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Toluca v FC Juarez

Liga MX
Toluca
4:0
Full time
FC Juarez

Toluca v FC Juarez in Liga MX ended 4:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Toluca v FC Juarez

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Toluca at 69.0% - the match finished 4:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Toluca X 2 · FC Juarez Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.1% 26.0% 22.9% Home win · Toluca ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 69.0% 18.6% 12.4% Home win · Toluca ✔ Correct
Data Providers 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% Home win · Toluca ✔ Correct
Final score 4:0 Home win · Toluca
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.28 on a Toluca win, 5.76 on the draw and 8.60 on a FC Juarez win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Toluca win 1.28 1.32 Betano 78.1% 69%
Draw 5.76 6.10 Betano 17.4% 18.6%
FC Juarez win 8.60 10.00 Betano 11.6% 12.4%
Over 2.5 goals 1.41 1.45 Betano 70.9% 63.1%
Under 2.5 goals 2.77 3.00 10Bet 36.1% 36.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.74 1.80 Betfair 57.5% 55.1%
Both teams to score - No 1.99 2.05 10Bet 50.3% 44.9%
Updated: 30.08.2026 22:11 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Toluca v FC Juarez

  1. 10′Helinho · Goal (assist: E. del Villar)
  2. 34′J. Murillo · Own goal
  3. 35′Helinho · Yellow card
  4. 46′A. Vega · Substitution (off: N. Castro)
  5. 46′F. Pereira · Substitution (off: J. Gallardo)
  6. 58′F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin · Yellow card
  7. 65′F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin · Substitution (off: A. Mayorga)
  8. 65′Monchu · Substitution (off: Guilherme Castilho)
  9. 70′Helinho · Substitution (off: F. Vinas)
  10. 70′F. Romero · Substitution (off: F. Arce)
  11. 73′O. Virgen · Goal
  12. 74′G. Sepulveda · Substitution (off: Madson)
  13. 79′F. Vinas · Goal (assist: O. Virgen)
  14. 81′J. Rodriguez · Substitution (off: J. Sigala)
  15. 81′O. Estupinan · Substitution (off: Ricardinho)
  16. 81′O. Virgen · Substitution (off: A. Briseno)

Line-ups: Toluca v FC Juarez

Toluca 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Hugo Gonzalez
  2. 5 Franco Romero
  3. 6 Federico Pereira
  4. 7 Víctor Guzmán
  5. 9 Alexis Vega
  6. 11 Helinho
  7. 13 Luan
  8. 23 Oswaldo Virgen
  9. 25 Everardo López
  10. 29 Jorge Díaz
  11. 184 Sebastian Aceves
Substitutes (10)
  1. 3 Antonio Briseño
  2. 4 Bruno Méndez
  3. 8 Nicolás Castro
  4. 12 Ronaldo Dimas
  5. 15 Pavel Pérez
  6. 16 Federico Viñas
  7. 20 Jesús Gallardo
  8. 24 Fernando Arce Juárez
  9. 192 Luis Navarrete
  10. 198 Jose Estrada

FC Juarez 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Sebastián Jurado
  2. 2 Gilberto Sepúlveda
  3. 3 Jesús Murillo
  4. 5 Denzell Garcia
  5. 6 Monchu
  6. 10 Jairo Torres
  7. 11 José Luis Rodríguez
  8. 13 Rodrigo Dourado
  9. 19 Óscar Estupiñán
  10. 20 Javier Aquino
  11. 33 Francisco Nevarez
Substitutes (9)
  1. 4 Alejandro Mayorga
  2. 7 Raymundo Fulgencio
  3. 8 Guilherme Castilho
  4. 9 Madson de Souza Silva
  5. 16 Juan Sigala
  6. 21 Ricardinho
  7. 23 Haret Ortega
  8. 24 Benny Díaz
  9. 201 Jan Carmona

Form and head-to-head: Toluca v FC Juarez

Toluca

WWDWL
  • HAtlas5–2W
  • AClub Queretaro2–1W
  • AAtlante FC0–0D
  • HNecaxa3–1W
  • HU.N.A.M. – Pumas1–2L

FC Juarez

LLLLL

Liga MX standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Toluca 7 5 1 1 +11 16 WWWDW
2 Club America 7 5 1 1 +9 16 LWWWW
3 Cruz Azul 8 5 0 3 +2 15 WWWLL
4 Guadalajara Chivas 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WDWWD
5 Club Queretaro 7 4 1 2 +3 13 WWLDW
6 Club Tijuana 7 4 1 2 +2 13 LWLWD
7 Puebla 7 4 1 2 +1 13 WLWWD
8 Atlas 8 4 1 3 -2 13 LDLWW
9 CF Pachuca 8 3 2 3 +5 11 WWDDL
10 U.N.A.M. – Pumas 7 3 2 2 +2 11 WLDDW
11 Monterrey 7 3 1 3 +3 10 DLLWW
12 Leon 7 3 1 3 0 10 LDWWW
13 Necaxa 8 2 2 4 -4 8 LDLDL
14 Tigres UANL 8 1 4 3 -2 7 DDDWL
15 Atlante FC 8 1 4 3 -5 7 LDDLD
16 Atletico San Luis 7 1 3 3 -5 6 LWDLD
17 Santos Laguna 8 1 1 6 -7 4 WLDLL
18 FC Juarez 8 0 0 8 -19 0 LLLLL

Managers: Toluca v FC Juarez

Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
TolucaManagerRicardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
Salvador Valero
FC JuarezManagerSalvador Valero

Match information: Toluca v FC Juarez

Kick-off
·
Competition
Liga MX
Round
Apertura – 6