Southampton v Swansea City in English Championship ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Southampton v Swansea City
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Southampton at 47.9% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Southampton
X
2 · Swansea City
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
54.9%
24.5%
20.7%
Home win · Southampton
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
47.9%
22.3%
29.8%
Home win · Southampton
✔ Correct
Data Providers
45.0%
45.0%
10.0%
Home win · Southampton
✔ Correct
Final score
3:1
Home win · Southampton
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.84 on a Southampton win, 3.64 on the draw and 3.86 on a Swansea City win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Southampton win
1.84
1.87Pinnacle
54.3%
47.9%
Draw
3.64
3.74Marathonbet
27.5%
22.3%
Swansea City win
3.86
4.02Pinnacle
25.9%
29.8%
Over 2.5 goals
1.74
1.76Pinnacle
57.5%
52%
Under 2.5 goals
2.05
2.10Bet365
48.8%
48%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.66
1.67William Hill
60.2%
54.7%
Both teams to score - No
2.10
2.111xBet
47.6%
45.3%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:24 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Southampton v Swansea City
9′⚽Finn Azaz · Goal (assist: Flynn Downes)
33′⚽Cyle Larin · Goal (assist: James Bree)
45′🔄Joseph Amankwaah Opoku · Substitution (off: Ronald Pereira Martins)