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Portsmouth v Derby County

English Championship
Portsmouth
0:2
Full time
Derby County

Portsmouth v Derby County in English Championship ended 0:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Portsmouth v Derby County

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Portsmouth at 43.3% - the match finished 0:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Portsmouth X 2 · Derby County Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 40.3% 29.6% 30.2% Home win · Portsmouth ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 43.3% 21.5% 35.2% Home win · Portsmouth ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Derby County ✔ Correct
Final score 0:2 Away win · Derby County
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.95 on a Portsmouth win, 3.43 on the draw and 3.88 on a Derby County win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Portsmouth win 1.95 2.02 Pinnacle 51.3% 43.3%
Draw 3.43 3.54 Pinnacle 29.2% 21.5%
Derby County win 3.88 4.10 10Bet 25.8% 35.2%
Over 2.5 goals 2.00 2.05 Betfair 50% 61.7%
Under 2.5 goals 1.80 1.87 SBO 55.6% 38.4%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.80 1.87 Betfair 55.6% 64.2%
Both teams to score - No 1.92 2.00 William Hill 52.1% 35.8%
Updated: 01.09.2026 16:21 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Portsmouth v Derby County

  1. 16′S. Szmodics · Goal (assist: B. Clark)
  2. 51′S. Langas · Yellow card
  3. 59′R. Brewster · Substitution (off: L. Salvesen)
  4. 62′L. Salvesen · Goal (assist: O. Fraulo)
  5. 65′R. Kavuma McQueen · Substitution (off: L. Brooke-Smith)
  6. 66′Marezi · Substitution (off: C. Bishop)
  7. 69′T. Devlin · Yellow card
  8. 72′M. Pack · Substitution (off: I. Mohamed)
  9. 72′E. Adams · Substitution (off: R. R. Shein)
  10. 80′C. Forsyth · Substitution (off: R. Nyambe)
  11. 81′B. Clark · Substitution (off: J. Ward)
  12. 83′C. Taylor · Yellow card
  13. 85′Z. Swanson · Substitution (off: O. Bailey)
  14. 86′R. Hedges · Substitution (off: M. Johnston)
  15. 86′S. Szmodics · Substitution (off: F. Bilbija)

Form and head-to-head: Portsmouth v Derby County

Portsmouth

DWLWL

Derby County

LLLLD

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Portsmouth wins: 0; draws: 1; Derby County wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Portsmouth 0–1 Derby County English Championship
Derby County 1–1 Portsmouth English Championship

English Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 +4 11 WDLWW
8 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
9 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
10 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
12 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
13 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
14 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 9 LWLWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Match information: Portsmouth v Derby County

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
4
Venue
Fratton Park
City
Portsmouth
Surface
grass
Capacity
20,688