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Derby County v Swansea City

English Championship
Derby County
0:3
Full time
Swansea City

Derby County v Swansea City in English Championship ended 0:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Derby County v Swansea City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Derby County at 43.7% - the match finished 0:3, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Derby County X 2 · Swansea City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 38.5% 28.9% 32.6% Home win · Derby County ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 43.7% 20.8% 35.4% Home win · Derby County ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Swansea City ✔ Correct
Final score 0:3 Away win · Swansea City
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.29 on a Derby County win, 3.24 on the draw and 3.11 on a Swansea City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Derby County win 2.29 2.36 Pinnacle 43.7% 43.7%
Draw 3.24 3.36 Pinnacle 30.9% 20.8%
Swansea City win 3.11 3.20 Pinnacle 32.2% 35.4%
Over 2.5 goals 2.09 2.16 SBO 47.8% 54.8%
Under 2.5 goals 1.73 1.78 Betano 57.8% 45.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.80 1.85 Superbet 55.6% 55%
Both teams to score - No 1.92 2.00 Betfair 52.1% 45%
Updated: 29.08.2026 10:03 · Average odds across 13 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Derby County v Swansea City

  1. 2′Joseph Amankwaah Opoku · Goal (assist: Eom Ji-Sung)
  2. 24′Joseph Amankwaah Opoku · Substitution (off: Moussa Kounfolo Yeo)
  3. 44′Eom Ji-Sung · Goal
  4. 45′max johnston · Substitution (off: Joe Ward)
  5. 45′Corey Blackett-Taylor · Substitution (off: Sammie Szmodics)
  6. 45′Ryan Hedges · Substitution (off: Rhian Brewster)
  7. 65′Adam Idah · Substitution (off: Zan Vipotnik)
  8. 65′melker widell · Substitution (off: Elijah Just)
  9. 65′Jay Fulton · Substitution (off: Stephen Eustáquio)

Match statistics: Derby County v Swansea City

Statistic Derby County Swansea City
Possession 53% 47%
Shots on target 0 4
Total shots 8 9
Shots off target 2 3
Blocked shots 6 2
Corners 5 1
Fouls 12 4
Offsides 4 3
Yellow cards 0 0
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 0
Passes 318 320

Line-ups: Derby County v Swansea City

Derby County 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 J. Widell Zetterström 5.7
  2. 6 S. Langås 6.1
  3. 8 B. Clark 6.1
  4. 15 L. Salvesen 6.4
  5. 18 C. Taylor 6.0
  6. 20 A. Mowatt 6.7
  7. 22 M. Johnston 5.4
  8. 26 R. Hedges 5.6
  9. 27 L. Travis 6.0
  10. 28 D. Sanderson 6.5
  11. 33 C. Blackett-Taylor 5.7
Substitutes (8)
  1. 3 C. Forsyth
  2. 10 R. Brewster 6.3
  3. 11 S. Szmodics 6.3
  4. 13 F. Bilbija
  5. 23 J. Ward 5.8
  6. 24 R. Nyambe
  7. 29 O. Fraulo
  8. 31 J. Vickers

Swansea City 4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 2 J. Key 7.6
  2. 4 J. Fulton 6.6
  3. 6 M. Stamenić 6.5
  4. 7 M. Widell 6.7
  5. 10 Eom Ji-Sung 8.4
  6. 14 J. Tymon 6.7
  7. 22 L. Vigouroux 6.2
  8. 23 S. Welsh 7.5
  9. 26 F. Lissah 7.2
  10. 30 Joseph Okopu 7.8
  11. 33 A. Idah 6.4
Substitutes (8)
  1. 1 A. Fisher
  2. 3 J. Seelt
  3. 8 E. Just
  4. 9 Z. Vipotnik
  5. 20 Tiago Parente
  6. 35 Ronald
  7. 46 S. Eustáquio
  8. 49 M. Yeo 7.1

Form and head-to-head: Derby County v Swansea City

Derby County

LLLWD

Swansea City

WLDWD

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Derby County wins: 2; draws: 0; Swansea City wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Derby County 2–0 Swansea City English Championship
Swansea City 1–2 Derby County English Championship

English Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 +4 11 WDLWW
8 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
9 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
10 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
12 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
13 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
14 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 9 LWLWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Match information: Derby County v Swansea City

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
3
City
Derby
Surface
grass
Capacity
33,597