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Derry City v Dundalk

FAI Cup
Derry City
4:2
Full time
Dundalk

Derry City v Dundalk in FAI Cup ended 4:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Derry City v Dundalk

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Dundalk at 40.3% - the match finished 4:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Derry City X 2 · Dundalk Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 58.1% 20.5% 21.5% Home win · Derry City ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 37.9% 21.9% 40.3% Away win · Dundalk ✘ Missed
Final score 4:2 Home win · Derry City
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.11 on a Derry City win, 3.34 on the draw and 2.91 on a Dundalk win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Derry City win 2.11 2.20 Bet365 47.4% 37.9%
Draw 3.34 3.45 Marathonbet 29.9% 21.9%
Dundalk win 2.91 3.04 1xBet 34.4% 40.3%
Over 2.5 goals 1.68 1.74 Pinnacle 59.5% 70.2%
Under 2.5 goals 2.00 2.10 Bet365 50% 29.8%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.58 1.67 Bet365 63.3% 66.5%
Both teams to score - No 2.13 2.21 1xBet 46.9% 33.5%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:20 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Derry City v Dundalk

  1. 9′D. McDaid · Yellow card
  2. 13′S. Tracey · Goal
  3. 23′P. McClean · Goal
  4. 44′M. Duffy · Penalty
  5. 57′C. Dillon · Substitution (off: L. Gaxha)
  6. 57′A. Dervin · Substitution (off: K. Buckley)
  7. 57′D. McDaid · Substitution (off: T. Clarke)
  8. 65′R. Cornwall · Substitution (off: J. Wilson)
  9. 66′C. Dummigan · Yellow card
  10. 68′D. Burns · Substitution (off: K. Santos)
  11. 72′S. Tracey · Substitution (off: H. Groome)
  12. 76′T. Smith · Substitution (off: L. Boyce)
  13. 80′K. Santos · Goal
  14. 85′M. Duffy · Goal
  15. 87′M. Duffy · Yellow card
  16. 90+1′L. Gaxha · Goal
  17. 90+2′P. McClean · Yellow card
  18. 90+3′M. Duffy · Substitution (off: J. Olayinka)

Form and head-to-head: Derry City v Dundalk

Derry City

DWDLW
  • AWaterford2–2D
  • AShelbourne1–0W
  • HShamrock Rovers3–3D
  • ABohemians3–5L
  • AUCD2–1W

Dundalk

LDWLW
  • HSt Patrick's Athl.0–4L
  • AWaterford1–1D
  • ADrogheda United3–2W
  • HGalway United1–2L
  • HCastlebar Celtic8–0W

Head-to-head – last 3 meetings

Derry City wins: 0; draws: 2; Dundalk wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Dundalk 2–1 Derry City Irish Premier Division
Dundalk 2–2 Derry City Irish Premier Division
Derry City 2–2 Dundalk Irish Premier Division

FAI Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Match information: Derry City v Dundalk

Kick-off
·
Competition
FAI Cup
Round
Quarter-finals