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Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

Serie A
Athletico PR
2:2
Full time
Atlético Mineiro

Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro in Serie A ended 2:2. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Atlético Mineiro at 41.6% - the match finished 2:2, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Athletico PR X 2 · Atlético Mineiro Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 51.3% 25.2% 23.5% Home win · Athletico PR ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 37.7% 20.6% 41.6% Away win · Atlético Mineiro ✘ Missed
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Atlético Mineiro ✘ Missed
Final score 2:2 Draw
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 2.10 on a Athletico PR win, 3.21 on the draw and 3.60 on a Atlético Mineiro win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Athletico PR win 2.10 2.16 1xBet 47.6% 37.7%
Draw 3.21 3.40 Bet365 31.2% 20.6%
Atlético Mineiro win 3.60 3.90 Pinnacle 27.8% 41.6%
Over 2.5 goals 2.01 2.07 Betano 49.8% 56.6%
Under 2.5 goals 1.80 1.85 Pinnacle 55.6% 43.5%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.78 1.80 William Hill 56.2% 56%
Both teams to score - No 1.95 2.05 Betfair 51.3% 44%
Updated: 08.10.2026 20:20 · Average odds across 10 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

  1. 8′Kerwin Vargas · Goal (assist: Gilberto)
  2. 27′Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte · Goal
  3. 38′Frederico Rodrigues de Paula Santos · Substitution (off: Victor Hugo Gomes Silva)
  4. 61′Gilberto · Substitution (off: Claudinho)
  5. 61′João Victor Machado Cruz · Substitution (off: Leonardo Caetano Silva)
  6. 67′Tomás Cuello · Yellow card
  7. 67′Maycon de Andrade Barberan · Substitution (off: Tomás Pérez)
  8. 68′Mamady Cisse · Substitution (off: Kevin Castaño)
  9. 73′Tomás Pérez · Red card
  10. 74′Kevin Castaño · Yellow card
  11. 76′Reinier Jesus Carvalho · Substitution (off: Thiago Borbas)
  12. 76′Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte · Substitution (off: Igor Gomes)
  13. 81′Luiz Gustavo · Substitution (off: Bruno Zapelli)
  14. 81′Carlos Teran · Substitution (off: jorge rivaldo)
  15. 90′Lucas Esquivel · Substitution (off: Gilberto Junior)
  16. 90+3′Kevin Viveros · Goal
  17. 90+7′Lyanco Evangelista Silveira Neves Vojnović · Goal (assist: Thiago Borbas)

Match statistics: Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

Statistic Athletico PR Atlético Mineiro
Possession 51% 49%
Shots on target 10 9
Total shots 31 15
Shots off target 13 5
Blocked shots 8 1
Corners 10 4
Fouls 13 11
Offsides 0 1
Yellow cards 0 2
Red cards 0 1
Saves 7 8
Passes 498 487

Line-ups: Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

Athletico PR 3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Mycael 7.7
  2. 4 Arthur Dias 6.8
  3. 7 S. Mendoza 6.5
  4. 8 João Cruz 6.3
  5. 9 K. Viveros 8.1
  6. 12 Gilberto 6.5
  7. 14 Luiz Gustavo 6.7
  8. 16 Jádson 7.0
  9. 18 K. Vargas 8.2
  10. 22 C. Terán 6.4
  11. 37 L. Esquivel 8.0
Substitutes (12)
  1. 2 Gilberto
  2. 3 Léo
  3. 5 Felipinho
  4. 10 B. Zapelli 5.8
  5. 19 Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto 6.9
  6. 21 Leozinho 7.1
  7. 23 Santos
  8. 26 Claudinho 6.2
  9. 47 Chiqueti
  10. 53 Dudu
  11. 63 Diogo Riquelme
  12. 70 Renan

Atlético Mineiro 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1 Gabriel Delfim 8.3
  2. 2 Natanael 6.8
  3. 6 Renan Lodi 6.9
  4. 7 Fred 6.0
  5. 8 Maycon 6.3
  6. 11 Bernard 8.2
  7. 13 Lyanco 7.2
  8. 19 Reinier 6.4
  9. 28 T. Cuello 6.3
  10. 39 Mamady Cisse 6.3
  11. 40 Vitão 6.7
Substitutes (11)
  1. 3 Léo Duarte
  2. 5 Alexsander
  3. 14 Vitor Hugo
  4. 15 K. Castaño 6.4
  5. 17 Igor Gomes 6.1
  6. 18 T. Borbas 6.8
  7. 25 T. Pérez 5.2
  8. 30 Victor Hugo 6.5
  9. 31 Robert
  10. 36 K. Pascini
  11. 92 Dudu

Form and head-to-head: Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

Athletico PR

WDLDW

Atlético Mineiro

WDWLW

Serie A standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 Flamengo 28 18 6 4 +32 60 WWWWW
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 +26 57 DWDDW
3 Athletico PR 28 14 7 7 +11 49 WDLDW
4 Cruzeiro 29 14 6 9 +4 48 WWLWL
5 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 +8 48 WLWDW
6 Bahia 28 12 10 6 +8 46 LWWWW
7 Atlético Mineiro 28 12 7 9 +5 43 WDWLW
8 Santos 28 11 8 9 +2 41 WWWWW
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 -6 38 LDLWW
10 Bragantino 29 10 7 12 +1 37 DLLDL
11 São Paulo 29 10 6 13 -1 36 LLWLW
12 Vitória 29 10 6 13 -10 36 WLDWL
13 Botafogo 29 9 8 12 -5 35 LLWDD
14 Vasco da Gama 28 9 7 12 -6 34 WWWLW
15 Mirassol 29 8 9 12 -9 33 DWDWL
16 Corinthians 29 8 8 13 -4 32 LLLLL
17 Internacional 29 7 10 12 -5 31 WLWLL
18 Grêmio 29 7 9 13 -8 30 DDLLL
19 Remo 29 5 9 15 -15 24 DLLLL
20 Chapecoense 28 3 9 16 -28 18 LDLWL

Managers: Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

O. Hellmann
Athletico PRManagerO. Hellmann
E. Domínguez
Atlético MineiroManagerE. Domínguez

Match information: Athletico PR v Atlético Mineiro

Kick-off
·
Competition
Serie A
Round
Regular Season – 29
Venue
Arena da Baixada
City
Curitiba
Surface
grass
Capacity
43,981