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Palermo v Mantova

Coppa Italia
Palermo
5:2
Full time
Mantova

Palermo v Mantova in Coppa Italia ended 5:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Palermo v Mantova

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Mantova at 44.6% - the match finished 5:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Palermo X 2 · Mantova Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 65.6% 19.5% 14.9% Home win · Palermo ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 32.6% 22.8% 44.6% Away win · Mantova ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Palermo ✔ Correct
Final score 5:2 Home win · Palermo
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.63 on a Palermo win, 3.90 on the draw and 5.02 on a Mantova win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Palermo win 1.63 1.67 Betano 61.3% 32.6%
Draw 3.90 4.10 Dafabet 25.6% 22.8%
Mantova win 5.02 5.50 Betfair 19.9% 44.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.74 1.80 Betano 57.5% 58%
Under 2.5 goals 2.05 2.10 10Bet 48.8% 42%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.74 1.80 Bet365 57.5% 53.6%
Both teams to score - No 2.00 2.15 Betfair 50% 46.5%
Updated: 03.09.2026 16:36 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Palermo v Mantova

  1. 9′Gabriel Strefezza · Goal (assist: Claudio Gomes)
  2. 14′Simone Trimboli · Substitution (off: Rachid Kouda)
  3. 43′Rares Ilie · Yellow card
  4. 45+6′Antonio Palumbo · Penalty
  5. 45′Ismael Cajazzo · Substitution (off: Francesco Ruocco)
  6. 45′Federico Chinetti · Substitution (off: Jonathan Silva Pertinhes)
  7. 45′Gabriel Strefezza · Substitution (off: Dennis Johnsen)
  8. 52′Francesco Ruocco · Goal
  9. 55′Rachid Kouda · Goal (assist: Rares Ilie)
  10. 59′Alessandro Gabrielloni · Yellow card
  11. 60′Ettore Gliozzi · Substitution (off: Vanja Vlahovic)
  12. 61′Alessandro Gabrielloni · Substitution (off: Joel Pohjanpalo)
  13. 61′Antonio Palumbo · Substitution (off: Hernani)
  14. 61′Giangiacomo Magnani · Substitution (off: Patryk Peda)
  15. 62′Francesco Ruocco · Yellow card
  16. 70′Joel Pohjanpalo · Goal (assist: Dennis Johnsen)
  17. 73′Claudio Gomes · Substitution (off: Jacopo Segre)
  18. 77′Tommaso Del Lungo · Substitution (off: Bodin Tomašević)
  19. 89′Dennis Johnsen · Goal (assist: Jacopo Segre)
  20. 90+5′Joel Pohjanpalo · Goal (assist: Dominic Vavassori)

Match statistics: Palermo v Mantova

Statistic Palermo Mantova
Possession 43% 57%
Shots on target 9 8
Total shots 13 13
Shots off target 3 5
Blocked shots 1 0
Corners 3 2
Fouls 9 14
Offsides 2 6
Yellow cards 1 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 6 4
Passes 336 442

Line-ups: Palermo v Mantova

Palermo 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 5 A. Palumbo 6.6
  2. 6 C. Gomes 7.2
  3. 7 Gabriel Strefezza 7.5
  4. 9 D. Vavassori 7.4
  5. 14 M. Fortin 6.8
  6. 24 N. Estévez 6.1
  7. 33 A. Bozzolan 6.7
  8. 84 T. Cassandro 6.8
  9. 93 F. Barba 6.9
  10. 96 G. Magnani 6.4
  11. 99 A. Gabrielloni 6.2
Substitutes (12)
  1. 1 M. Perin
  2. 3 T. Augello
  3. 8 J. Segre 6.5
  4. 10 F. Ranocchia
  5. 12 M. Nespola
  6. 13 M. Bani
  7. 17 D. Johnsen 7.7
  8. 20 J. Pohjanpalo 8.7
  9. 23 Hernani 6.3
  10. 27 N. Pierozzi
  11. 29 P. Peda 6.5
  12. 32 P. Ceccaroni

Mantova 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 8 R. Ilie 5.8
  2. 9 E. Gliozzi 6.7
  3. 11 I. Cajazzo 5.6
  4. 21 S. Trimboli 5.8
  5. 22 F. Bardi 6.2
  6. 25 L. Ignacchiti 6.1
  7. 27 A. Castellini 6.3
  8. 29 S. Cella 5.9
  9. 50 F. Benaissa-Yahia 6.3
  10. 71 Federico Chinetti 6.0
Substitutes (13)
  1. 1 L. Gemello
  2. 5 B. Tomašević 5.7
  3. 6 J. Mboyo
  4. 10 D. Wieser
  5. 12 M. Gasparini
  6. 18 S. Keita
  7. 19 F. Ruocco 6.7
  8. 20 F. Paoletti
  9. 33 Cristian Marai
  10. 41 Jonathan Silva 6.6
  11. 75 E. Košpo
  12. 80 R. Kouda 7.7
  13. 99 V. Vlahović 6.3

Form and head-to-head: Palermo v Mantova

Palermo

DWWLW

Mantova

WDWWW

Coppa Italia standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Palermo v Mantova

F. Inzaghi
PalermoManagerF. Inzaghi
F. Modesto
MantovaManagerF. Modesto

Match information: Palermo v Mantova

Kick-off
·
Competition
Coppa Italia
Round
Round of 32
Venue
Stadio Danilo Martelli
City
Mantova
Surface
grass
Capacity
14,854