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Swindon Town v Colchester

English League Two
Swindon Town
3:1
Full time
Colchester

Swindon Town v Colchester in English League Two ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Swindon Town v Colchester

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Swindon Town at 41.9% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Swindon Town X 2 · Colchester Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 50.5% 26.4% 23.2% Home win · Swindon Town ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.9% 23.0% 35.1% Home win · Swindon Town ✔ Correct
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Swindon Town ✔ Correct
Final score 3:1 Home win · Swindon Town
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.54 on a Swindon Town win, 3.33 on the draw and 2.59 on a Colchester win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Swindon Town win 2.54 2.65 Dafabet 39.4% 41.9%
Draw 3.33 3.51 Pinnacle 30% 23%
Colchester win 2.59 2.70 Bet365 38.6% 35.1%
Over 2.5 goals 1.82 1.94 Unibet 54.9% 57%
Under 2.5 goals 1.94 2.02 Pinnacle 51.5% 43%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.63 1.74 Unibet 61.3% 56.9%
Both teams to score - No 2.15 2.20 Betfair 46.5% 43.1%
Updated: 04.09.2026 04:38 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Swindon Town v Colchester

  1. 13′K. Kouassi · Goal (assist: Moses Sesay)
  2. 45′Ollie Clarke · Substitution (off: Ben Middlemas)
  3. 45′Billy Kirkman · Substitution (off: Kaelan Majekodunmi)
  4. 45′antwoine hackford · Substitution (off: Louis Millard)
  5. 49′Aaron Drinan · Penalty missed
  6. 49′Aaron Drinan · Goal
  7. 54′Dan Butler · Yellow card
  8. 57′Jay Williams · Substitution (off: Samuel Kuffour Jr.)
  9. 58′Anthony Munda · Yellow card
  10. 64′Louis Millard · Substitution (off: Joseph Hungbo)
  11. 69′Oscar thorn · Substitution (off: Bradley ihionvein)
  12. 70′Moses Sesay · Substitution (off: Jaden Williams)
  13. 70′K. Kouassi · Substitution (off: Leon Chiwome)
  14. 75′Anthony Munda · Substitution (off: James Debayo)
  15. 77′Aaron Drinan · Goal
  16. 79′Aaron Drinan · Goal (assist: Jack Thomson)
  17. 80′Ellis Iandolo · Substitution (off: Frankie Terry)

Match statistics: Swindon Town v Colchester

Statistic Swindon Town Colchester
Possession 40% 60%
Shots on target 6 6
Total shots 14 18
Shots off target 2 5
Blocked shots 6 7
Corners 4 6
Fouls 8 7
Offsides 2 2
Yellow cards 2 0
Red cards 0 0
Saves 5 3
Passes 299 474

Line-ups: Swindon Town v Colchester

Swindon Town 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 C. Ripley 6.8
  2. 2 M. Clark 5.9
  3. 5 S. Negru 6.3
  4. 8 O. Clarke 6.4
  5. 19 J. Snowdon 6.6
  6. 23 A. Drinan 9.3
  7. 25 J. Thomson 7.7
  8. 26 D. Butler 6.0
  9. 27 A. Munda 6.1
  10. 29 A. Hackford 6.8
  11. 34 B. Kirkman 6.5
Substitutes (7)
  1. 12 Lewis Moore Ward
  2. 14 D. Butterworth
  3. 15 J. Hungbo 6.7
  4. 18 J. Debayo 6.4
  5. 20 B. Middlemas 6.9
  6. 21 K. Majekodunmi 6.5
  7. 39 L. Millard 6.2

Colchester 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 R. Hunt 6.6
  2. 3 E. Iandolo 6.1
  3. 5 J. Tucker 6.5
  4. 7 H. Anderson 5.8
  5. 10 J. Payne 6.4
  6. 12 M. Sesay 7.4
  7. 14 K. Kouassi 7.4
  8. 20 S. Raggett 6.7
  9. 22 T. Lo-Tutala 5.8
  10. 26 J. Williams 6.9
  11. 27 O. Thorn 6.1
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 T. Smith
  2. 6 P. Digby
  3. 9 B. Ihionvien 6.5
  4. 11 L. Chiwome 6.2
  5. 17 Jaden Williams 6.4
  6. 24 F. Terry 6.2
  7. 44 S. Kuffour 6.4

Form and head-to-head: Swindon Town v Colchester

Swindon Town

LWLWD

Colchester

DLWWD

English League Two standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Barnet 6 3 3 0 +5 12 WDDDW
2 Bristol Rovers 6 4 0 2 +4 12 LWWWW
3 York 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WDLWD
4 Cheltenham 6 3 2 1 +3 11 WDWDL
5 Walsall 6 2 4 0 +4 10 DDDWD
6 Grimsby 6 2 4 0 +3 10 WDDDD
7 Fleetwood Town 6 2 4 0 +3 10 DWDDD
8 Crewe Alexandra 6 2 4 0 +2 10 DDDDW
9 Swindon Town 6 3 1 2 -2 10 LWWLW
10 Tranmere 6 2 3 1 +2 9 LWDDD
11 Gillingham 6 2 3 1 +2 9 WWDDD
12 Chesterfield 6 2 2 2 0 8 WDDLW
13 Colchester 6 2 2 2 -2 8 DLLWW
14 Oldham 6 2 1 3 +1 7 LLDWL
15 Salford City 6 2 1 3 -2 7 DWWLL
16 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6 DLDWD
17 Northampton 6 1 3 2 -2 6 LWDDL
18 Shrewsbury Town 6 2 0 4 -6 6 WLLWL
19 Newport County 6 1 2 3 -1 5 DLLDL
20 Exeter City 6 1 2 3 -1 5 LDDLW
21 Accrington ST 6 1 2 3 -3 5 LWDLL
22 Port Vale 6 1 2 3 -4 5 WLLDD
23 Crawley Town 6 1 1 4 -5 4 LLDLW
24 Rochdale 6 1 1 4 -5 4 DLWLL

Managers: Swindon Town v Colchester

D. Cowley
ColchesterManagerD. CowleyEngland

Match information: Swindon Town v Colchester

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League Two
Round
Regular Season – 5