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Derby County v Cardiff City

English Championship
Derby County
2:2
Full time
Cardiff City

Derby County v Cardiff City in English Championship ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Derby County v Cardiff City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Derby County at 49.3% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Derby County X 2 · Cardiff City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 40.3% 28.3% 31.4% Home win · Derby County ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 49.3% 20.7% 30.1% Home win · Derby County ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Cardiff City ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.02 on a Derby County win, 3.45 on the draw and 3.59 on a Cardiff City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Derby County win 2.02 2.09 Dafabet 49.5% 49.3%
Draw 3.45 3.59 Pinnacle 29% 20.7%
Cardiff City win 3.59 4.00 10Bet 27.9% 30.1%
Over 2.5 goals 1.89 2.00 10Bet 52.9% 56.9%
Under 2.5 goals 1.89 1.99 Pinnacle 52.9% 43.1%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.72 1.83 10Bet 58.1% 56%
Both teams to score - No 2.03 2.20 Betfair 49.3% 44%
Updated: 22.08.2026 14:41 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Derby County v Cardiff City

  1. 9′C. Blackett-Taylor · Yellow card
  2. 19′C. Ashford · Goal (assist: R. Kpakio)
  3. 26′C. Morris · Goal (assist: B. Clark)
  4. 39′Y. Salech · Goal (assist: R. Colwill)
  5. 49′B. Clark · Goal
  6. 53′A. Robertson · Yellow card
  7. 55′O. Fraulo · Yellow card
  8. 59′R. Colwill · Substitution (off: D. Turnbull)
  9. 59′C. Ashford · Substitution (off: C. Willock)
  10. 60′L. Travis · Yellow card
  11. 64′O. Fraulo · Substitution (off: R. Hedges)
  12. 65′C. Blackett-Taylor · Substitution (off: R. Brewster)
  13. 71′J. Moylan · Substitution (off: J. Colwill)
  14. 71′O. Tanner · Substitution (off: I. Davies)
  15. 80′M. Johnston · Yellow card
  16. 85′D. Sanderson · Yellow card
  17. 88′M. Johnston · Substitution (off: R. Nyambe)
  18. 88′C. Morris · Substitution (off: L. Salvesen)

Match statistics: Derby County v Cardiff City

Statistic Derby County Cardiff City
Possession 36% 64%
Shots on target 7 7
Total shots 15 16
Shots off target 7 6
Blocked shots 1 3
Corners 7 7
Fouls 12 10
Offsides 5 0
Yellow cards 5 1
Saves 4 4
Passes 282 521
Pass accuracy 79% 85%

Line-ups: Derby County v Cardiff City

Derby County 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Jacob Widell Zetterström 7.9
  2. 6 Sondre Langås 6.7
  3. 8 Bobby Clark 7.3
  4. 9 Carlton Morris 7.3
  5. 18 Charlie Taylor 7.5
  6. 20 Alex Mowatt 7.3
  7. 22 Max Johnston 6.7
  8. 27 Lewis Travis 6.5
  9. 28 Dion Sanderson 6.6
  10. 29 Oscar Fraulo 6.9
  11. 33 Corey Blackett-Taylor 7.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 3 Craig Forsyth
  2. 10 Rhian Brewster 6.5
  3. 13 Filip Bilbija
  4. 15 Lars-Jørgen Salvesen 6.7
  5. 23 Joe Ward
  6. 24 Ryan Nyambe 6.6
  7. 26 Ryan Hedges 6.9
  8. 31 Josh Vickers
  9. 37 Owen Eames

Cardiff City 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Nathan Trott 7.3
  2. 3 Joel Bagan 8.7
  3. 8 Jack Moylan 6.3
  4. 9 Yousef Salech 6.7
  5. 10 Rubin Colwill 7.0
  6. 11 Ollie Tanner 6.9
  7. 18 Alex Robertson 6.9
  8. 23 Calum Scanlon 6.9
  9. 38 Perry Ng 6.9
  10. 44 Ronan Kpakio 6.3
  11. 45 Cian Ashford 7.2
Substitutes (9)
  1. 14 David Turnbull 6.9
  2. 16 Chris Willock 6.9
  3. 27 Joel Colwill 6.7
  4. 30 Harry Tyrer
  5. 33 Rob Tankiewicz
  6. 39 Isaak Davies 6.5
  7. 40 Noah Anyadike
  8. 41 Matthew Turner
  9. 47 Callum Robinson

Form and head-to-head: Derby County v Cardiff City

Derby County

LLLWL

Cardiff City

LDLLD

English Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 +4 11 WDLWW
8 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
9 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
10 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
11 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
12 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
13 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
14 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 -1 9 LWLWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Managers: Derby County v Cardiff City

J. Eustace
Derby CountyManagerJ. Eustace
B. Barry-Murphy
Cardiff CityManagerB. Barry-Murphy

Match information: Derby County v Cardiff City

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
2
City
Derby
Surface
grass
Capacity
33,597