Excelsior v FC Utrecht in Eredivisie ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Excelsior v FC Utrecht
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Excelsior at 69.2% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Excelsior
X
2 · FC Utrecht
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
55.8%
22.4%
21.8%
Home win · Excelsior
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
69.2%
13.9%
16.9%
Home win · Excelsior
✘ Missed
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Excelsior
✘ Missed
Final score
1:2
Away win · FC Utrecht
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.22 on a Excelsior win, 3.64 on the draw and 2.90 on a FC Utrecht win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Excelsior win
2.22
2.2810Bet
45%
69.2%
Draw
3.64
3.771xBet
27.5%
13.9%
FC Utrecht win
2.90
3.00Bet365
34.5%
16.9%
Over 2.5 goals
1.61
1.631xBet
62.1%
77.4%
Under 2.5 goals
2.28
2.35Betano
43.9%
22.6%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.51
1.53Bet365
66.2%
63.8%
Both teams to score - No
2.41
2.45William Hill
41.5%
36.2%
Updated: 10.09.2026 05:27 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Excelsior v FC Utrecht
36′⚽Artem Stepanov · Goal
62′🔄Ángel Alarcón · Substitution (off: Marius Broholm)