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Nacional v Alverca

Liga Portugal
Nacional
1:3
Full time
Alverca

Nacional v Alverca in Liga Portugal ended 1:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Nacional v Alverca

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Nacional at 49.0% - the match finished 1:3, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Nacional X 2 · Alverca Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 48.9% 27.0% 24.1% Home win · Nacional ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 49.0% 26.2% 24.8% Home win · Nacional ✘ Missed
Final score 1:3 Away win · Alverca
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.57 on a Nacional win, 3.23 on the draw and 2.67 on a Alverca win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Nacional win 2.57 2.70 1xBet 38.9% 49%
Draw 3.23 3.40 Betfair 31% 26.2%
Alverca win 2.67 2.85 Dafabet 37.5% 24.8%
Over 2.5 goals 2.01 2.06 1xBet 49.8% 50%
Under 2.5 goals 1.78 1.83 1xBet 56.2% 50%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.74 1.75 Marathonbet 57.5% 49.8%
Both teams to score - No 1.98 2.00 10Bet 50.5% 50.2%
Updated: 09.09.2026 05:20 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Nacional v Alverca

  1. 18′Yaya Bojang · Yellow card
  2. 34′Francisco Chissumba · Goal (assist: Francisco Chiquinho)
  3. 36′Dawda Camara Sankharé · Goal (assist: Diogo Spencer)
  4. 42′Dawda Camara Sankharé · Goal (assist: Diogo Spencer)
  5. 45′Daniel de Melo Araujo Junior · Substitution (off: Matchoi Djaló)
  6. 45′Markus Jensen · Substitution (off: Song Min-kyu)
  7. 48′Dawda Camara Sankharé · Yellow card
  8. 54′Matheus dos Santos Dias · Substitution (off: Chiheb Labidi)
  9. 65′Francisco Chiquinho · Substitution (off: Matheus Franca)
  10. 66′Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos · Substitution (off: André Vidigal)
  11. 69′Stavros Gavriel · Substitution (off: Allen Obando)
  12. 72′Dawda Camara Sankharé · Substitution (off: Vivaldo Semedo)
  13. 73′Diogo Spencer · Yellow card
  14. 78′Pablo Ruan · Substitution (off: Fernando Nava Ortega)
  15. 79′Davy Gui · Substitution (off: Rayan Lucas)
  16. 79′Isaac James · Substitution (off: Cedric Nuozzi)
  17. 81′Matchoi Djaló · Goal

Match statistics: Nacional v Alverca

Statistic Nacional Alverca
Possession 57% 43%
Shots on target 3 7
Total shots 13 10
Shots off target 9 3
Blocked shots 1 0
Corners 2 0
Fouls 7 16
Offsides 0 1
Yellow cards 0 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 4 3
Passes 474 358

Line-ups: Nacional v Alverca

Nacional 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 Renato Bellucci 6.2
  2. 6 Matheus Dias 6.0
  3. 7 M. Jensen 6.8
  4. 8 Miguel Baeza 6.3
  5. 10 Daniel Júnior 6.1
  6. 11 S. Gavriel 6.1
  7. 21 W. Kokolo 7.2
  8. 33 Francisco Gonçalves 6.7
  9. 38 Zé Vitor 7.2
  10. 52 Wesley Gasolina 6.4
  11. 99 Pablo Ruan 6.5
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
  2. 9 A. Obando 6.5
  3. 12 Song Min-Kyu 6.7
  4. 13 João Gonçalves
  5. 14 Ivanildo Fernandes
  6. 15 C. Labidi 6.2
  7. 17 F. Nava 6.3
  8. 20 Matchoi Djaló 6.9
  9. 23 Mateus Iseppe
  10. 26 Joel da Silva
  11. 50 Kevyn
  12. 88 Deivison

Alverca 3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 4 Y. Bojang 6.7
  2. 6 D. Gui 6.4
  3. 10 Chiquinho 7.1
  4. 12 I. James 7.0
  5. 19 D. Camara 8.6
  6. 20 Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques 8.3
  7. 21 Sergi Gómez 6.9
  8. 22 Figueiredo 6.4
  9. 25 Ian Luccas 6.2
  10. 31 Matheus Mendes 6.3
  11. 55 Francisco Chissumba 8.2
Substitutes (12)
  1. 7 André Vidigal 6.0
  2. 9 Vivaldo Semedo 6.6
  3. 11 C. Nuozzi 6.7
  4. 15 I. Julian
  5. 17 S. Merheg
  6. 18 Z. Kassary
  7. 23 André Paulo
  8. 26 Matheus França 6.5
  9. 27 Toni Tamarit
  10. 35 Rayan 6.5
  11. 91 Jhonatan
  12. 93 Zé Rafael

Form and head-to-head: Nacional v Alverca

Nacional

LLLWD

Alverca

LDLDL

Liga Portugal standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 +13 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 5 4 1 0 +15 13 WWWWD
3 Sporting CP 5 4 1 0 +9 13 WWWWD
4 Santa Clara 5 3 2 0 +6 11 WDWWD
5 Arouca 5 3 1 1 +4 10 DWLWW
6 Estrela Amadora 5 2 3 0 +2 9 WDWDD
7 Academico Viseu 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WWLDL
8 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 +2 7 LDWW
9 Sporting Braga 4 2 1 1 +1 7 LWWD
10 Marítimo 5 2 1 2 -2 7 LLDWW
11 Alverca 6 1 2 3 -3 5 WLDLD
12 Vitória Guimarães 6 1 1 4 -3 4 LDLWL
13 Nacional 6 1 1 4 -4 4 LLLLW
14 Moreirense 5 1 1 3 -8 4 LLWLD
15 Famalicão 5 0 3 2 -2 3 DDLLD
16 Rio Ave 5 1 0 4 -9 3 LLWLL
17 Estoril 5 0 2 3 -5 2 DLLLD
18 Casa Pia 6 0 1 5 -14 1 LDLLL

Managers: Nacional v Alverca

Alexandre Santos
NacionalManagerAlexandre Santos

Match information: Nacional v Alverca

Kick-off
·
Competition
Liga Portugal
Round
Regular Season – 6
City
Ilha da Madeira
Surface
grass
Capacity
5,132