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Leicester City v Burton Albion

English League One
Leicester City
1:2
Full time
Burton Albion

Leicester City v Burton Albion in English League One ended 1:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Leicester City v Burton Albion

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Leicester City at 41.0% - the match finished 1:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Leicester City X 2 · Burton Albion Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 45.6% 25.6% 28.9% Home win · Leicester City ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.0% 26.5% 32.5% Home win · Leicester City ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Leicester City ✘ Missed
Final score 1:2 Away win · Burton Albion
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.55 on a Leicester City win, 4.09 on the draw and 5.38 on a Burton Albion win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Leicester City win 1.55 1.59 Pinnacle 64.5% 41%
Draw 4.09 4.30 10Bet 24.4% 26.5%
Burton Albion win 5.38 5.80 10Bet 18.6% 32.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.69 1.76 Pinnacle 59.2% 48.8%
Under 2.5 goals 2.10 2.15 10Bet 47.6% 51.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.75 1.80 Betfair 57.1% 55.2%
Both teams to score - No 1.97 2.00 Betfair 50.8% 44.8%
Updated: 22.08.2026 14:41 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Leicester City v Burton Albion

  1. 5′M. Dennis · Goal (assist: K. Lofthouse)
  2. 17′C. Tilt · Yellow card
  3. 25′K. Chauke · Goal
  4. 29′O. Skipp · Red card
  5. 34′L. Cullen · Substitution (off: H. Choudhury)
  6. 42′W. Burns · Goal

Match statistics: Leicester City v Burton Albion

Statistic Leicester City Burton Albion
Possession 77% 23%
Shots on target 1 2
Total shots 4 6
Shots off target 0 1
Blocked shots 3 3
Corners 2 1
Fouls 4 5
Offsides 0 1
Yellow cards 0 1
Red cards 1 0
Saves 0 1
Passes 264 76
Pass accuracy 87% 63%

Line-ups: Leicester City v Burton Albion

Leicester City 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 5 Caleb Okoli 6.2
  2. 7 Wes Burns 6.2
  3. 9 Admir Bristrić 6.3
  4. 11 Liam Cullen 6.0
  5. 15 Harry Souttar 6.3
  6. 22 Oliver Skipp 5.2
  7. 29 Alex McCarthy 5.9
  8. 32 Olabade Aluko 6.3
  9. 33 Luke Thomas 6.9
  10. 36 Sammy Braybrooke 6.3
  11. 37 William Alves 6.3
Substitutes (7)
  1. 1 Jakub Stolarczyk
  2. 14 Bobby De Cordova-Reid
  3. 17 Hamza Choudhury
  4. 18 Christian McFarlane
  5. 20 Harry Howell
  6. 23 Tom Watson
  7. 25 Louis Page

Burton Albion 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 Jack Armer 7.0
  2. 4 Kgagelo Chauke 7.9
  3. 6 Toby Sibbick 6.3
  4. 8 Charlie Webster 6.6
  5. 12 George Evans 6.5
  6. 15 Kyran Lofthouse 6.9
  7. 16 Curtis Tilt 6.7
  8. 19 Matthew Dennis 7.6
  9. 26 Finn Delap 6.6
  10. 34 Corey Addai 7.0
  11. 41 Sulyman Krubally 6.3
Substitutes (7)
  1. 14 Will Collar
  2. 20 Jason Sraha
  3. 23 Emeka Adeile
  4. 24 Harvey Araujo
  5. 27 Kamil Dudek
  6. 28 Millar Matthews-Lewis
  7. 40 Zac Scutt

Form and head-to-head: Leicester City v Burton Albion

Leicester City

WLWDL

Burton Albion

LDWLD

English League One standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Sheffield Wednesday 6 4 1 1 +7 13 DWWWL
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 +6 12 DDWWD
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 +2 12 WWLLW
4 Cambridge United 6 3 2 1 +2 11 WDWLD
5 Oxford United 5 3 1 1 +6 10 WWLWD
6 Plymouth Argyle 6 3 1 2 +2 10 WWLWD
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 -2 10 WWLWD
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 +6 9 LWLWL
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 +4 9 WWDDL
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 +2 8 DLLWW
11 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 0 8 LDWLW
12 Luton Town 6 2 2 2 -1 8 LDWLD
13 Leicester City 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WLWDL
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 +5 7 LWWDL
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 +3 7 LDWLW
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 0 7 LDDWD
17 Mansfield Town 6 2 1 3 -3 7 DLLWL
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LLWWD
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 -4 6 WDLLD
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 -2 5 DDLDD
21 Peterborough United 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLW
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 -11 5 DLLLD
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -6 4 DLWLL
24 Doncaster Rovers 6 0 3 3 -3 3 LLDDD

Managers: Leicester City v Burton Albion

R. Martin
Leicester CityManagerR. Martin
G. Bowyer
Burton AlbionManagerG. Bowyer

Match information: Leicester City v Burton Albion

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League One
Round
Regular Season – 2
City
Leicester
Surface
grass
Capacity
32,312