Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

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Start time 23:00

When and where is Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro in Serie A Is the match on? Here you’ll find the kick-off time, the free AI prediction (1X2), expected goals (xG), form from the last 10 matches, the head-to-head record and the probable starting line-ups. See the match prediction or the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

What the models say

1 of 2 models lean towards Home win · Athletico PR (average probability 43.7%).

Model	1 · Athletico PR	X	2 · Atlético Mineiro	Pick
ELO + Poisson	50.8%	25.3%	23.9%	Home win · Athletico PR
Pro AI (XGBoost)	36.6%	20.4%	43.0%	Away win · Atlético Mineiro
Consensus	43.7%	22.9%	33.5%	Home win · Athletico PR

Model probabilities are for information purposes only - they do not constitute betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Bookmaker odds

The bookmakers are offering average odds of 2.04 on a Athletico PR win, 3.17 on the draw and 3.71 on a Atlético Mineiro win.

Market	Avg odds	Best	Market %	Model %
Athletico PR win	2.04	2.12 1xBet	49%	36.6%
Draw	3.17	3.40 BetVictor	31.5%	20.4%
Atlético Mineiro win	3.71	4.05 Pinnacle	27%	43%
Over 2.5 goals	2.03	2.07 1xBet	49.3%	56.8%
Under 2.5 goals	1.77	1.82 Betano	56.5%	43.2%
Both teams to score - Yes	1.80	1.85 William Hill	55.6%	54.5%
Both teams to score - No	1.92	2.00 Betano	52.1%	45.5%

Updated: 02.10.2026 01:43 · Average odds across 9 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Form and head-to-head: Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

Athletico PR

WDLDW

20 Sep 2026HBahia2–1W
12 Sep 2026ACoritiba3–3D
6 Sep 2026ACruzeiro1–3L
30 Aug 2026HFluminense3–3D
25 Aug 2026ABotafogo3–2W

Atlético Mineiro

WDWLW

3 Oct 2026HBragantino1–0W
19 Sep 2026HChapecoense1–1D
12 Sep 2026HFluminense3–1W
5 Sep 2026ASão Paulo0–2L
2 Sep 2026HCruzeiro2–1W

Serie A standings

Current competition standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	+32	60	WWWWW
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	+26	57	DWDDW
3	Athletico PR	28	14	7	7	+11	49	WDLDW
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	+8	48	WLWDW
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	+8	46	LWWWW
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	+2	45	WLWLW
7	Atlético Mineiro	28	12	7	9	+5	43	WDWLW
8	Santos	28	11	8	9	+2	41	WWWWW
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	-6	38	LDLWW
10	São Paulo	28	10	6	12	+1	36	LWLWW
11	Bragantino	28	10	6	12	+1	36	LLDLL
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	-4	35	LWDDL
13	Vitória	28	9	6	13	-14	33	LDWLL
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	-3	32	LLLLL
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	-9	32	WDWLD
16	Vasco da Gama	27	8	7	12	-7	31	WWLWL
17	Grêmio	28	7	8	13	-8	29	DLLLW
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	-6	28	LWLLD
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	-15	23	LLLLL
20	Chapecoense	27	3	9	15	-24	18	DLWLW

Match information: Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

Kick-off: Thu 8 Oct · 23:00
Competition: Serie A
Round: Regular Season – 29
Venue: Arena da Baixada
City: Curitiba
Surface: grass
Capacity: 43,981