Flamengo v Cruzeiro

Flamengo v Cruzeiro in CONMEBOL Libertadores ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Flamengo v Cruzeiro

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Flamengo at 45.9% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Flamengo X 2 · Cruzeiro Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 52.5% 27.8% 19.7% Home win · Flamengo ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 45.9% 21.7% 32.4% Home win · Flamengo ✔ Correct
Final score 2:1 Home win · Flamengo
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.67 on a Flamengo win, 3.64 on the draw and 5.29 on a Cruzeiro win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Flamengo win 1.67 1.75 Betano 59.9% 45.9%
Draw 3.64 3.80 Betano 27.5% 21.7%
Cruzeiro win 5.29 5.66 Pinnacle 18.9% 32.4%
Over 2.5 goals 1.98 2.04 Unibet 50.5% 51.8%
Under 2.5 goals 1.82 1.86 1xBet 54.9% 48.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.90 2.00 Bet365 52.6% 50.3%
Both teams to score - No 1.81 1.87 Betfair 55.2% 49.7%
Updated: 20.08.2026 02:28 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Flamengo v Cruzeiro

  1. 35′G. de Arrascaeta · Goal (assist: Pedro)
  2. 51′L. Romero · Goal (assist: Gerson)
  3. 62′Samuel Lino · Goal (assist: Pedro)
  4. 63′G. de Arrascaeta · Substitution (off: Lucas Paqueta)
  5. 64′G. Plata · Substitution (off: J. Carrascal)
  6. 66′Wesley · Substitution (off: J. Costa)
  7. 70′William Furtado · Yellow card
  8. 76′Pedro · Substitution (off: Bruno Henrique)
  9. 76′Ayrton Lucas · Substitution (off: G. Varela)
  10. 79′William Furtado · Substitution (off: Fagner)
  11. 80′G. Rojas · Substitution (off: L. Rodriguez)
  12. 80′Jorginho · Substitution (off: Evertton Araujo)
  13. 85′Gerson · Substitution (off: Bruno Rodrigues)
  14. 90+3′Bruno Henrique · Yellow card
  15. 90+4′J. Costa · Yellow card

Match statistics: Flamengo v Cruzeiro

Statistic Flamengo Cruzeiro
Possession 53% 47%
Shots on target 9 2
Total shots 24 12
Shots off target 11 5
Blocked shots 4 5
Corners 3 5
Fouls 6 12
Yellow cards 0 1
Saves 2 7
Passes 458 395
Pass accuracy 84% 81%

Line-ups: Flamengo v Cruzeiro

Flamengo 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Agustín Rossi 6.5
  2. 3 Léo Ortiz 6.7
  3. 4 Léo Pereira 6.9
  4. 5 Erick Pulgar 7.0
  5. 6 Ayrton Lucas 6.5
  6. 9 Pedro Guilherme 7.7
  7. 10 Giorgian de Arrascaeta 7.7
  8. 16 Samuel Lino 7.9
  9. 19 Gonzalo Plata 6.9
  10. 21 Jorginho 7.0
  11. 22 Emerson Royal 6.9
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 Guillermo Varela 6.9
  2. 7 Luiz Araújo
  3. 8 Saúl Ñíguez
  4. 13 Danilo
  5. 15 Jorge Carrascal 6.7
  6. 20 Lucas Paquetá 7.0
  7. 27 Bruno Henrique 6.9
  8. 42 Andrew
  9. 52 Evertton Araujo 6.6
  10. 64 Wallace Yan
  11. 77 Johnny Goes
  12. 99 Lorran

Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 8 Gerson 6.2
  2. 10 Matheus Pereira 6.9
  3. 12 William Furtado 5.7
  4. 15 Fabrício Bruno 6.3
  5. 19 Kaio Jorge 6.3
  6. 20 Wesley 6.2
  7. 27 Gabriel Rojas 6.3
  8. 29 Lucas Romero 7.3
  9. 34 Jonathan Jesus 6.3
  10. 81 Otávio Costa 7.2
  11. 99 Keny Arroyo 6.3
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 Cássio
  2. 5 Zé Lucas
  3. 9 Bruno Rodrigues
  4. 16 Lucas Silva
  5. 23 Fagner 6.3
  6. 25 Lucas Villalba
  7. 38 Felipe Morais
  8. 43 João Marcelo
  9. 67 João Costa 6.5
  10. 70 Kaique Kenji
  11. 94 Wanderson
  12. 97 Luciano Rodríguez 6.6

Form and head-to-head: Flamengo v Cruzeiro

Flamengo

WWWWW

Cruzeiro

LWLLD

Head-to-head – last 3 meetings

Flamengo wins: 1; draws: 1; Cruzeiro wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Cruzeiro 2–1 Flamengo Serie A
Cruzeiro 1–1 Flamengo CONMEBOL Libertadores
Flamengo 2–0 Cruzeiro Serie A

CONMEBOL Libertadores standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Flamengo 6 5 1 0 +12 16 WWDWW
2 Estudiantes 6 2 3 1 +1 9 WLDDW
3 Independiente Medellin 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LWWLD
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 -8 1 LLDLL
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 3 1 2 +2 10 LWWLW
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 +1 8 DLWWL
3 Nacional 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WDLLW
4 Universitario 6 1 3 2 -1 6 DDLWL
1 Independiente Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 +9 16 WWDWW
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 0 8 WWDLL
3 Bolívar 6 1 2 3 -2 5 LLDWD
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 -7 3 LLDLD
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWW
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WDDWL
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 +1 7 LDLLW
4 FC Barcelona 6 1 0 5 -10 3 LLWLL
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 +4 11 LDDWW
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 +1 10 WLDWW
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WWDLL
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 -4 3 LDDLL
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWWDW
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 +5 11 WLWDW
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 -3 6 LLLWL
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 -6 4 LWLLL
1 LDU de Quito 6 4 0 2 +3 12 WWLLW
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 +3 12 LWWWL
3 Lanús 6 3 0 3 -4 9 WLLWW
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 -2 3 LLWLL
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 +5 13 WWLWW
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 +8 13 LWWWW
3 UCV 6 3 0 3 -4 9 WLWLL
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 -9 0 LLLLL

Managers: Flamengo v Cruzeiro

Leonardo Jardim
FlamengoManagerLeonardo Jardim
Jorge Artur
CruzeiroManagerJorge Artur

Match information: Flamengo v Cruzeiro

Kick-off
·
Competition
CONMEBOL Libertadores
Round
Round of 16
City
Rio de Janeiro
Surface
grass
Capacity
78,838