Qarabağ v FC Twente in Europa Conference League ended 1:4. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Qarabağ v FC Twente
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Qarabağ at 41.4% - the match finished 1:4 (after extra time), so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Qarabağ
X
2 · FC Twente
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
49.9%
25.5%
24.7%
Home win · Qarabağ
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
41.4%
24.4%
34.1%
Home win · Qarabağ
✘ Missed
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Qarabağ
✘ Missed
Final score
1:4 (after extra time)
Away win · FC Twente
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.99 on a Qarabağ win, 3.66 on the draw and 2.12 on a FC Twente win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Qarabağ win
2.99
3.10Bet365
33.4%
41.4%
Draw
3.66
3.93Pinnacle
27.3%
24.4%
FC Twente win
2.12
2.211xBet
47.2%
34.1%
Over 2.5 goals
1.63
1.6710Bet
61.3%
60.1%
Under 2.5 goals
2.20
2.28Pinnacle
45.5%
39.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.54
1.57Betfair
64.9%
58.1%
Both teams to score - No
2.31
2.40BetVictor
43.3%
41.9%
Updated: 27.08.2026 15:54 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.