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Grêmio v Chapecoense

Serie A
Grêmio
3:1
Full time
Chapecoense

Grêmio v Chapecoense in Serie A ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Grêmio v Chapecoense

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Grêmio at 56.1% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Grêmio X 2 · Chapecoense Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 58.4% 24.1% 17.5% Home win · Grêmio ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 56.1% 22.8% 21.0% Home win · Grêmio ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Chapecoense ✘ Missed
Final score 3:1 Home win · Grêmio
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.53 on a Grêmio win, 4.02 on the draw and 5.82 on a Chapecoense win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Grêmio win 1.53 1.58 Dafabet 65.4% 56.1%
Draw 4.02 4.20 Pinnacle 24.9% 22.8%
Chapecoense win 5.82 6.25 10Bet 17.2% 21%
Over 2.5 goals 1.84 1.88 Pinnacle 54.3% 55%
Under 2.5 goals 1.95 2.02 Betano 51.3% 45%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.87 1.95 Bet365 53.5% 53.7%
Both teams to score - No 1.84 1.87 Betano 54.3% 46.3%
Updated: 26.08.2026 14:57 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Grêmio v Chapecoense

  1. 15′Mauricio Garcez · Goal (assist: Giovanni Augusto)
  2. 18′Gustavo Martins · Goal (assist: J. Enamorado)
  3. 28′C. Pavon · Goal
  4. 40′Marlon · Yellow card
  5. 44′Walter Kannemann · Yellow card
  6. 46′Marlon · Substitution (off: Pedro Gabriel)
  7. 52′J. Enamorado · Substitution (off: Joao Pedro)
  8. 52′M. Braithwaite · Substitution (off: Carlos Vinicius)
  9. 55′Eduardo Doma · Yellow card
  10. 56′Gustavo Martins · Goal (assist: C. Pavon)
  11. 61′Mauricio Garcez · Substitution (off: F. Rossi)
  12. 61′Bruno Matias · Substitution (off: M. Carvalho)
  13. 65′Danilo Barbosa · Substitution (off: Bernardo Zortea)
  14. 71′Bruno Pacheco · Yellow card
  15. 75′Bruno Pacheco · Substitution (off: Fernando)
  16. 76′F. Amuzu · Substitution (off: Tete)
  17. 80′Giovanni Augusto · Substitution (off: Enio)
  18. 80′Marcinho · Substitution (off: D. Borrero)
  19. 90+2′Tete · Yellow card

Match statistics: Grêmio v Chapecoense

Statistic Grêmio Chapecoense
Possession 53% 47%
Shots on target 5 9
Total shots 12 32
Shots off target 2 18
Blocked shots 5 5
Corners 5 7
Fouls 11 10
Yellow cards 3 2
Saves 7 2
Passes 540 461
Pass accuracy 90% 90%

Line-ups: Grêmio v Chapecoense

Grêmio 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Weverton 9.3
  2. 6 Gustavo Martins 8.9
  3. 7 Cristian Pavón 8.2
  4. 9 Francis Amuzu 6.9
  5. 10 Filip Krovinović 6.3
  6. 15 Danilo Barbosa 6.3
  7. 20 Mathias Villasanti 6.5
  8. 22 Martin Braithwaite 6.5
  9. 23 Marlon 6.6
  10. 82 Wallace 8.3
  11. 99 José Enamorado 6.3
Substitutes (11)
  1. 3 Wagner Leonardo
  2. 4 Walter Kannemann
  3. 11 Tetê 6.3
  4. 12 Gabriel Grando
  5. 18 João Pedro 6.9
  6. 30 Matheus Nascimento
  7. 40 Jefinho
  8. 50 Zortéa 7.3
  9. 54 Pedro Gabriel 6.5
  10. 65 Riquelme Freitas
  11. 95 Carlos Vinícius 6.9

Chapecoense 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 Eduardo Doma 6.3
  2. 5 Heitor 5.9
  3. 7 Marcinho 6.3
  4. 9 Tulio Eduardo 7.2
  5. 10 Giovanni Augusto 7.3
  6. 16 Bruno Matias 6.6
  7. 21 Kauan 6.7
  8. 31 Maurício Garcez 7.3
  9. 88 Yago Felipe 6.9
  10. 91 Bruno Pacheco 6.2
  11. 98 Anderson 6.3
Substitutes (11)
  1. 12 Fernando 6.9
  2. 15 Rafael Thyere
  3. 19 David Antunes
  4. 26 Everton
  5. 29 Franco Rossi 6.6
  6. 30 Matheus
  7. 44 Luciano
  8. 70 Rubens Tadeu
  9. 77 Dylan Borrero 6.7
  10. 80 Miguel Carvalho 6.5
  11. 97 Ênio 6.6

Form and head-to-head: Grêmio v Chapecoense

Grêmio

LLWDL

Chapecoense

LWWDL

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Grêmio wins: 0; draws: 1; Chapecoense wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Chapecoense 1–1 Grêmio Serie A

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Palmeiras 16 10 5 1 +13 35 LWWWDDWWWW
2 Flamengo 15 9 4 2 +15 31 WWWDWWWWDD
3 Fluminense 16 9 3 4 +6 30 WWDWWWLLWL
4 São Paulo 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLLWLLWWWD
5 Athletico PR 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLWLWWWWDW
6 Bragantino 16 7 2 7 +1 23 WLLWWWWLLW
7 Bahia 15 6 5 4 +2 23 WDWDWWLWDD
8 Coritiba 16 6 5 5 +2 23 WWLWLWLDLD
9 Botafogo 15 6 3 6 +1 21 WLLLLWLWDW
10 Atlético Mineiro 16 6 3 7 -1 21 WLWLDWDLWD
11 Internacional 16 5 6 5 +3 21 DWLDLLLDWW
12 Vasco da Gama 16 5 5 6 -3 20 LLDLWDWLLD
13 Cruzeiro 16 5 5 6 -5 20 WWLWWDDLLW
14 Vitória 15 5 4 6 -4 19 WLWLLDWLDL
15 Grêmio 16 4 6 6 -2 18 DLDLLWLLWD
16 Santos 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LLLWWLDLWL
17 Corinthians 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LDWDWWLLDL
18 Remo 16 3 6 7 -8 15 LWLLLDWDLD
19 Mirassol 15 3 4 8 -6 13 DDLLLWDWLL
20 Chapecoense 15 1 6 8 -14 9 DDLLLDDWLL

Managers: Grêmio v Chapecoense

Luis Castro
GrêmioManagerLuis Castro
Lacerda Rafael
ChapecoenseManagerLacerda Rafael

Match information: Grêmio v Chapecoense

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
25
City
Rio
Surface
grass
Capacity
60,540