Shelbourne v Derry City in Irish Premier Division ended 0:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Shelbourne v Derry City
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Shelbourne at 39.5% - the match finished 0:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Shelbourne
X
2 · Derry City
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
44.3%
27.0%
28.7%
Home win · Shelbourne
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
39.5%
23.5%
37.0%
Home win · Shelbourne
✘ Missed
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Derry City
✔ Correct
Final score
0:1
Away win · Derry City
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.32 on a Shelbourne win, 3.37 on the draw and 2.90 on a Derry City win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Shelbourne win
2.32
2.341xBet
43.1%
39.5%
Draw
3.37
3.50Pinnacle
29.7%
23.5%
Derry City win
2.90
2.95Pinnacle
34.5%
37%
Over 2.5 goals
1.99
2.01Pinnacle
50.3%
60.6%
Under 2.5 goals
1.81
1.82Pinnacle
55.2%
39.4%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.74
1.75William Hill
57.5%
62.2%
Both teams to score - No
1.96
1.981xBet
51%
37.8%
Updated: 07.09.2026 11:10 · Average odds across 4 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Shelbourne v Derry City
27′🟨Odhran Casey · Yellow card
50′🟨Jonathan Lunney · Yellow card
57′🔄Alistair Coote · Substitution (off: Sean Moore)
57′🔄Ademipo Odubeko · Substitution (off: Sean Boyd)
58′🔄Jonathan Lunney · Substitution (off: Jack Henry-Francis)
59′🔄Darragh Burns · Substitution (off: James Clarke)