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Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough

English Championship
Blackburn Rovers
2:1
Full time
Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough in English Championship ended 2:1. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Blackburn Rovers at 38.4% - the match finished 2:1, so the prediction was correct.
Model 1 · Blackburn Rovers X 2 · Middlesbrough Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 41.3% 28.1% 30.5% Home win · Blackburn Rovers ✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost) 38.4% 27.4% 34.2% Home win · Blackburn Rovers ✔ Correct
Data Providers 10.0% 45.0% 45.0% Away win · Middlesbrough ✘ Missed
Final score 2:1 Home win · Blackburn Rovers
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 3.57 on a Blackburn Rovers win, 3.38 on the draw and 2.04 on a Middlesbrough win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Blackburn Rovers win 3.57 3.80 Pinnacle 28% 38.4%
Draw 3.38 3.53 Pinnacle 29.6% 27.4%
Middlesbrough win 2.04 2.12 10Bet 49% 34.2%
Over 2.5 goals 1.96 2.04 Pinnacle 51% 45.4%
Under 2.5 goals 1.83 1.91 Bet365 54.6% 54.7%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.77 1.82 Superbet 56.5% 52.3%
Both teams to score - No 1.97 2.10 Betfair 50.8% 47.7%
Updated: 22.08.2026 14:41 · Average odds across 14 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough

  1. 12′J. Sarmiento · Goal (assist: M. Whittaker)
  2. 24′O. Afolayan · Yellow card
  3. 45+2′S. McLoughlin · Yellow card
  4. 49′A. Gudjohnsen · Goal (assist: H. Pickering)
  5. 55′T. Cantwell · Goal
  6. 58′S. Morsy · Yellow card
  7. 60′J. Sarmiento · Substitution (off: K. Joseph)
  8. 60′M. Peart-Harris · Substitution (off: R. McGree)
  9. 61′O. Afolayan · Substitution (off: J. Fevrier)
  10. 61′R. Morishita · Substitution (off: M. Jorgensen)
  11. 69′S. Morsy · Substitution (off: A. Forshaw)
  12. 69′A. Gudjohnsen · Substitution (off: Y. Ohashi)
  13. 76′T. Cantwell · Yellow card
  14. 77′S. Berhalter · Substitution (off: L. Castledine)
  15. 77′M. Arfsten · Substitution (off: Neto Borges)
  16. 80′T. Cantwell · Substitution (off: H. Carter)
  17. 90′W. Lankshear · Yellow card

Match statistics: Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough

Statistic Blackburn Rovers Middlesbrough
Possession 29% 71%
Shots on target 5 3
Total shots 6 22
Shots off target 1 7
Blocked shots 1 12
Corners 2 10
Fouls 10 10
Offsides 3 3
Yellow cards 4 1
Saves 2 2
Passes 271 646
Pass accuracy 74% 91%

Line-ups: Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 Ryan Alebiosu 6.6
  2. 3 Harry Pickering 7.2
  3. 6 Tom Atcheson 6.9
  4. 8 Sam Morsy 6.6
  5. 9 Andri Guðjohnsen 7.9
  6. 10 Todd Cantwell 7.7
  7. 15 Sean McLoughlin 6.6
  8. 21 Oladapo Afolayan 6.3
  9. 22 Balázs Tóth 8.3
  10. 25 Ryoya Morishita 6.3
  11. 31 Kristi Montgomery 6.9
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 Aynsley Pears
  2. 4 Yuri Ribeiro
  3. 5 Sidnei Tavares
  4. 11 Jayden Fevrier 6.3
  5. 17 Hayden Carter 6.6
  6. 23 Yuki Ohashi 6.7
  7. 28 Adam Forshaw 6.6
  8. 29 Mathias Jørgensen 6.3
  9. 30 Jake Garrett

Middlesbrough 4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1 Radek Vitek 6.7
  2. 2 Callum Brittain 6.2
  3. 6 Sebastian Berhalter 7.0
  4. 7 Will Lankshear 6.3
  5. 10 Aidan Morris 7.5
  6. 11 Morgan Whittaker 7.3
  7. 12 Luke Ayling 8.2
  8. 14 Myles Peart-Harris 7.2
  9. 16 Jeremy Sarmiento 7.7
  10. 17 Maximilian Arfsten 6.3
  11. 29 Adilson Malanda 6.3
Substitutes (9)
  1. 5 Alfie Jones
  2. 8 Riley McGree 6.3
  3. 19 Leo Castledine 6.5
  4. 22 Kyle Joseph 6.3
  5. 30 Neto Borges 6.6
  6. 31 Solomon Brynn
  7. 42 Abdoulaye Kanté
  8. 44 Cruz Ibeh
  9. 46 Finlay Cartwright

Form and head-to-head: Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough

Blackburn Rovers

WLLDL

Middlesbrough

WLWDW

Head-to-head – last 2 meetings

Blackburn Rovers wins: 0; draws: 2; Middlesbrough wins: 0.

Date Home Score Away Competition
Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Middlesbrough English Championship
Middlesbrough 0–0 Blackburn Rovers English Championship

English Championship standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts Form
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 +11 14 WWWWD
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 +6 14 WLDWW
3 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 +3 14 DWWDL
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 1 1 +4 13 WWDWL
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 +3 12 DDLWW
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 -1 12 DDLDW
7 Southampton 7 4 2 1 +10 10 WWDDW
8 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 +1 10 WLDDW
9 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 0 10 WDWWL
10 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 -1 10 LWWWD
11 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 0 9 LWWLW
12 Millwall 6 3 0 3 0 9 LWLLW
13 Sheffield United 6 2 3 1 0 9 WLWDD
14 Wolverhampton Wanderers 5 2 2 1 +3 8 DLWWD
15 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 0 8 WLLDL
16 Lincoln City 6 2 2 2 -1 8 WDDWL
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 -2 8 LWLLD
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 -1 7 DWLLW
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 -4 7 LDDWL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 -5 7 WLLLL
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 -4 4 LDLLD
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 -7 4 LLLWL
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 -7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 -8 3 LDLDL

Managers: Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough

T. Mowbray
Blackburn RoversManagerT. Mowbray
K. Hellberg
MiddlesbroughManagerK. Hellberg

Match information: Blackburn Rovers v Middlesbrough

Kick-off
·
Competition
English Championship
Round
2
Venue
Ewood Park
City
Blackburn
Surface
grass
Capacity
31,367