Waterford v Derry City in Irish Premier Division ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Waterford v Derry City
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Waterford at 42.7% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model
1 · Waterford
X
2 · Derry City
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
51.9%
24.6%
23.4%
Home win · Waterford
✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost)
42.7%
25.3%
32.0%
Home win · Waterford
✘ Missed
Data Providers
10.0%
45.0%
45.0%
Away win · Derry City
✘ Missed
Final score
2:2
Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.16 on a Waterford win, 3.50 on the draw and 2.12 on a Derry City win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Waterford win
3.16
3.161xBet
31.6%
42.7%
Draw
3.50
3.501xBet
28.6%
25.3%
Derry City win
2.12
2.121xBet
47.2%
32%
Updated: 11.09.2026 11:36 · Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.