 29 Pep Chavarría 6.1
  8. 31 R. Watson 6.2
  9. 34 Joshua Kofi Acheampong 6.6
  10. 39 M. Penders 5.8
  11. 41 Estêvão 5.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 E. Martínez
  2. 3 W. Fofana 5.9
  3. 7 Pedro Neto 7.8
  4. 9 João Pedro
  5. 10 C. Palmer 8.2
  6. 17 M. Rogers 8.1
  7. 21 J. Hato
  8. 23 Geovany Tcherno Quenda
  9. 24 R. James 6.0

Leeds United 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 4 E. Ampadu 6.1
  2. 5 T. Muharemović 7.6
  3. 7 D. James 6.0
  4. 8 S. Longstaff 6.3
  5. 10 H. Wilson 6.5
  6. 11 B. Aaronson 7.1
  7. 14 L. Nmecha 6.6
  8. 15 J. Bijol 6.6
  9. 16 M. Zetterer 5.6
  10. 24 J. Justin 5.5
  11. 26 M. Bard 6.4
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 J. Trafford
  2. 2 J. Bogle
  3. 3 G. Gudmundsson 5.7
  4. 9 D. Calvert-Lewin 7.5
  5. 18 A. Stach 6.2
  6. 19 N. Okafor 6.8
  7. 22 A. Tanaka 5.7
  8. 23 J. Bahoya
  9. 30 N. Elvedi

Form and head-to-head: Chelsea v Leeds United

Chelsea

DLWWW

Leeds United

WDDWW

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Chelsea wins: 0; draws: 1; Leeds United wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Chelsea 2–2 Leeds United English Premier League

Carabao Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Chelsea v Leeds United

Xabi Alonso
ChelseaManagerXabi Alonso
D. Farke
Leeds UnitedManagerD. Farke

Match information: Chelsea v Leeds United

Kick-off
·
Competition
Carabao Cup
Round
Round of 32
City
London
Surface
grass
Capacity
40,341