Waterford v Derry City

Waterford v Derry City in Irish Premier Division ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Waterford v Derry City

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Waterford at 42.7% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Waterford X 2 · Derry City Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.9% 24.6% 23.4% Home win · Waterford ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 42.7% 25.3% 32.0% Home win · Waterford ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Derry City ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.16 on a Waterford win, 3.50 on the draw and 2.12 on a Derry City win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Waterford win 3.16 3.16 1xBet 31.6% 42.7%
Draw 3.50 3.50 1xBet 28.6% 25.3%
Derry City win 2.12 2.12 1xBet 47.2% 32%
Updated: 11.09.2026 11:36 · Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Waterford v Derry City

  1. 9′Adam O'Reilly · Goal (assist: James Clarke)
  2. 11′Adam O'Reilly · Yellow card
  3. 45′James Clarke · Yellow card
  4. 45′Evan McLaughlin · Goal
  5. 51′Michael Duffy · Goal (assist: Brandon·Fleming)
  6. 57′Padraig Amond · Goal (assist: Bernardo Piexoto Couto)
  7. 64′Liam Boyce · Yellow card
  8. 64′Evan McLaughlin · Substitution (off: Sam Glenfield)
  9. 64′Noah Mawene · Substitution (off: Luke Heeney)
  10. 64′C.Noonan · Substitution (off: Dean Mcmenamy)
  11. 73′Sam Glenfield · Yellow card
  12. 73′James Clarke · Substitution (off: Ellis Chapman)
  13. 74′Darragh Burns · Yellow card
  14. 76′Darragh Burns · Substitution (off: Kévin Santos)
  15. 88′Mark Gerard Connolly · Yellow card
  16. 88′Ciaran Grogan · Yellow card

Match statistics: Waterford v Derry City

Statistic Waterford Derry City
Possession 39% 61%
Shots on target 6 2
Total shots 16 14
Shots off target 6 3
Blocked shots 4 9
Corners 7 5
Fouls 17 12
Offsides 0 2
Yellow cards 1 5
Red cards 0 0
Saves 0 4
Passes 238 382

Line-ups: Waterford v Derry City

Waterford 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 S. McMullan 6.1
  2. 3 Benny Couto 7.9
  3. 5 J. Mahon 6.0
  4. 7 N. Mawene 6.3
  5. 8 E. McLaughlin 7.1
  6. 9 P. Amond 7.7
  7. 10 C. Noonan 6.4
  8. 13 K. Long 6.1
  9. 16 H. Cann 5.7
  10. 18 T. Lonergan 5.8
  11. 20 J. Voilås 6.5
Substitutes (9)
  1. 6 J. Ashton
  2. 12 B. McKenzie
  3. 15 L. Heeney 6.2
  4. 17 J. Faria
  5. 19 S. Glenfield 5.9
  6. 21 Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
  7. 27 D. McMenamy 6.2
  8. 32 G. Amedu
  9. 56 A. Brennan

Derry City 3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 3 Patrick McClean 6.9
  2. 4 J. Stott 5.7
  3. 7 M. Duffy 8.2
  4. 8 A. O'Reilly 7.5
  5. 12 D. Burns 6.4
  6. 13 Tom Norcott 6.8
  7. 15 J. Clarke 6.4
  8. 17 N. Twisk 6.1
  9. 19 B. Fleming 6.3
  10. 23 C. Dummigan 6.6
  11. 27 L. Boyce 6.5
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 B. Maher
  2. 11 G. Whyte
  3. 14 E. Chapman 6.0
  4. 21 Kévin Santos 6.0
  5. 22 C. Barr
  6. 24 Brooklyn Lyons-Foster
  7. 25 Christy Grogan
  8. 28 J. Olayinka
  9. 29 T. Smith

Form and head-to-head: Waterford v Derry City

Waterford

DWWDW
  • HDundalk1–1D
  • HSligo Rovers3–0W
  • ASt Patrick's Athl.2–0W
  • ASligo Rovers0–0D
  • HAthlone Town2–1W

Derry City

WWDLW
  • AShelbourne1–0W
  • HDundalk4–2W
  • HShamrock Rovers3–3D
  • ABohemians3–5L
  • AUCD2–1W

Head-to-head – last 3 meetings

Waterford wins: 1; draws: 1; Derry City wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Derry City 2–4 Waterford Irish Premier Division
Waterford 2–2 Derry City Irish Premier Division
Derry City 4–2 Waterford Irish Premier Division

Irish Premier Division standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Shamrock Rovers 29 16 8 5 +19 56 DDWDW
2 St Patrick's Athl. 29 14 8 7 +20 50 LWWDD
3 Bohemians 29 14 8 7 +16 50 WWLDW
4 Dundalk 29 10 10 9 +1 40 WLLDD
5 Shelbourne 28 8 12 8 -2 36 DDLLW
6 Derry City 29 7 13 9 +1 34 DLWDL
7 Galway United 28 8 10 10 -6 34 DWDDD
8 Waterford 29 7 11 11 -9 32 WDWWD
9 Drogheda United 29 6 10 13 -15 28 LLDDD
10 Sligo Rovers 29 5 8 16 -25 23 LDLDD

Managers: Waterford v Derry City

G. Coughlan
WaterfordManagerG. Coughlan

Match information: Waterford v Derry City

Kick-off
·
Competition
Irish Premier Division
Round
Regular Season – 30
Venue
Waterford Regional Sports Centre
City
Waterford
Surface
grass
Capacity
5,500