Navalcarnero v Real Murcia

Navalcarnero v Real Murcia in Copa Federacion ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Navalcarnero v Real Murcia

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Real Murcia at 37.5% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Navalcarnero X 2 · Real Murcia Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 34.1% 23.2% 42.7% Away win · Real Murcia ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 36.0% 26.4% 37.5% Away win · Real Murcia ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Navalcarnero ✔ Correct
Final score 3:1 Home win · Navalcarnero
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.39 on a Navalcarnero win, 3.47 on the draw and 1.94 on a Real Murcia win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Navalcarnero win 3.39 3.50 1xBet 29.5% 36%
Draw 3.47 3.79 1xBet 28.8% 26.4%
Real Murcia win 1.94 2.00 1xBet 51.5% 37.5%
Over 2.5 goals 1.87 1.90 Bet365 53.5% 58%
Under 2.5 goals 1.87 1.92 1xBet 53.5% 42%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.71 1.75 William Hill 58.5% 57.8%
Both teams to score - No 1.95 1.99 1xBet 51.3% 42.2%
Updated: 30.09.2026 13:36 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Navalcarnero v Real Murcia

  1. 48′A. Bustos · Red card
  2. 51′M. Jimenez · Goal
  3. 52′A. Meca · Goal
  4. 55′Alvarito · Goal
  5. 65′Alvarito · Goal
  6. 89′O. Gil · Red card

Form and head-to-head: Navalcarnero v Real Murcia

Navalcarnero

WLWDW

Real Murcia

LWWWL

Copa Federacion standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Match information: Navalcarnero v Real Murcia

Kick-off
·
Competition
Copa Federacion
Round
Quarter-finals