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Notts County v Burton Albion

English League One
Notts County
2:1
Full time
Burton Albion

Notts County v Burton Albion in English League One ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Notts County v Burton Albion

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Burton Albion at 40.6% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Notts County X 2 · Burton Albion Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 40.7% 28.3% 31.0% Home win · Notts County ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 33.9% 25.5% 40.6% Away win · Burton Albion ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Burton Albion ✘ Missed
Final score 2:1 Home win · Notts County
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.28 on a Notts County win, 3.30 on the draw and 3.03 on a Burton Albion win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Notts County win 2.28 2.34 Pinnacle 43.9% 33.9%
Draw 3.30 3.41 Pinnacle 30.3% 25.5%
Burton Albion win 3.03 3.15 Pinnacle 33% 40.6%
Over 2.5 goals 2.00 2.07 Pinnacle 50% 57.9%
Under 2.5 goals 1.78 1.83 10Bet 56.2% 42.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.76 1.80 Betfair 56.8% 58.2%
Both teams to score - No 1.95 2.00 Betfair 51.3% 41.8%
Updated: 29.08.2026 10:03 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Notts County v Burton Albion

  1. 22′F. Delap · Goal (assist: Jack Armer)
  2. 34′Curtis Tilt · Yellow card
  3. 36′Rory Finneran · Yellow card

Match statistics: Notts County v Burton Albion

Statistic Notts County Burton Albion
Possession 45% 55%
Shots on target 2 1
Total shots 3 1
Shots off target 1 0
Corners 1 1
Fouls 10 7
Offsides 1 1
Yellow cards 1 1
Red cards 0 0
Saves 0 2
Passes 207 243

Line-ups: Notts County v Burton Albion

Notts County 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 J. Belshaw 5.6
  2. 2 J. Gibbons 5.8
  3. 4 J. Bedeau 6.7
  4. 7 C. Roberts 6.2
  5. 8 O. Cooper 6.4
  6. 12 L. Ness 6.5
  7. 14 D. Lipsiuc 6.2
  8. 15 J. Evans 6.5
  9. 25 N. Tsaroulla 6.8
  10. 27 R. Finneran 6.4
  11. 42 H. Mustapha 6.0
Substitutes (6)
  1. 11 C. Grant
  2. 17 Maziar Kouhyar
  3. 19 L. Smyth
  4. 21 H. Griffiths
  5. 26 I. Samuels-Smith
  6. 44 M. Baker

Burton Albion 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 J. Armer 7.5
  2. 4 K. Chauke 6.6
  3. 6 T. Sibbick 6.7
  4. 8 C. Webster 6.3
  5. 12 G. Evans 6.6
  6. 15 K. Lofthouse 6.0
  7. 16 C. Tilt 6.4
  8. 26 F. Delap 7.5
  9. 34 C. Addai 7.0
  10. 40 Zac Scutt 6.3
  11. 41 Sulyman Krubally 6.9
Substitutes (5)
  1. 10 T. Shade
  2. 14 W. Collar
  3. 20 J. Sraha
  4. 23 Emeka Adeile
  5. 27 K. Dudek

Form and head-to-head: Notts County v Burton Albion

Notts County

LDDDD

Burton Albion

LDWWD

English League One standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Sheffield Wednesday 6 4 1 1 +7 13 DWWWL
2 Huddersfield 6 3 3 0 +6 12 DDWWD
3 Bradford City 6 4 0 2 +2 12 WWLLW
4 Cambridge United 6 3 2 1 +2 11 WDWLD
5 Oxford United 5 3 1 1 +6 10 WWLWD
6 Plymouth Argyle 6 3 1 2 +2 10 WWLWD
7 AFC Wimbledon 6 3 1 2 -2 10 WWLWD
8 Stockport County 6 3 0 3 +6 9 LWLWL
9 Stevenage 6 2 3 1 +4 9 WWDDL
10 Blackpool 6 2 2 2 +2 8 DLLWW
11 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 0 8 LDWLW
12 Luton Town 6 2 2 2 -1 8 LDWLD
13 Leicester City 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WLWDL
14 Reading 5 2 1 2 +5 7 LWWDL
15 Leyton Orient 6 2 1 3 +3 7 LDWLW
16 Notts County 6 1 4 1 0 7 LDDWD
17 Mansfield Town 6 2 1 3 -3 7 DLLWL
18 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 -5 7 LLWWD
19 Wycombe 6 1 3 2 -4 6 WDLLD
20 Milton Keynes Dons 6 0 5 1 -2 5 DDLDD
21 Peterborough United 6 1 2 3 -6 5 DLDLW
22 Bromley 6 1 2 3 -11 5 DLLLD
23 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -6 4 DLWLL
24 Doncaster Rovers 6 0 3 3 -3 3 LLDDD

Match information: Notts County v Burton Albion

Kick-off
·
Competition
English League One
Round
Regular Season – 3