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Palermo v Sampdoria

Serie B
Palermo
3:1
Full time
Sampdoria

Palermo v Sampdoria in Serie B ended 3:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Palermo v Sampdoria

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Palermo at 56.9% - the match finished 3:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Palermo X 2 · Sampdoria Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.7% 26.3% 22.0% Home win · Palermo ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 56.9% 18.2% 24.9% Home win · Palermo ✔ Correct
Data Providers 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% Home win · Palermo ✔ Correct
Final score 3:1 Home win · Palermo
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.76 on a Palermo win, 3.45 on the draw and 4.61 on a Sampdoria win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Palermo win 1.76 1.80 Bet365 56.8% 56.9%
Draw 3.45 3.55 Pinnacle 29% 18.2%
Sampdoria win 4.61 4.84 Pinnacle 21.7% 24.9%
Over 2.5 goals 1.93 2.00 Bet365 51.8% 69.6%
Under 2.5 goals 1.85 1.89 Marathonbet 54.1% 30.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.83 1.91 Bet365 54.6% 54%
Both teams to score - No 1.89 1.92 1xBet 52.9% 46%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:23 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Palermo v Sampdoria

  1. 9′Gabriel Strefezza · Goal (assist: Tommaso Augello)
  2. 18′Liam Henderson · Yellow card
  3. 18′Lorenzo Insigne · Yellow card
  4. 21′Gabriel Strefezza · Substitution (off: Dominic Vavassori)
  5. 33′Joel Pohjanpalo · Goal
  6. 45′Hernani · Substitution (off: Antonio Palumbo)
  7. 47′Mattia Bani · Yellow card
  8. 53′Danel Sinani · Substitution (off: Tjas Begic)
  9. 63′Lorenzo Insigne · Goal
  10. 65′Niccolo Pierozzi · Substitution (off: Tommaso Cassandro)
  11. 65′Filippo·Ranocchia · Substitution (off: Nahuel Estévez)
  12. 70′Lorenzo Insigne · Substitution (off: Oliver Abildgaard)
  13. 83′Yari Verschaeren · Substitution (off: Lorenzo Mezzotero)
  14. 84′Joel Pohjanpalo · Substitution (off: Alessandro Gabrielloni)
  15. 90+2′Antonio Palumbo · Yellow card
  16. 90+4′Antonio Palumbo · Goal (assist: Dennis Johnsen)
  17. 90+6′Manuel Cicconi · Yellow card

Match statistics: Palermo v Sampdoria

Statistic Palermo Sampdoria
Possession 46% 54%
Shots on target 6 5
Total shots 14 14
Shots off target 5 9
Blocked shots 3 0
Corners 2 5
Fouls 14 10
Offsides 1 2
Yellow cards 2 3
Red cards 0 0
Saves 4 3
Passes 419 490

Line-ups: Palermo v Sampdoria

Palermo 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 M. Perin 6.8
  2. 3 T. Augello 6.4
  3. 7 Gabriel Strefezza 7.9
  4. 8 J. Segre 6.7
  5. 10 F. Ranocchia 6.6
  6. 13 M. Bani 6.9
  7. 17 D. Johnsen 7.0
  8. 20 J. Pohjanpalo 8.0
  9. 23 Hernani 6.3
  10. 27 N. Pierozzi 6.6
  11. 32 P. Ceccaroni 6.9
Substitutes (12)
  1. 5 A. Palumbo 6.8
  2. 6 C. Gomes
  3. 9 D. Vavassori 6.5
  4. 11 E. Gyasi
  5. 12 M. Nespola
  6. 14 M. Fortin
  7. 24 N. Estévez 6.6
  8. 33 A. Bozzolan
  9. 84 T. Cassandro 6.3
  10. 93 F. Barba
  11. 96 G. Magnani
  12. 99 A. Gabrielloni 6.7

Sampdoria 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1 P. Vindahl 6.1
  2. 3 S. Gartenmann 6.2
  3. 6 L. Henderson 6.2
  4. 7 M. Cicconi 5.7
  5. 10 L. Insigne 7.6
  6. 15 F. Delli Carri 6.3
  7. 16 Y. Verschaeren 5.8
  8. 20 D. Sinani 6.8
  9. 29 A. Di Pardo 6.1
  10. 45 A. Makoumbou 6.7
  11. 99 G. Tutino 6.5
Substitutes (7)
  1. 11 T. Begić 6.5
  2. 12 A. Krastev
  3. 25 A. Ferrari
  4. 28 O. Abildgaard 6.0
  5. 35 Leo Rodella
  6. 39 L. Mezzotero 6.3
  7. 96 S. Massolo

Form and head-to-head: Palermo v Sampdoria

Palermo

DWLWW

Sampdoria

LLDL

Serie B standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Mantova 4 3 1 0 +5 10 WDWW
2 Palermo 4 3 1 0 +4 10 DWWW
3 Südtirol 4 2 2 0 +3 8 DWDW
4 Avellino 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DWWL
5 Padova 4 2 1 1 0 7 WLDW
6 Modena 4 2 1 1 +3 7 DLWW
7 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 +1 7 LWDW
8 Cesena 4 1 3 0 +1 6 DDWD
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 0 6 LWWL
10 Empoli 4 2 0 2 -1 6 LWLW
11 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 -4 6 WLLW
12 Vicenza Virtus 4 1 2 1 -2 5 DDLW
13 Benevento 4 1 1 2 0 4 WLDL
14 Virtus Entella 4 1 1 2 +1 4 WDLL
15 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 -2 4 DWLL
16 Hellas Verona 4 1 1 2 +2 4 LWDL
17 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 -3 3 WLLL
18 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 -3 2 DLWL
19 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 -3 1 LLDL
20 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 -5 1 LLLD

Managers: Palermo v Sampdoria

F. Inzaghi
PalermoManagerF. Inzaghi
B. Corradi
SampdoriaManagerB. Corradi

Match information: Palermo v Sampdoria

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie B
Round
Regular Season – 3
City
Palermo
Surface
grass
Capacity
36,365