FC Twente v Qarabağ in Europa Conference League ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: FC Twente v Qarabağ
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · FC Twente at 50.4% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · FC Twente
X
2 · Karabakh
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
55.1%
23.9%
21.1%
Home win · FC Twente
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
50.4%
18.4%
31.2%
Home win · FC Twente
✘ Missed
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · FC Twente
✘ Missed
Final score
0:1
Away win · Qarabağ
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.53 on a FC Twente win, 4.18 on the draw and 5.31 on a Qarabağ win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
FC Twente win
1.53
1.58Unibet
65.4%
50.4%
Draw
4.18
4.491xBet
23.9%
18.4%
Qarabağ win
5.31
6.00Betano
18.8%
31.2%
Over 2.5 goals
1.60
1.67SBO
62.5%
63.7%
Under 2.5 goals
2.25
2.361xBet
44.4%
36.4%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.67
1.69Superbet
59.9%
60.1%
Both teams to score - No
2.10
2.15Betfair
47.6%
39.9%
Updated: 20.08.2026 14:33 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: FC Twente v Qarabağ
23′🟨R. Propper · Yellow card
28′🟨A. Adelgaard · Yellow card
28′🟨Matheus Silva · Yellow card
34′🟨D. Weidmann · Yellow card
46′🔄R. Propper · Substitution (off: M. Bruns)
52′⚽Kady Borges · Goal (assist: M. Qurbanly)
58′🟨R. Zerrouki · Yellow card
61′🔄M. Pjaca · Substitution (off: K. Hlynsson)
61′🔄W. Weghorst · Substitution (off: S. Lammers)
66′🟨D. Rots · Yellow card
75′🔄M. Qurbanly · Substitution (off: Dani Bolt)
83′🔄A. Adelgaard · Substitution (off: F. Thorvaldsen)
83′🔄D. Weidmann · Substitution (off: L. Vennegoor of Hesselink)