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Mantova v Empoli

Serie B
Mantova
3:1
Full time
Empoli

Mantova v Empoli in Serie B ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Mantova v Empoli

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Mantova at 49.9% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Mantova X 2 · Empoli Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 38.9% 27.7% 33.4% Home win · Mantova ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 49.9% 21.5% 28.6% Home win · Mantova ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Empoli ✘ Missed
Final score 3:1 Home win · Mantova
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.99 on a Mantova win, 3.18 on the draw and 3.90 on a Empoli win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Mantova win 1.99 2.10 10Bet 50.3% 49.9%
Draw 3.18 3.30 Dafabet 31.4% 21.5%
Empoli win 3.90 4.36 Pinnacle 25.6% 28.6%
Over 2.5 goals 2.10 2.23 Pinnacle 47.6% 53%
Under 2.5 goals 1.71 1.78 Betano 58.5% 47%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.83 1.95 Bet365 54.6% 50.9%
Both teams to score - No 1.87 2.00 Betfair 53.5% 49.1%
Updated: 30.08.2026 16:10 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Mantova v Empoli

  1. 23′G. Yepes · Yellow card
  2. 42′A. Castellini · Yellow card

Match statistics: Mantova v Empoli

Statistic Mantova Empoli
Possession 46% 54%
Shots on target 2 1
Total shots 5 2
Shots off target 2 1
Blocked shots 1 0
Corners 2 4
Fouls 5 5
Offsides 0 1
Yellow cards 0 1
Saves 1 2
Passes 162 188
Pass accuracy 80% 81%

Line-ups: Mantova v Empoli

Mantova 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 5 Bodin Tomašević 6.6
  2. 8 Rareș Ilie 6.3
  3. 9 Ettore Gliozzi 6.7
  4. 19 Francesco Ruocco 6.5
  5. 21 Simone Trimboli 6.9
  6. 22 Francesco Bardi 6.7
  7. 25 Lorenzo Ignacchiti 6.7
  8. 27 Alessio Castellini 7.0
  9. 29 Stefano Cella 6.3
  10. 41 Jonathan Silva 7.2
  11. 50 Fahem Benaissa-Yahia 6.6
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 Luca Gemello
  2. 6 Jean Pierre Longonda
  3. 10 David Wieser
  4. 11 Ismael Cajazzo
  5. 12 Manuel Gasparini
  6. 18 Sambaly Keïta
  7. 20 Flavio Paoletti
  8. 33 Cristian Marai
  9. 71 Federico Chinetti
  10. 75 Eman Košpo
  11. 80 Rachid Kouda
  12. 99 Vanja Vlahović

Empoli 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 8 Luca Magnino 6.7
  2. 10 Edoardo Saporiti 6.7
  3. 11 Stiven Shpendi 6.3
  4. 12 Jacopo Seghetti 7.2
  5. 20 Filippo Distefano 6.3
  6. 21 Gerard Yepes 6.7
  7. 25 Marco Curto 6.7
  8. 33 Cristian Cauz 6.9
  9. 35 Matteo Egan 6.7
  10. 91 Niccolò Corrado 6.9
  11. 98 Karim Zedadka 6.6
Substitutes (11)
  1. 1 Samuele Perisan
  2. 6 Simone Romagnoli
  3. 13 Emiliano Filippis
  4. 28 Gabriele Indragoli
  5. 29 Lorenzo Tosto
  6. 38 Mattia Huqi
  7. 39 Edoardo Biondini
  8. 44 Lapo Deli
  9. 45 Andrea Orlandi
  10. 57 Luca Belardinelli
  11. 77 Bogdan Popov

Form and head-to-head: Mantova v Empoli

Mantova

WDLWW

Empoli

LWWD

Serie B standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Mantova 4 3 1 0 +5 10 WDWW
2 Palermo 4 3 1 0 +4 10 DWWW
3 Südtirol 4 2 2 0 +3 8 DWDW
4 Avellino 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DWWL
5 Padova 4 2 1 1 0 7 WLDW
6 Modena 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DLWW
7 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 +1 7 LWDW
8 Cesena 4 1 3 0 +1 6 DDWD
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 0 6 LWWL
10 Empoli 4 2 0 2 -1 6 LWLW
11 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 -4 6 WLLW
12 Vicenza Virtus 4 1 2 1 -2 5 DDLW
13 Benevento 4 1 1 2 0 4 WLDL
14 Virtus Entella 4 1 1 2 +1 4 WDLL
15 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 -2 4 DWLL
16 Hellas Verona 4 1 1 2 +2 4 LWDL
17 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 -3 3 WLLL
18 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 -3 2 DLWL
19 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 -3 1 LLDL
20 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 -5 1 LLLD

Managers: Mantova v Empoli

F. Modesto
MantovaManagerF. Modesto
G. Pagliuca
EmpoliManagerG. Pagliuca

Match information: Mantova v Empoli

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie B
Round
Regular Season – 2
Venue
Stadio Danilo Martelli
City
Mantova
Surface
grass
Capacity
14,854