Grêmio v Vasco da Gama in Serie A ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Grêmio v Vasco da Gama
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Grêmio at 50.7% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Grêmio
X
2 · Vasco da Gama
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
53.2%
25.2%
21.7%
Home win · Grêmio
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
50.7%
27.5%
21.7%
Home win · Grêmio
✘ Missed
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Grêmio
✘ Missed
Final score
1:2
Away win · Vasco da Gama
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.08 on a Grêmio win, 3.25 on the draw and 3.53 on a Vasco da Gama win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Grêmio win
2.08
2.161xBet
48.1%
50.7%
Draw
3.25
3.341xBet
30.8%
27.5%
Vasco da Gama win
3.53
3.60Bet365
28.3%
21.7%
Over 2.5 goals
2.08
2.121xBet
48.1%
39.6%
Under 2.5 goals
1.71
1.751xBet
58.5%
60.5%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.85
1.91Bet365
54.1%
46.3%
Both teams to score - No
1.87
1.91Bet365
53.5%
53.8%
Updated: 09.09.2026 23:25 · Average odds across 5 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Grêmio v Vasco da Gama
7′🟨Pedro Gabriel · Yellow card
26′🟨Tchê Tchê · Yellow card
32′🟨Wallace Gomes da Silva Santos · Yellow card
39′⚽Mathias Villasanti · Goal
45+2′🟨Cuiabano · Yellow card
53′🟨Robert Renan · Yellow card
55′🔄Adson · Substitution (off: Bruno Duarte Da Silva)
55′🔄Paulo Henrique · Substitution (off: Jose Luis Rodriguez)
58′🟨Diego Caito Barcellos Oliveira dos Santos · Yellow card
61′🔄Jovane Cabral · Substitution (off: Juan Nardoni)
71′🔄Tetê · Substitution (off: José Enamorado)
73′🔄Tchê Tchê · Substitution (off: Alan Lescano)
73′🔄Carlos Cuesta · Substitution (off: Jair)
76′⚽Thiago Mendes · Goal
78′🔄Cuiabano · Substitution (off: Lucas Piton)
80′⚽Facundo Colidio · Goal (assist: Bruno Duarte Da Silva)