Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam in Eredivisie ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Excelsior at 57.6% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Excelsior
X
2 · Sparta Rotterdam
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
54.1%
23.2%
22.7%
Home win · Excelsior
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
57.6%
18.3%
24.2%
Home win · Excelsior
✔ Correct
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Sparta Rotterdam
✘ Missed
Final score
2:1
Home win · Excelsior
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.35 on a Excelsior win, 3.70 on the draw and 2.69 on a Sparta Rotterdam win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Excelsior win
2.35
2.41Dafabet
42.6%
57.6%
Draw
3.70
3.911xBet
27%
18.3%
Sparta Rotterdam win
2.69
2.80Pinnacle
37.2%
24.2%
Over 2.5 goals
1.52
1.58Unibet
65.8%
64.4%
Under 2.5 goals
2.44
2.55Betfair
41%
35.6%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.45
1.50Bet365
69%
58.8%
Both teams to score - No
2.58
2.70Betfair
38.8%
41.3%
Updated: 29.08.2026 04:02 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam
20′🟨Jens Toornstra · Yellow card
24′⚽Aymen sliti · Goal
28′🟨Simon Janssen · Yellow card
37′🟨Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson · Yellow card
39′🔄Robin van Cruijsen · Substitution (off: Casper Terho)
Match statistics: Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam
Statistic
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
Possession
48%
52%
Shots on target
3
0
Total shots
6
7
Shots off target
2
3
Blocked shots
1
4
Corners
3
2
Fouls
5
4
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
0
Saves
0
2
Passes
210
229
Line-ups: Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior 4-3-3
Starting XI
1 S. van Gassel 6.7
3 R. Meissen 6.6
4 C. Widell 6.9
6 D. van Vianen 7.1
7 A. Sliti 8.1
8 I. Yegoian 7.2
14 J. Plug 7.2
19 D. Garden 6.5
20 L. Hartjes 6.8
30 Á. Þorsteinsson 6.3
Substitutes (9)
2 Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
5 S. Henderikx
11 A. Jahanbakhsh
12 K. Bos
18 V. Sulzbacher
21 I. Silva Timas
23 Y. Finey
28 N. Groen
40 Tijmen Holla
Sparta Rotterdam 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 F. Bednarek 6.6
3 M. Young 6.7
4 B. Martins Indi 6.8
5 B. Kuipers 6.4
6 J. Baas 6.2
7 Robin van Cruijsen 6.2
8 J. Toornstra 6.5
9 M. Zonneveld 6.5
10 S. Mito 6.1
11 M. van Bergen 6.3
Substitutes (8)
12 B. Reith
13 N. Verschuren
14 Teo Quintero
15 G. Vianello
16 A. Roaldsøy
17 C. Terho 6.4
20 P. Kuiper
22 Joel Ideho
Form and head-to-head: Excelsior v Sparta Rotterdam
