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Mirassol v Vitória

Serie A
Mirassol
2:2
Full time
Vitória

Mirassol v Vitória in Serie A ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Mirassol v Vitória

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Mirassol at 51.3% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Mirassol X 2 · Vitória Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 56.4% 25.0% 18.7% Home win · Mirassol ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 51.3% 24.9% 23.8% Home win · Mirassol ✘ Missed
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Mirassol ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.73 on a Mirassol win, 3.64 on the draw and 4.77 on a Vitória win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Mirassol win 1.73 1.77 1xBet 57.8% 51.3%
Draw 3.64 3.78 Pinnacle 27.5% 24.9%
Vitória win 4.77 5.25 Bet365 21% 23.8%
Over 2.5 goals 1.92 1.95 Bet365 52.1% 51.4%
Under 2.5 goals 1.87 1.91 Pinnacle 53.5% 48.6%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.80 1.81 Marathonbet 55.6% 49.4%
Both teams to score - No 1.91 1.95 Bet365 52.4% 50.6%
Updated: 11.09.2026 11:36 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Mirassol v Vitória

  1. 3′Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira · Goal (assist: Lucas Arcanjo)
  2. 12′Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira · Goal (assist: Erick)
  3. 18′Emanuel Brítez · Yellow card
  4. 29′Alesson dos Santos Batista · Yellow card
  5. 42′Gustavo Henric da Silva · Substitution (off: Edson Carioca)
  6. 45′Caíque Gonçalves · Yellow card
  7. 57′Wallisson · Yellow card
  8. 63′Wallisson · Substitution (off: Shaylon Kallyson Cardozo)
  9. 63′Alesson dos Santos Batista · Substitution (off: Fernandinho)
  10. 64′Willian Estefani Machado · Yellow card
  11. 68′Bruno Santos de Oliveira · Goal
  12. 69′Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve · Substitution (off: André Luis)
  13. 69′Willian Estefani Machado · Substitution (off: Lucas Oliveira)
  14. 70′Erick · Substitution (off: Marinho)
  15. 70′Diego Tarzia · Substitution (off: Tomás Pochettino)
  16. 77′Caíque Gonçalves · Substitution (off: Edenilson)
  17. 81′Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira · Substitution (off: Renato Kayzer)
  18. 89′Marinho · Yellow card
  19. 90′Edson Carioca · Goal (assist: Shaylon Kallyson Cardozo)
  20. 90+1′Edson Carioca · Yellow card

Match statistics: Mirassol v Vitória

Statistic Mirassol Vitória
Possession 75% 25%
Shots on target 6 6
Total shots 23 8
Shots off target 8 1
Blocked shots 9 1
Corners 9 5
Fouls 12 16
Offsides 1 2
Yellow cards 4 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 4 4
Passes 555 180

Line-ups: Mirassol v Vitória

Mirassol 4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 3 Willian Machado 6.2
  2. 6 Reinaldo 7.2
  3. 10 Chico 7.5
  4. 19 Gustavo Silva 6.2
  5. 23 Alex Muralha 6.8
  6. 30 Bruno Santos 7.8
  7. 32 Igor Formiga 7.2
  8. 33 Eduardo 6.1
  9. 44 Gabriel 6.8
  10. 77 Alesson 6.3
  11. 80 Wallisson 6.1
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 Lucas Oliveira 6.5
  2. 5 Japa
  3. 7 Shaylon 7.4
  4. 9 André Luís 6.9
  5. 12 Victor Luís
  6. 17 Fernandinho 6.5
  7. 18 Elias
  8. 20 Daniel Borges
  9. 25 Neto Moura
  10. 90 Thomazella
  11. 95 Edson 8.2
  12. 96 Carlos Eduardo

Vitória 5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Lucas Arcanjo 6.9
  2. 2 E. Brítez 6.2
  3. 12 D. Tarzia 6.1
  4. 25 Cacá 6.8
  5. 33 Erick 7.2
  6. 36 Luan Cândido 6.3
  7. 83 Jamerson 6.5
  8. 88 Zé Vitor 6.4
  9. 91 Rene 8.6
  10. 95 Caíque 6.0
  11. 98 Mateusinho 6.7
Substitutes (10)
  1. 7 Marinho 6.6
  2. 8 T. Pochettino 6.1
  3. 9 Alex Bruno
  4. 10 Matheuzinho
  5. 16 Rúben Ismael
  6. 20 Lucas Silva
  7. 26 Edenilson 6.1
  8. 70 Fabiano
  9. 71 Yuri Sena
  10. 79 Renato Kayzer 6.4

Form and head-to-head: Mirassol v Vitória

Mirassol

WLDDD

Vitória

WLLLL

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Palmeiras 27 16 8 3 +26 56 WDDWL
2 Flamengo 26 16 6 4 +30 54 WWWLW
3 Athletico PR 27 13 7 7 +10 46 DLDWD
4 Fluminense 27 12 9 6 +6 45 LWDWW
5 Bahia 26 11 10 5 +8 43 WWWDD
6 Cruzeiro 27 12 6 9 0 42 LWLWW
7 Atlético Mineiro 26 11 6 9 +4 39 WLWDW
8 Coritiba 27 10 8 9 -1 38 DLWWD
9 Bragantino 26 10 6 10 +3 36 DLLWD
10 Santos 26 9 8 9 0 35 WWWDW
11 São Paulo 26 9 6 11 +1 33 LWWLD
12 Vitória 27 9 6 12 -12 33 DWLLW
13 Corinthians 26 8 8 10 0 32 LLLLW
14 Botafogo 26 8 8 10 -3 32 DDLLL
15 Mirassol 27 7 8 12 -11 29 DWLDD
16 Grêmio 26 7 7 12 -7 28 LLWLL
17 Vasco da Gama 26 7 7 12 -12 28 WLWLL
18 Internacional 27 6 10 11 -5 28 WLLDD
19 Remo 26 5 8 13 -13 23 LLLDD
20 Chapecoense 26 3 8 15 -24 17 LWLWD

Managers: Mirassol v Vitória

Guanaes Rafael
MirassolManagerGuanaes Rafael

Match information: Mirassol v Vitória

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
Regular Season – 27
City
Mirassol
Surface
grass
Capacity
15,000