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NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen
2:2
Full time
Excelsior

NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior in Eredivisie ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Excelsior at 44.2% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · NEC Nijmegen X 2 · Excelsior Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 37.8% 24.0% 38.2% Away win · Excelsior ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 35.3% 20.5% 44.2% Away win · Excelsior ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Excelsior ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.42 on a NEC Nijmegen win, 4.64 on the draw and 6.10 on a Excelsior win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
NEC Nijmegen win 1.42 1.44 Betfair 70.4% 35.3%
Draw 4.64 4.85 Marathonbet 21.6% 20.5%
Excelsior win 6.10 6.80 Marathonbet 16.4% 44.2%
Over 2.5 goals 1.41 1.44 888Sport 70.9% 61.9%
Under 2.5 goals 2.65 2.75 Betfair 37.7% 38.1%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.56 1.61 Marathonbet 64.1% 58.1%
Both teams to score - No 2.28 2.40 Betfair 43.9% 41.9%
Updated: 22.08.2026 20:42 · Average odds across 3 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

  1. 4′Jamiro Monteiro · Yellow card
  2. 10′Adam Tahaui · Goal (assist: Willum Thor Willumsson)
  3. 43′David Garden · Goal (assist: Irakli Yegoian)
  4. 45′Jamiro Monteiro · Substitution (off: Perr Schuurs)
  5. 45′Bram Nuytinck · Substitution (off: Philippe Sandler)
  6. 45′Simon Janssen · Substitution (off: Kasey Bos)
  7. 52′Lennard Hartjes · Yellow card
  8. 63′Dennis Geiger · Substitution (off: Noe Lebreton)
  9. 63′Isak Hansen Aaröen · Substitution (off: Kevin Kers)
  10. 67′David Garden · Substitution (off: Nesto groen)
  11. 67′Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson · Substitution (off: Aymen sliti)
  12. 70′Rick Meissen · Yellow card
  13. 71′Eric da Silva Moreira · Substitution (off: Valentin Sulzbacher)
  14. 73′Valentin Sulzbacher · Goal (assist: Aymen sliti)
  15. 81′Ilano Silva Timas · Substitution (off: Alireza Jahanbakhsh)
  16. 87′Gabriel·Bras · Substitution (off: Clement Bischoff)
  17. 90+2′Noe Lebreton · Goal

Match statistics: NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

Statistic NEC Nijmegen Excelsior
Possession 69% 31%
Shots on target 2 5
Total shots 9 13
Shots off target 4 5
Blocked shots 3 3
Corners 1 3
Fouls 5 15
Offsides 3 0
Yellow cards 1 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 3 1
Passes 672 294

Line-ups: NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 8 I. Hansen-Aarøen 6.0
  2. 10 D. Tadić 6.1
  3. 11 W. Willumsson 6.6
  4. 12 N. Polster 5.8
  5. 17 B. Nuytinck 6.4
  6. 18 D. Geiger 5.9
  7. 19 Adam Tahaui 7.6
  8. 21 T. Storm 6.7
  9. 35 Jamiro Monteiro 6.9
  10. 73 Gabriel Brás 6.3
  11. 77 A. Thomas 6.2
Substitutes (10)
  1. 1 G. Crettaz
  2. 3 P. Sandler 6.5
  3. 4 P. Schuurs 6.4
  4. 9 T. Chery
  5. 14 K. Sierhuis
  6. 20 N. Lebreton 6.3
  7. 34 Kevin Kers 6.6
  8. 38 Joep Geneste
  9. 66 Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
  10. 99 Clement Bischoff 6.7

Excelsior 3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 S. van Gassel 6.0
  2. 2 Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira 6.2
  3. 3 R. Meissen 5.7
  4. 4 C. Widell 6.3
  5. 8 I. Yegoian 7.0
  6. 14 J. Plug 6.9
  7. 15 S. Janssen 6.2
  8. 19 D. Garden 7.8
  9. 20 L. Hartjes 6.1
  10. 21 I. Silva Timas 6.7
  11. 30 Á. Þorsteinsson 6.3
Substitutes (11)
  1. 6 D. van Vianen
  2. 7 A. Sliti 6.9
  3. 9 Mario Domínguez
  4. 11 A. Jahanbakhsh 6.6
  5. 12 K. Bos 6.7
  6. 16 Celton Biai
  7. 18 V. Sulzbacher 7.4
  8. 22 O. Turay
  9. 23 Y. Finey
  10. 24 Giulliano Cairo
  11. 28 N. Groen 6.6

Form and head-to-head: NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

NEC Nijmegen

LLWLL

Excelsior

LWWLW

Eredivisie standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 PSV 6 5 1 0 +15 16 WWWWW
2 AZ 6 5 1 0 +11 16 DWWWW
3 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 +13 14 WWDWD
4 FC Twente 6 4 1 1 +7 13 WWDWW
5 Ajax 5 3 1 1 +8 10 WLWDW
6 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 +6 10 LDWWL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6 3 1 2 -2 10 LWWLW
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 3 1 +2 9 DDLWD
9 FC Groningen 6 2 2 2 -1 8 DDLLW
10 NEC Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 -1 7 LDLWW
11 SC Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 -2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 -3 5 LDLDW
13 Telstar 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLL
14 FC Utrecht 6 1 2 3 -8 5 WDLDL
15 SC Cambuur 6 1 1 4 -9 4 WDLLL
16 PEC Zwolle 6 1 1 4 -11 4 LDLWL
17 Willem II 5 0 2 3 -9 2 DLDLL
18 ADO Den Haag 6 0 1 5 -10 1 LLDLL

Managers: NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

D. Schreuder
NEC NijmegenManagerD. Schreuder
R. den Uil
ExcelsiorManagerR. den Uil

Match information: NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior

Kick-off
·
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
3
City
Nijmegen
Surface
grass
Capacity
12,500