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Southampton v Millwall

English Championship
Southampton
5:1
Full time
Millwall

Southampton v Millwall in English Championship ended 5:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Southampton v Millwall

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Southampton at 41.3% - the match finished 5:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Southampton X 2 · Millwall Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 53.1% 25.2% 21.7% Home win · Southampton ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.3% 19.5% 39.2% Home win · Southampton ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Millwall ✘ Missed
Final score 5:1 Home win · Southampton
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.97 on a Southampton win, 3.54 on the draw and 3.63 on a Millwall win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Southampton win 1.97 2.00 Betfair 50.8% 41.3%
Draw 3.54 3.73 Pinnacle 28.2% 19.5%
Millwall win 3.63 3.79 Pinnacle 27.5% 39.2%
Over 2.5 goals 1.80 1.83 Betano 55.6% 55.1%
Under 2.5 goals 2.00 2.08 Pinnacle 50% 45%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.66 1.70 10Bet 60.2% 51.6%
Both teams to score - No 2.12 2.20 Betfair 47.2% 48.4%
Updated: 29.08.2026 10:03 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Southampton v Millwall

  1. 4′R. Manning · Yellow card
  2. 10′M. Sykes · Yellow card
  3. 15′M. Sykes · Goal
  4. 25′C. Larin · Goal (assist: R. Manning)
  5. 39′F. Azaz · Goal (assist: L. Scienza)
  6. 46′F. Downes · Substitution (off: J. Ward-Prowse)
  7. 55′L. Scienza · Penalty
  8. 61′K. Lisbie · Substitution (off: L. Cundle)
  9. 62′C. Larin · Goal (assist: F. Azaz)
  10. 70′C. Larin · Substitution (off: D. Mubama)
  11. 71′T. Arconte · Substitution (off: D. Kelly)
  12. 71′L. Scienza · Substitution (off: T. Fellows)
  13. 71′Z. Sturge · Substitution (off: E. Baggott)
  14. 79′J. Metcalfe · Substitution (off: Z. Lovelace)
  15. 80′J. Coburn · Substitution (off: L. Dykes)
  16. 81′K. Matsuki · Substitution (off: L. Dobbin)
  17. 86′T. Fellows · Goal
  18. 87′T. Fellows · Yellow card
  19. 87′K. Schlotterbeck · Substitution (off: J. Stephens)

Match statistics: Southampton v Millwall

Statistic Southampton Millwall
Possession 52% 48%
Shots on target 7 5
Total shots 21 14
Shots off target 7 5
Blocked shots 7 4
Corners 8 11
Fouls 6 10
Offsides 1 2
Yellow cards 2 1
Saves 4 2
Passes 418 377
Pass accuracy 88% 80%

Line-ups: Southampton v Millwall

Southampton 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Daniel Peretz 7.2
  2. 3 Ryan Manning 6.7
  3. 4 Flynn Downes 6.6
  4. 7 Leo Scienza 8.7
  5. 9 Cyle Larin 8.9
  6. 10 Finn Azaz 9.2
  7. 13 Keven Schlotterbeck 6.7
  8. 14 James Bree 7.2
  9. 15 Nathan Wood 6.7
  10. 26 Cameron Bragg 7.5
  11. 27 Kuryu Matsuki 6.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 5 Jack Stephens
  2. 11 Lewis Dobbin 6.7
  3. 18 Tom Fellows 7.9
  4. 23 Samuel Edozie
  5. 25 George Long
  6. 28 Divin Mubama 6.5
  7. 29 Romeo Akachukwu
  8. 30 James Ward-Prowse 6.9
  9. 34 Welington

Millwall 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 3 Zak Sturge 5.3
  2. 5 Jake Cooper 5.9
  3. 6 Caleb Taylor 5.9
  4. 7 Tairyk Arconte 6.6
  5. 10 Camiel Neghli 6.3
  6. 14 Jenson Metcalfe 6.3
  7. 15 Max Crocombe 5.9
  8. 17 Mark Sykes 6.6
  9. 19 Josh Coburn 6.9
  10. 22 Kyrell Lisbie 6.2
  11. 24 Casper De Norre 6.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 2 Jordi Osei-Tutu
  2. 12 Elkan Baggott 6.3
  3. 13 Lyndon Dykes 6.7
  4. 16 Daniel Kelly 6.5
  5. 23 Danny Batth
  6. 25 Luke Cundle 6.3
  7. 29 Zak Lovelace 6.5
  8. 43 Joel Coleman
  9. 44 Alfie Massey

Form and head-to-head: Southampton v Millwall

Southampton

WWDDL

Millwall

LLWLW

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Southampton wins: 0; draws: 1; Millwall wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Southampton 0–0 Millwall English Championship
Millwall 3–2 Southampton English Championship

English Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 +4 11 WDLWW
8 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
9 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
10 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
12 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
13 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
14 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 9 LWLWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Managers: Southampton v Millwall

Tonda Eckert
SouthamptonManagerTonda Eckert
A. Neil
MillwallManagerA. Neil

Match information: Southampton v Millwall

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
3
City
Southampton
Surface
grass
Capacity
32,384