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Lincoln City v Southampton

English Championship
Lincoln City
1:1
Full time
Southampton

Lincoln City v Southampton in English Championship The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Lincoln City v Southampton

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Southampton at 47.2% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Lincoln City X 2 · Southampton Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 37.7% 28.1% 34.3% Home win · Lincoln City ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 31.5% 21.3% 47.2% Away win · Southampton ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Southampton ✘ Missed
Final score 1:1 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.99 on a Lincoln City win, 3.79 on the draw and 1.81 on a Southampton win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Lincoln City win 3.99 4.20 Bet365 25.1% 31.5%
Draw 3.79 4.03 Pinnacle 26.4% 21.3%
Southampton win 1.81 1.88 Dafabet 55.2% 47.2%
Over 2.5 goals 1.71 1.75 Betano 58.5% 60.2%
Under 2.5 goals 2.11 2.19 Pinnacle 47.4% 39.8%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.65 1.67 10Bet 60.6% 60.5%
Both teams to score - No 2.13 2.15 10Bet 46.9% 39.5%
Updated: 04.09.2026 04:38 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Lincoln City v Southampton

  1. 43′Conor McGrandles · Yellow card
  2. 44′Welington · Goal (assist: James Ward-Prowse)
  3. 54′C. Cohen · Yellow card
  4. 56′Ivan Varfolomeev · Yellow card
  5. 62′Cyle Larin · Substitution (off: Divin Mubama)
  6. 63′Léo Scienza · Substitution (off: Samuel Edozie)
  7. 64′Ivan Varfolomeev · Substitution (off: Yunus Konak)
  8. 64′Sonny Bradley · Substitution (off: Reeco Hackett-Fairchild)
  9. 64′Robert Nicholas Street · Substitution (off: Mikkel Ladefoged)
  10. 75′F. Draper · Yellow card
  11. 76′Conor McGrandles · Substitution (off: Tom Bayliss)
  12. 76′Ben House · Substitution (off: Chiedozie Ogbene)
  13. 78′Finn Azaz · Substitution (off: Lewis Dobbin)
  14. 78′Welington · Substitution (off: Ryan Manning)
  15. 84′Kuryu Matsuki · Substitution (off: Nathan Wood-Gordon)
  16. 87′Mikkel Ladefoged · Goal (assist: Reeco Hackett-Fairchild)

Match statistics: Lincoln City v Southampton

Statistic Lincoln City Southampton
Possession 39% 61%
Shots on target 5 4
Total shots 19 16
Shots off target 8 9
Blocked shots 6 3
Corners 4 6
Fouls 14 10
Offsides 0 1
Yellow cards 3 0
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 4
Passes 318 511

Line-ups: Lincoln City v Southampton

Lincoln City 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 G. Wickens 6.2
  2. 3 A. Reach 6.0
  3. 4 A. Coubiș 6.7
  4. 6 R. Towler 6.4
  5. 14 C. McGrandles 6.6
  6. 15 S. Bradley 6.9
  7. 17 R. Street 6.7
  8. 18 B. House 6.4
  9. 24 I. Varfolomeev 6.1
  10. 25 D. Elerewe 6.6
  11. 34 F. Draper 6.4
Substitutes (9)
  1. 7 R. Hackett 6.8
  2. 8 T. Bayliss 6.3
  3. 11 M. Ladefoged 8.2
  4. 16 D. Jefferies
  5. 19 I. Olaofe
  6. 20 C. Elder
  7. 26 Y. Konak 6.3
  8. 27 C. Ogbene 6.5
  9. 46 J. Gauci

Southampton 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Daniel Peretz 7.2
  2. 4 F. Downes 6.8
  3. 5 J. Stephens 6.9
  4. 7 Léo Scienza 6.6
  5. 9 C. Larin 6.3
  6. 10 F. Azaz 6.2
  7. 13 K. Schlotterbeck 7.1
  8. 14 J. Bree 6.6
  9. 27 K. Matsuki 6.5
  10. 30 J. Ward-Prowse 7.7
  11. 34 Welington 7.5
Substitutes (9)
  1. 3 R. Manning 6.4
  2. 6 Z. Abbott
  3. 11 L. Dobbin 6.9
  4. 15 N. Wood-Gordon 6.0
  5. 18 T. Fellows
  6. 23 S. Edozie 6.1
  7. 25 G. Long
  8. 26 Cameron Bragg
  9. 28 D. Mubama 5.8

Form and head-to-head: Lincoln City v Southampton

Lincoln City

WLDWW

Southampton

WWDWL

English Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 +4 11 WDLWW
8 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
9 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
10 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
12 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
13 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
14 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 9 LWLWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Match information: Lincoln City v Southampton

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
5