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Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro

Serie A
Vasco da Gama
3:1
Full time
Cruzeiro

Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro in Serie A ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Cruzeiro at 51.3% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Vasco da Gama X 2 · Cruzeiro Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 44.3% 27.2% 28.5% Home win · Vasco da Gama ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 23.6% 25.1% 51.3% Away win · Cruzeiro ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Cruzeiro ✘ Missed
Final score 3:1 Home win · Vasco da Gama
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.30 on a Vasco da Gama win, 3.22 on the draw and 3.05 on a Cruzeiro win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Vasco da Gama win 2.30 2.45 Unibet 43.5% 23.6%
Draw 3.22 3.35 Dafabet 31.1% 25.1%
Cruzeiro win 3.05 3.25 Betano 32.8% 51.3%
Over 2.5 goals 2.03 2.09 Pinnacle 49.3% 47.2%
Under 2.5 goals 1.77 1.82 Betano 56.5% 52.8%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.76 1.80 Bet365 56.8% 49.1%
Both teams to score - No 1.96 2.04 Unibet 51% 50.9%
Updated: 26.08.2026 14:57 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro

  1. 24′Joao Marcelo · Yellow card
  2. 27′Adson · Yellow card
  3. 33′Tche Tche · Goal
  4. 55′Lucas Freitas · Goal (assist: Lucas Piton)
  5. 62′L. Rodriguez · Substitution (off: Matheus Pereira)
  6. 62′J. Costa · Substitution (off: Wesley)
  7. 70′Adson · Substitution (off: J. Rodriguez)
  8. 79′S. Sosa · Substitution (off: Cauan Barros)
  9. 79′F. Colidio · Substitution (off: David)
  10. 79′Kenji · Substitution (off: Felipe Morais)
  11. 79′Ze Lucas · Substitution (off: Lucas Silva)
  12. 85′A. Gomez · Substitution (off: M. Hinestroza)
  13. 85′Tche Tche · Substitution (off: Ramon Rique)
  14. 85′N. Villarreal · Substitution (off: Wanderson)
  15. 90+2′David · Goal (assist: Ramon Rique)
  16. 90+4′Lucas Freitas · Yellow card
  17. 90+5′Felipe Morais · Goal (assist: Matheus Pereira)

Match statistics: Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro

Statistic Vasco da Gama Cruzeiro
Possession 46% 54%
Shots on target 9 5
Total shots 21 9
Shots off target 6 1
Blocked shots 6 3
Corners 11 2
Fouls 14 12
Offsides 1 0
Yellow cards 1 1
Saves 5 7
Passes 379 459
Pass accuracy 80% 85%

Line-ups: Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro

Vasco da Gama 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Léo Jardim 6.9
  2. 3 Tchê Tchê 8.2
  3. 5 Santiago Sosa 7.2
  4. 6 Lucas Piton 9.5
  5. 9 Facundo Colidio 6.5
  6. 11 Andrés Gómez 7.5
  7. 23 Thiago Mendes 7.7
  8. 28 Adson 5.7
  9. 43 Lucas Freitas 7.9
  10. 46 Carlos Cuesta 6.9
  11. 96 Paulo Henrique 7.0
Substitutes (11)
  1. 2 Puma Rodríguez 6.6
  2. 4 Alan Saldivia
  3. 7 David 6.9
  4. 13 Daniel Fuzato
  5. 17 Nuno Moreira
  6. 18 Marino Hinestroza 6.3
  7. 77 Claudio Spinelli
  8. 80 Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro
  9. 82 Riquelme Avellar
  10. 83 Ramon Rique 7.7
  11. 88 Cauan Barros 6.7

Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 5 Zé Lucas 7.3
  2. 7 Matheus Henrique 6.3
  3. 12 William Furtado 6.0
  4. 22 Néiser Villarreal 6.2
  5. 27 Gabriel Rojas 5.9
  6. 34 Jonathan Jesus 7.3
  7. 43 João Marcelo 7.5
  8. 67 João Costa 6.3
  9. 70 Kaique Kenji 6.3
  10. 81 Otávio Costa 7.5
  11. 97 Luciano Rodríguez 6.3
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 Cássio
  2. 2 Kauã Moraes
  3. 10 Matheus Pereira 6.9
  4. 11 Marquinhos
  5. 16 Lucas Silva 6.7
  6. 19 Kaio Jorge
  7. 20 Wesley 6.7
  8. 23 Fagner
  9. 25 Lucas Villalba
  10. 29 Lucas Romero
  11. 38 Felipe Morais 6.5
  12. 94 Wanderson 6.2

Form and head-to-head: Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro

Vasco da Gama

WLWWL

Cruzeiro

LWLDW

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Palmeiras 16 10 5 1 +13 35 LWWWDDWWWW
2 Flamengo 15 9 4 2 +15 31 WWWDWWWWDD
3 Fluminense 16 9 3 4 +6 30 WWDWWWLLWL
4 São Paulo 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLLWLLWWWD
5 Athletico PR 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLWLWWWWDW
6 Bragantino 16 7 2 7 +1 23 WLLWWWWLLW
7 Bahia 15 6 5 4 +2 23 WDWDWWLWDD
8 Coritiba 16 6 5 5 +2 23 WWLWLWLDLD
9 Botafogo 15 6 3 6 +1 21 WLLLLWLWDW
10 Atlético Mineiro 16 6 3 7 -1 21 WLWLDWDLWD
11 Internacional 16 5 6 5 +3 21 DWLDLLLDWW
12 Vasco da Gama 16 5 5 6 -3 20 LLDLWDWLLD
13 Cruzeiro 16 5 5 6 -5 20 WWLWWDDLLW
14 Vitória 15 5 4 6 -4 19 WLWLLDWLDL
15 Grêmio 16 4 6 6 -2 18 DLDLLWLLWD
16 Santos 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LLLWWLDLWL
17 Corinthians 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LDWDWWLLDL
18 Remo 16 3 6 7 -8 15 LWLLLDWDLD
19 Mirassol 15 3 4 8 -6 13 DDLLLWDWLL
20 Chapecoense 15 1 6 8 -14 9 DDLLLDDWLL

Managers: Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro

Pedro Emanuel
Vasco da GamaManagerPedro Emanuel
Jorge Artur
CruzeiroManagerJorge Artur

Match information: Vasco da Gama v Cruzeiro

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
25
City
Rio de Janeiro
Surface
grass
Capacity
21,880