Deportivo Alavés v Villarreal in La Liga ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Deportivo Alavés v Villarreal
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Deportivo Alavés at 42.6% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Deportivo Alavés
X
2 · Villarreal
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
50.0%
26.6%
23.4%
Home win · Deportivo Alavés
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
42.6%
23.1%
34.3%
Home win · Deportivo Alavés
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Deportivo Alavés
✔ Correct
Final score
1:0
Home win · Deportivo Alavés
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.15 on a Deportivo Alavés win, 3.48 on the draw and 2.24 on a Villarreal win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Deportivo Alavés win
3.15
3.30Betfair
31.7%
42.6%
Draw
3.48
3.621xBet
28.7%
23.1%
Villarreal win
2.24
2.32Dafabet
44.6%
34.3%
Over 2.5 goals
1.82
1.881xBet
54.9%
60.2%
Under 2.5 goals
2.01
2.071xBet
49.8%
39.8%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.64
1.67William Hill
61%
59.4%
Both teams to score - No
2.16
2.20Betfair
46.3%
40.6%
Updated: 28.08.2026 15:59 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Deportivo Alavés v Villarreal
31′⚽L. Boye · Goal (assist: A. Perez)
45+2′🟨Q. Sanchez Flores · Yellow card
48′🟨A. Rebbach · Yellow card
54′🔄T. Martinez · Substitution (off: M. Diaz)
54′🔄M. Rodriguez · Substitution (off: Yusi)
62′🔄S. Comesana · Substitution (off: A. Perez)
62′🔄S. Mourino · Substitution (off: A. Freeman)
63′🔄T. Buchanan · Substitution (off: A. Moleiro)
70′🔄G. Moreno · Substitution (off: I. Akhomach)
71′🔄A. Rebbach · Substitution (off: D. Suarez)
71′🔄A. Perez · Substitution (off: C. Protesoni)
82′🔄L. Boye · Substitution (off: A. Manas)
82′🔄G. Mikautadze · Substitution (off: T. Oluwaseyi)
86′🟨N. Pepe · Yellow card
89′🟨M. Diaz · Yellow card
90+2′🟨A. Sivera · Yellow card
90+2′🟨R. Veiga · Yellow card
Match statistics: Deportivo Alavés v Villarreal
Statistic
Deportivo Alavés
Villarreal
Possession
25%
75%
Shots on target
2
6
Total shots
9
18
Shots off target
7
6
Blocked shots
0
6
Corners
5
9
Fouls
14
8
Offsides
5
4
Yellow cards
3
2
Saves
6
1
Passes
195
625
Pass accuracy
74%
89%
Line-ups: Deportivo Alavés v Villarreal
Deportivo Alavés 5-3-2
Starting XI
1 Antonio Sivera 7.7
7 Ángel Pérez 7.5
8 Antonio Blanco 7.3
11 Toni Martínez 6.3
14 Nahuel Tenaglia 7.0
15 Lucas Boyé 7.3
16 Ville Koski 7.2
17 Jonny Otto 7.5
18 Mikel Rodriguez 6.6
19 Pablo Ibáñez 6.3
21 Abderrahman Rebbach 6.3
Substitutes (12)
2 Nicolás Valentini
3 Youssef Enriquez 7.3
4 Denis Suárez 6.9
6 Ander Guevara
9 Mariano Díaz 6.7
10 Carles Aleñá
12 Hugo Novoa
13 Adrián Rodríguez
20 Aitor Mañas 6.7
22 Miguel Rodríguez
23 Carlos Benavídez 6.3
27 Xanet Olaiz
Villarreal 4-4-2
Starting XI
1 Luiz Júnior 6.9
7 Gerard Moreno 6.3
8 Juan Foyth 7.7
9 Georges Mikautadze 6.2
12 Renato Veiga 7.0
14 Santi Comesaña 6.3
15 Santiago Mouriño 6.9
17 Tajon Buchanan 6.3
18 Pape Gueye 6.7
19 Nicolas Pépé 6.7
20 Carlos Romero 6.6
Substitutes (12)
2 Logan Costa
3 Alexander Freeman 6.9
5 Alassane Diatta
6 Pau Navarro
10 Alberto Moleiro 6.3
11 Ilias Akhomach 6.2
21 Tani Oluwaseyi 6.3
22 Ayoze Pérez 6.9
23 Sergi Cardona
24 Nathan-Dylan Saliba
25 Péter Gulácsi
26 Carlos Maciá
Form and head-to-head: Deportivo Alavés v Villarreal
