Mantova v Sampdoria

Serie B

Mantova v Sampdoria in Serie B ended 2:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Mantova v Sampdoria

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Mantova at 56.9% - the match finished 2:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Mantova X 2 · Sampdoria Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 49.4% 27.1% 23.5% Home win · Mantova ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 56.9% 21.2% 21.9% Home win · Mantova ✔ Correct
Final score 2:0 Home win · Mantova
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.15 on a Mantova win, 3.17 on the draw and 3.49 on a Sampdoria win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Mantova win 2.15 2.22 Betano 46.5% 56.9%
Draw 3.17 3.30 Pinnacle 31.5% 21.2%
Sampdoria win 3.49 3.65 Betano 28.7% 21.9%
Over 2.5 goals 2.20 2.40 Bet365 45.5% 64.7%
Under 2.5 goals 1.67 1.73 Marathonbet 59.9% 35.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.88 2.00 Bet365 53.2% 58.1%
Both teams to score - No 1.83 1.88 1xBet 54.6% 41.9%
Updated: 10.09.2026 23:33 · Average odds across 7 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Mantova v Sampdoria

  1. 16′Fahem Benaissa Yahia · Yellow card
  2. 28′Lorenzo Insigne · Yellow card
  3. 43′Francesco Modesto · Yellow card
  4. 44′Liam Henderson · Yellow card
  5. 45′Tjas Begic · Substitution (off: Oliver Abildgaard)

Match statistics: Mantova v Sampdoria

Statistic Mantova Sampdoria
Possession 59% 41%
Shots on target 0 1
Total shots 4 2
Shots off target 2 1
Blocked shots 2 0
Corners 4 3
Fouls 7 8
Offsides 3 3
Yellow cards 1 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 1 0
Passes 359 259

Line-ups: Mantova v Sampdoria

Mantova 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 5 B. Tomašević 7.3
  2. 8 R. Ilie 6.5
  3. 9 E. Gliozzi 6.6
  4. 19 F. Ruocco 6.9
  5. 22 F. Bardi 7.0
  6. 25 L. Ignacchiti 7.2
  7. 27 A. Castellini 7.3
  8. 29 S. Cella 6.7
  9. 41 Jonathan Silva 6.8
  10. 50 F. Benaissa-Yahia 6.7
  11. 80 R. Kouda 7.2
Substitutes (11)
  1. 1 L. Gemello
  2. 6 J. Mboyo
  3. 7 M. Spinaccè
  4. 10 D. Wieser
  5. 11 I. Cajazzo
  6. 18 S. Keita
  7. 20 F. Paoletti
  8. 30 D. Bragantini
  9. 71 Federico Chinetti
  10. 75 E. Košpo
  11. 99 V. Vlahović

Sampdoria 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 P. Vindahl 6.5
  2. 3 S. Gartenmann 7.0
  3. 6 L. Henderson 6.3
  4. 7 M. Cicconi 6.3
  5. 10 L. Insigne 5.9
  6. 11 T. Begić 6.5
  7. 15 F. Delli Carri 6.9
  8. 16 Y. Verschaeren 6.4
  9. 29 A. Di Pardo 6.6
  10. 45 A. Makoumbou 6.8
  11. 99 G. Tutino 6.6
Substitutes (8)
  1. 9 T. Lauritsen
  2. 12 Andrey Krastev
  3. 13 L. Ravanelli
  4. 20 D. Sinani
  5. 25 A. Ferrari
  6. 28 O. Abildgaard 6.2
  7. 43 K. Mbabu
  8. 96 S. Massolo

Form and head-to-head: Mantova v Sampdoria

Mantova

DLWWW

Sampdoria

LLDL

Serie B standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Mantova 4 3 1 0 +5 10 WDWW
2 Palermo 4 3 1 0 +4 10 DWWW
3 Südtirol 4 2 2 0 +3 8 DWDW
4 Avellino 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DWWL
5 Padova 4 2 1 1 0 7 WLDW
6 Modena 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DLWW
7 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 +1 7 LWDW
8 Cesena 4 1 3 0 +1 6 DDWD
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 0 6 LWWL
10 Empoli 4 2 0 2 -1 6 LWLW
11 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 -4 6 WLLW
12 Vicenza Virtus 4 1 2 1 -2 5 DDLW
13 Benevento 4 1 1 2 0 4 WLDL
14 Virtus Entella 4 1 1 2 +1 4 WDLL
15 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 -2 4 DWLL
16 Hellas Verona 4 1 1 2 +2 4 LWDL
17 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 -3 3 WLLL
18 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 -3 2 DLWL
19 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 -3 1 LLDL
20 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 -5 1 LLLD

Managers: Mantova v Sampdoria

F. Modesto
MantovaManagerF. Modesto
B. Corradi
SampdoriaManagerB. Corradi

Match information: Mantova v Sampdoria

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie B
Round
Regular Season – 4
Venue
Stadio Danilo Martelli
City
Mantova
Surface
grass
Capacity
14,854