Waterford v Dundalk

Waterford v Dundalk in Irish Premier Division The match ended 1–1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics including xG, and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Waterford v Dundalk

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Waterford at 44.4% - the match finished 1:1, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Waterford X 2 · Dundalk Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 52.3% 24.9% 22.8% Home win · Waterford ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 44.4% 23.9% 31.7% Home win · Waterford ✘ Missed
Data Providers 45.0% 45.0% 10.0% Home win · Waterford ✘ Missed
Final score 1:1 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.47 on a Waterford win, 3.61 on the draw and 2.55 on a Dundalk win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Waterford win 2.47 2.50 William Hill 40.5% 44.4%
Draw 3.61 3.74 Pinnacle 27.7% 23.9%
Dundalk win 2.55 2.62 Pinnacle 39.2% 31.7%
Over 2.5 goals 1.48 1.52 Pinnacle 67.6% 60.8%
Under 2.5 goals 2.44 2.53 Pinnacle 41% 39.2%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.46 1.53 William Hill 68.5% 53.9%
Both teams to score - No 2.57 2.63 1xBet 38.9% 46.1%
Updated: 07.09.2026 11:10 · Average odds across 4 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Waterford v Dundalk

  1. 21′John Mahon · Own goal
  2. 31′Keith Buckley · Yellow card
  3. 37′H. Cann · Goal (assist: Bernardo Piexoto Couto)
  4. 56′shane tracey · Yellow card
  5. 60′shane tracey · Substitution (off: Bobby Burns)
  6. 61′John Ross Wilson · Substitution (off: Harvey Warren)
  7. 61′leonardo gaxha · Substitution (off: Declan McDaid)
  8. 61′Keith Buckley · Substitution (off: Aodh Dervin)
  9. 65′Harvey Warren · Yellow card
  10. 72′Egor Vassenin · Substitution (off: Harry Groome)
  11. 78′Evan McLaughlin · Yellow card
  12. 90′ronan teahan · Yellow card

Match statistics: Waterford v Dundalk

Statistic Waterford Dundalk
Possession 40% 60%
Shots on target 7 2
Total shots 17 10
Shots off target 7 6
Blocked shots 3 2
Corners 9 1
Fouls 16 10
Offsides 4 1
Yellow cards 1 4
Red cards 0 0
Saves 2 7
Passes 249 396

Line-ups: Waterford v Dundalk

Waterford 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 S. McMullan 5.9
  2. 3 Benny Couto 7.2
  3. 5 J. Mahon 6.0
  4. 7 N. Mawene 6.3
  5. 8 E. McLaughlin 6.0
  6. 9 P. Amond 6.7
  7. 10 C. Noonan 6.3
  8. 13 K. Long 6.8
  9. 16 H. Cann 6.8
  10. 18 T. Lonergan 6.4
  11. 20 J. Voilås 6.4
Substitutes (9)
  1. 6 J. Ashton
  2. 11 T. Coyle
  3. 12 B. McKenzie
  4. 15 L. Heeney
  5. 17 J. Faria
  6. 21 Arlo Ricky Hugh Doherty
  7. 27 D. McMenamy
  8. 32 G. Amedu
  9. 56 A. Brennan

Dundalk 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 E. Minogue 7.1
  2. 4 M. Animasahun 6.1
  3. 7 D. Horgan 6.5
  4. 9 C. Dillon 6.4
  5. 10 Leonardo Gaxha 6.2
  6. 11 R. Teahan 6.8
  7. 16 E. Vassenin 6.2
  8. 17 S. Tracey 6.9
  9. 18 K. Buckley 6.7
  10. 31 J. Wilson 5.8
  11. 44 T. Grivosti 5.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 3 B. Burns 6.6
  2. 5 H. Warren 6.0
  3. 6 A. Dervin 6.4
  4. 8 H. Groome 6.5
  5. 12 L. Mulligan
  6. 19 Sean Spaight
  7. 20 S. Safaei
  8. 23 A. M. Keogh
  9. 27 D. McDaid 6.3

Form and head-to-head: Waterford v Dundalk

Waterford

DWWDW
  • HDerry City2–2D
  • HSligo Rovers3–0W
  • ASt Patrick's Athl.2–0W
  • ASligo Rovers0–0D
  • HAthlone Town2–1W

Dundalk

LLWLW
  • HSt Patrick's Athl.0–4L
  • ADerry City2–4L
  • ADrogheda United3–2W
  • HGalway United1–2L
  • HCastlebar Celtic8–0W

Head-to-head – last 3 meetings

Waterford wins: 1; draws: 1; Dundalk wins: 1.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Dundalk 2–3 Waterford Irish Premier Division
Waterford 3–3 Dundalk Irish Premier Division
Dundalk 5–0 Waterford Irish Premier Division

Irish Premier Division standings

Current competition standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Shamrock Rovers 29 16 8 5 +19 56 DDWDW
2 St Patrick's Athl. 29 14 8 7 +20 50 LWWDD
3 Bohemians 29 14 8 7 +16 50 WWLDW
4 Dundalk 29 10 10 9 +1 40 WLLDD
5 Shelbourne 28 8 12 8 -2 36 DDLLW
6 Derry City 29 7 13 9 +1 34 DLWDL
7 Galway United 28 8 10 10 -6 34 DWDDD
8 Waterford 29 7 11 11 -9 32 WDWWD
9 Drogheda United 29 6 10 13 -15 28 LLDDD
10 Sligo Rovers 29 5 8 16 -25 23 LDLDD

Managers: Waterford v Dundalk

G. Coughlan
WaterfordManagerG. Coughlan
C. Kilduff
DundalkManagerC. Kilduff

Match information: Waterford v Dundalk

Kick-off
·
Competition
Irish Premier Division
Round
Regular Season – 31
Venue
Waterford Regional Sports Centre
City
Waterford
Surface
grass
Capacity
5,500