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Club Queretaro v Toluca

Liga MX
Club Queretaro
1:2
Full time
Toluca

Club Queretaro v Toluca in Liga MX ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Club Queretaro v Toluca

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Club Queretaro at 40.3% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Club Queretaro X 2 · Toluca Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 44.2% 26.1% 29.7% Home win · Club Queretaro ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 40.3% 26.2% 33.6% Home win · Club Queretaro ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Toluca ✔ Correct
Final score 1:2 Away win · Toluca
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.73 on a Club Queretaro win, 3.73 on the draw and 1.86 on a Toluca win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Club Queretaro win 3.73 3.95 Betano 26.8% 40.3%
Draw 3.73 3.97 Pinnacle 26.8% 26.2%
Toluca win 1.86 1.93 Pinnacle 53.8% 33.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.59 1.65 Bet365 62.9% 47.4%
Under 2.5 goals 2.27 2.35 10Bet 44.1% 52.6%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.54 1.57 Betfair 64.9% 53.3%
Both teams to score - No 2.33 2.38 Betfair 42.9% 46.7%
Updated: 22.08.2026 02:39 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Club Queretaro v Toluca

  1. 19′A. Vega · Yellow card
  2. 31′D. Barbosa · Red card
  3. 45+5′F. Arce · Yellow card
  4. 45+6′A. Avila · Penalty missed
  5. 46′A. Vega · Substitution (off: N. Castro)
  6. 46′F. Arce · Substitution (off: B. A. Garcia Caprizo)

Form and head-to-head: Club Queretaro v Toluca

Club Queretaro

WWDWW
  • AClub Tijuana1–0W
  • AAtlas3–1W
  • AU.N.A.M. – Pumas0–0D
  • HTigres UANL3–2W
  • ACF Pachuca2–1W

Toluca

WWDWL
  • HAtlas5–2W
  • HFC Juarez4–0W
  • AAtlante FC0–0D
  • HNecaxa3–1W
  • HU.N.A.M. – Pumas1–2L

Liga MX standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Guadalajara Chivas 8 5 2 1 +9 17 WWDWW
2 Toluca 7 5 1 1 +11 16 WWWDW
3 Club America 7 5 1 1 +9 16 LWWWW
4 Cruz Azul 8 5 0 3 +2 15 WWWLL
5 Club Queretaro 7 4 1 2 +3 13 WWLDW
6 Leon 8 4 1 3 +2 13 WLDWW
7 Club Tijuana 7 4 1 2 +2 13 LWLWD
8 Puebla 7 4 1 2 +1 13 WLWWD
9 Atlas 8 4 1 3 -2 13 LDLWW
10 CF Pachuca 8 3 2 3 +5 11 WWDDL
11 U.N.A.M. – Pumas 8 3 2 3 -1 11 LWLDD
12 Monterrey 7 3 1 3 +3 10 DLLWW
13 Necaxa 8 2 2 4 -4 8 LDLDL
14 Tigres UANL 8 1 4 3 -2 7 DDDWL
15 Atlante FC 8 1 4 3 -5 7 LDDLD
16 Atletico San Luis 8 1 3 4 -7 6 LLWDL
17 Santos Laguna 8 1 1 6 -7 4 WLDLL
18 FC Juarez 8 0 0 8 -19 0 LLLLL

Managers: Club Queretaro v Toluca

B. Mora
Club QueretaroManagerB. MoraMexico
R. La Volpe
TolucaManagerR. La Volpe

Match information: Club Queretaro v Toluca

Kick-off
·
Competition
Liga MX
Round
Apertura – 5