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Millwall v Bolton Wanderers

English Championship
Millwall
4:0
Full time
Bolton Wanderers

Millwall v Bolton Wanderers in English Championship ended 4:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Millwall v Bolton Wanderers

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Millwall at 53.3% - the match finished 4:0, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Millwall X 2 · Bolton Wanderers Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 53.8% 25.6% 20.6% Home win · Millwall ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 53.3% 22.8% 24.0% Home win · Millwall ✔ Correct
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Millwall ✔ Correct
Final score 4:0 Home win · Millwall
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.88 on a Millwall win, 3.38 on the draw and 4.15 on a Bolton Wanderers win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Millwall win 1.88 1.95 Dafabet 53.2% 53.3%
Draw 3.38 3.70 Betfair 29.6% 22.8%
Bolton Wanderers win 4.15 4.50 Betfair 24.1% 24%
Over 2.5 goals 2.03 2.16 Unibet 49.3% 50.4%
Under 2.5 goals 1.77 1.82 Betano 56.5% 49.6%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.86 1.97 Unibet 53.8% 48.7%
Both teams to score - No 1.85 1.91 10Bet 54.1% 51.3%
Updated: 04.09.2026 04:38 · Average odds across 12 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Millwall v Bolton Wanderers

  1. 38′Caleb Taylor · Goal (assist: Jenson Metcalfe)
  2. 45′John Mcatee · Substitution (off: Ruben Rodrigues)
  3. 55′Derek Mazou Sacko · Substitution (off: D. Kelly)
  4. 60′Sam Dalby · Substitution (off: Thelonius Bair)
  5. 60′Samuel Iling · Substitution (off: Kyliane Dong)
  6. 65′Taïryk Arconte · Substitution (off: Yanis Ali Issoufou)
  7. 65′Romain Esse · Substitution (off: Zakariya Lovelace)
  8. 75′Akin Famewo · Yellow card
  9. 75′Akin Famewo · Substitution (off: Max Conway)
  10. 76′Xavier Simons · Substitution (off: Ryan Hardie)
  11. 81′Jordi Osei-Tutu · Substitution (off: Elkan Baggott)
  12. 83′Lyndon Dykes · Goal (assist: Zakariya Lovelace)
  13. 86′Jenson Metcalfe · Red card
  14. 86′Josh Sheehan · Red card
  15. 88′Lyndon Dykes · Goal (assist: Zak Sturge)
  16. 90+2′Camiel Neghli · Goal

Match statistics: Millwall v Bolton Wanderers

Statistic Millwall Bolton Wanderers
Possession 39% 61%
Shots on target 5 4
Total shots 12 13
Shots off target 4 5
Blocked shots 3 4
Corners 4 9
Fouls 13 14
Offsides 8 0
Yellow cards 0 1
Red cards 1 1
Saves 4 1
Passes 265 412

Line-ups: Millwall v Bolton Wanderers

Millwall 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 J. Osei-Tutu 6.8
  2. 3 Zak Norton Sturge 6.8
  3. 5 J. Cooper 7.8
  4. 6 C. Taylor 8.1
  5. 7 T. Arconte 6.4
  6. 10 C. Neghli 7.8
  7. 11 R. Esse 6.9
  8. 13 L. Dykes 8.8
  9. 14 Jenson Metcalfe 7.7
  10. 15 M. Crocombe 7.4
  11. 49 D. Mazou-Sacko 6.9
Substitutes (7)
  1. 12 E. Baggott 7.1
  2. 16 D. Kelly 6.7
  3. 23 D. Batth
  4. 29 Z. Lovelace 7.3
  5. 34 F. Marschall
  6. 35 Y. Issoufou 6.5
  7. 44 Alfie Massey

Bolton Wanderers 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 J. Bonham 5.9
  2. 3 C. Forino-Joseph 6.2
  3. 4 X. Simons 6.3
  4. 5 L. Brunt 6.4
  5. 6 B. Davies 5.9
  6. 8 J. Sheehan 6.3
  7. 10 S. Dalby 6.5
  8. 11 T. Gale 5.7
  9. 14 A. Famewo 5.5
  10. 16 S. Iling-Junior 5.9
  11. 45 J. McAtee 5.8
Substitutes (9)
  1. 7 K. Dong 6.4
  2. 9 T. Bair 6.1
  3. 18 E. Toal
  4. 20 Ruben Rodrigues 6.8
  5. 21 E. Erhahon
  6. 25 M. Conway 5.7
  7. 26 J. Nelson
  8. 31 G. Bazunu
  9. 39 R. Hardie 6.3

Form and head-to-head: Millwall v Bolton Wanderers

Millwall

LLLLW

Bolton Wanderers

WLLLD

English Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 +4 11 WDLWW
8 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
9 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
10 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
12 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
13 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
14 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 9 LWLWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Managers: Millwall v Bolton Wanderers

A. Neil
MillwallManagerA. Neil
S. Schumacher
Bolton WanderersManagerS. Schumacher

Match information: Millwall v Bolton Wanderers

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
5
Venue
The Den
City
London
Surface
grass
Capacity
20,146