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Vitória v Grêmio

Serie A
Vitória
1:0
Full time
Grêmio

Vitória v Grêmio in Serie A ended 1:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Vitória v Grêmio

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Grêmio at 48.7% - the match finished 1:0, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Vitória X 2 · Grêmio Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 38.4% 28.6% 33.1% Home win · Vitória ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 26.7% 24.7% 48.7% Away win · Grêmio ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Grêmio ✘ Missed
Final score 1:0 Home win · Vitória
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.11 on a Vitória win, 3.30 on the draw and 3.51 on a Grêmio win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Vitória win 2.11 2.15 Pinnacle 47.4% 26.7%
Draw 3.30 3.44 1xBet 30.3% 24.7%
Grêmio win 3.51 3.70 Bet365 28.5% 48.7%
Over 2.5 goals 2.11 2.16 Pinnacle 47.4% 50.1%
Under 2.5 goals 1.70 1.73 1xBet 58.8% 49.9%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.85 1.91 Bet365 54.1% 51.8%
Both teams to score - No 1.87 1.91 William Hill 53.5% 48.2%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:23 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Vitória v Grêmio

  1. 36′Pedro Gabriel · Yellow card
  2. 38′Cristian Pavón · Yellow card
  3. 45′Pedro Gabriel · Substitution (off: Caio Paulista)
  4. 48′Erick · Yellow card
  5. 48′Caio Paulista · Yellow card
  6. 55′Caíque Gonçalves · Yellow card
  7. 59′Erick Noriega · Yellow card
  8. 63′Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira · Goal (assist: Matheusinho)
  9. 69′Erick Noriega · Substitution (off: Danilo Barbosa da Silva)
  10. 69′Cristian Pavón · Substitution (off: Juan Nardoni)
  11. 69′Mathias Villasanti · Substitution (off: José Enamorado)
  12. 72′Erick · Substitution (off: Marinho)
  13. 78′Carlos Vinícius · Substitution (off: Martin Braithwaite)
  14. 79′Gustavo Martins · Yellow card
  15. 81′Caíque Gonçalves · Substitution (off: Edenilson)
  16. 82′Diego Tarzia · Substitution (off: Fabri)
  17. 82′Matheuzinho · Substitution (off: Tomás Pochettino)
  18. 90′Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira · Substitution (off: Renato Kayzer)

Match statistics: Vitória v Grêmio

Statistic Vitória Grêmio
Possession 46% 54%
Shots on target 6 5
Total shots 20 11
Shots off target 10 4
Blocked shots 4 2
Corners 6 1
Fouls 13 19
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 2 5
Red cards 0 0
Saves 5 5
Passes 393 471

Line-ups: Vitória v Grêmio

Vitória 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Lucas Arcanjo 7.7
  2. 2 E. Brítez 6.7
  3. 10 Matheuzinho 7.1
  4. 12 D. Tarzia 6.3
  5. 33 Erick 6.4
  6. 36 Luan Cândido 6.3
  7. 83 Jamerson 6.9
  8. 88 Zé Vitor 7.2
  9. 91 Rene 8.2
  10. 95 Caíque 6.6
  11. 98 Mateusinho 8.0
Substitutes (11)
  1. 7 Marinho 6.5
  2. 8 T. Pochettino 6.5
  3. 9 Alex Bruno
  4. 11 Osvaldo
  5. 18 Kauan
  6. 23 Fabrício 6.6
  7. 26 Edenilson 6.7
  8. 41 Wendell Sacramento
  9. 70 Fabiano
  10. 71 Yuri Sena
  11. 79 Renato Kayzer

Grêmio 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Weverton 6.6
  2. 6 Gustavo Martins 7.0
  3. 7 C. Pavón 6.4
  4. 8 E. Noriega 6.1
  5. 10 F. Krovinović 6.5
  6. 11 Tetê 6.5
  7. 20 M. Villasanti 6.3
  8. 27 Diego Caito 6.8
  9. 54 Pedro Gabriel 6.0
  10. 82 Wallace 6.7
  11. 95 Carlos Vinícius 6.3
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 F. Balbuena
  2. 3 Wagner Leonardo
  3. 5 J. Nardoni 6.2
  4. 12 Gabriel Grando
  5. 15 Danilo Barbosa 6.7
  6. 18 João Pedro
  7. 22 M. Braithwaite 6.2
  8. 30 Matheus Nascimento
  9. 38 Caio Paulista 6.1
  10. 50 Bernardo Zortea
  11. 65 Riquelme Freitas
  12. 99 J. Enamorado 5.9

Form and head-to-head: Vitória v Grêmio

Vitória

DLLLL

Grêmio

LWWDL

Head-to-head – last 1 meetings

Vitória wins: 0; draws: 0; Grêmio wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Grêmio 2–0 Vitória Serie A

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Palmeiras 16 10 5 1 +13 35 LWWWDDWWWW
2 Flamengo 15 9 4 2 +15 31 WWWDWWWWDD
3 Fluminense 16 9 3 4 +6 30 WWDWWWLLWL
4 São Paulo 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLLWLLWWWD
5 Athletico PR 16 7 3 6 +4 24 LLWLWWWWDW
6 Bragantino 16 7 2 7 +1 23 WLLWWWWLLW
7 Bahia 15 6 5 4 +2 23 WDWDWWLWDD
8 Coritiba 16 6 5 5 +2 23 WWLWLWLDLD
9 Botafogo 15 6 3 6 +1 21 WLLLLWLWDW
10 Atlético Mineiro 16 6 3 7 -1 21 WLWLDWDLWD
11 Internacional 16 5 6 5 +3 21 DWLDLLLDWW
12 Vasco da Gama 16 5 5 6 -3 20 LLDLWDWLLD
13 Cruzeiro 16 5 5 6 -5 20 WWLWWDDLLW
14 Vitória 15 5 4 6 -4 19 WLWLLDWLDL
15 Grêmio 16 4 6 6 -2 18 DLDLLWLLWD
16 Santos 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LLLWWLDLWL
17 Corinthians 16 4 6 6 -4 18 LDWDWWLLDL
18 Remo 16 3 6 7 -8 15 LWLLLDWDLD
19 Mirassol 15 3 4 8 -6 13 DDLLLWDWLL
20 Chapecoense 15 1 6 8 -14 9 DDLLLDDWLL

Managers: Vitória v Grêmio

Luis Castro
GrêmioManagerLuis Castro

Match information: Vitória v Grêmio

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
26
City
Salvador
Surface
grass
Capacity
30,618