LigaToday
Profile

Nacional v Estrela Amadora

Liga Portugal
Nacional
2:3
Full time
Estrela Amadora

Nacional v Estrela Amadora in Liga Portugal ended 2:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Nacional v Estrela Amadora

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Nacional at 41.3% - the match finished 2:3, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Nacional X 2 · Estrela Amadora Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 52.3% 24.7% 23.1% Home win · Nacional ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 41.3% 27.0% 31.8% Home win · Nacional ✘ Missed
Data Providers 35.0% 35.0% 30.0% Home win · Nacional ✘ Missed
Final score 2:3 Away win · Estrela Amadora
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.35 on a Nacional win, 3.26 on the draw and 3.03 on a Estrela Amadora win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Nacional win 2.35 2.43 Pinnacle 42.6% 41.3%
Draw 3.26 3.50 Betfair 30.7% 27%
Estrela Amadora win 3.03 3.15 Betano 33% 31.8%
Over 2.5 goals 1.96 2.03 Pinnacle 51% 57.5%
Under 2.5 goals 1.83 1.87 Betfair 54.6% 42.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.72 1.75 Betfair 58.1% 57.4%
Both teams to score - No 2.02 2.07 Betano 49.5% 42.6%
Updated: 30.08.2026 10:09 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Nacional v Estrela Amadora

  1. 3′Wesley Gasolina · Goal (assist: W. Kokolo)
  2. 40′F. Soares · Substitution (off: M. Djalo)
  3. 45+1′Ze Vitor · Yellow card
  4. 45+1′I. Stoica · Penalty

Match statistics: Nacional v Estrela Amadora

Statistic Nacional Estrela Amadora
Possession 44% 56%
Shots on target 2 1
Total shots 5 5
Shots off target 2 3
Blocked shots 1 1
Corners 3 1
Fouls 9 3
Offsides 0 1
Saves 1 1
Passes 170 218
Pass accuracy 81% 82%

Line-ups: Nacional v Estrela Amadora

Nacional 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Renato Marin 6.7
  2. 6 Matheus Dias 6.9
  3. 8 Miguel Baeza 6.6
  4. 10 Daniel Júnior 6.9
  5. 21 Williams Kokolo 6.6
  6. 22 Filipe Soares 6.2
  7. 28 Liziero 6.7
  8. 34 Léo Santos 7.0
  9. 38 Ze Vitor 6.5
  10. 52 Wesley Gasolina 7.9
  11. 99 Pablo Messias Cardozo 6.6
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 Daniel De la Cruz
  2. 7 Markus Jensen
  3. 9 Allen Obando
  4. 11 Stavros Gavriel
  5. 13 João Gonçalves
  6. 17 Fernando Nava
  7. 20 Matchoi Djaló
  8. 23 Mateus Jose Iseppe
  9. 31 Danel Dongmo
  10. 33 Francisco Gonçalves
  11. 50 Kevyn
  12. 88 Deivison Souza Brito

Estrela Amadora 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 5 Stefan Leković 6.2
  2. 8 Robinho 6.9
  3. 10 Ianis Stoica 6.6
  4. 14 Lovro Zvonarek 6.2
  5. 21 Max Scholze 6.5
  6. 24 Léo Linck 6.6
  7. 30 Luan Patrick 6.6
  8. 37 Leandro Antonetti 6.3
  9. 39 Eddy Doué 6.9
  10. 55 Rafa Soares 6.2
  11. 99 Abraham Marcus 6.3
Substitutes (12)
  1. 3 Lucas Mincarelli
  2. 4 Bernardo Schappo
  3. 9 Sydney van Hooijdonk
  4. 17 Jefferson Encada
  5. 19 Joan Jordán
  6. 22 David Grilo
  7. 51 Diogo Pinto
  8. 71 Emerson Pedro Vanga
  9. 78 Santiago Serra
  10. 79 Atanas Chernev
  11. 80 Alisson Souza de Jesus
  12. 93 Bénito

Form and head-to-head: Nacional v Estrela Amadora

Nacional

LLLWD

Estrela Amadora

DWDDD

Liga Portugal standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 +13 18 WWWWW
2 Benfica 6 5 1 0 +17 16 WWWWW
3 Sporting CP 6 4 2 0 +9 14 DWWWW
4 Santa Clara 6 4 2 0 +7 14 WWDWW
5 Arouca 6 3 1 2 +3 10 LDWLW
6 Estrela Amadora 5 2 3 0 +2 9 WDWDD
7 Academico Viseu 6 2 2 2 -2 8 WWLDL
8 Sporting Braga 4 2 1 1 +1 7 LWWD
9 Gil Vicente 5 2 1 2 0 7 LLDWW
10 Marítimo 5 2 1 2 -2 7 LLDWW
11 Alverca 6 1 2 3 -3 5 WLDLD
12 Famalicão 6 0 4 2 -2 4 DDDLL
13 Vitória Guimarães 6 1 1 4 -3 4 LDLWL
14 Nacional 6 1 1 4 -4 4 LLLLW
15 Moreirense 5 1 1 3 -8 4 LLWLD
16 Rio Ave 5 1 0 4 -9 3 LLWLL
17 Estoril 5 0 2 3 -5 2 DLLLD
18 Casa Pia 6 0 1 5 -14 1 LDLLL

Managers: Nacional v Estrela Amadora

Giao Joao
NacionalManagerGiao Joao
Pepa
Estrela AmadoraManagerPepa

Match information: Nacional v Estrela Amadora

Kick-off
·
Competition
Liga Portugal
Round
4
City
Ilha da Madeira
Surface
grass
Capacity
5,132