Middlesbrough v Norwich City in English Championship ended 4:3. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.
Prediction and probabilities: Middlesbrough v Norwich City
How the models performed
Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Home win · Middlesbrough at 41.6% - the match finished 4:3, so the prediction was correct.
Model
1 · Middlesbrough
X
2 · Norwich City
Prediction
Result
ELO + Poisson
43.6%
26.6%
29.8%
Home win · Middlesbrough
✔ Correct
Pro AI (XGBoost)
41.6%
21.2%
37.2%
Home win · Middlesbrough
✔ Correct
Final score
4:3
Home win · Middlesbrough
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology
Closing odds
Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.78 on a Middlesbrough win, 3.84 on the draw and 4.01 on a Norwich City win (closing odds).
Market
Avg odds
Best
Market %
Model %
Middlesbrough win
1.78
1.82Betano
56.2%
41.6%
Draw
3.84
4.00Dafabet
26%
21.2%
Norwich City win
4.01
4.30Dafabet
24.9%
37.2%
Over 2.5 goals
1.62
1.65Betano
61.7%
56.1%
Under 2.5 goals
2.26
2.32Betano
44.2%
43.9%
Both teams to score - Yes
1.56
1.57Marathonbet
64.1%
55%
Both teams to score - No
2.28
2.3510Bet
43.9%
45%
Updated: 08.09.2026 17:17 · Average odds across 11 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Match events: Middlesbrough v Norwich City
1′⚽Mohamed Toure · Goal
4′⚽Sebastian Berhalter · Goal (assist: Tommy Conway)
7′⚽Amario Cozier-Duberry · Goal (assist: Tommy Conway)
Match statistics: Middlesbrough v Norwich City
Statistic
Middlesbrough
Norwich City
Possession
48%
52%
Shots on target
2
2
Total shots
2
3
Shots off target
0
1
Corners
0
1
Fouls
0
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Saves
1
0
Passes
82
81
Line-ups: Middlesbrough v Norwich City
Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 R. Vítek 6.3
2 C. Brittain 6.4
5 A. Jones 6.7
6 S. Berhalter 7.5
7 W. Lankshear 6.5
8 R. McGree 6.2
9 T. Conway 7.7
10 A. Morris 6.2
11 A. Cozier-Duberry 7.5
29 A. Malanda 6.4
30 Neto Borges 5.9
Substitutes (9)
4 A. Phillips
12 L. Ayling
13 D. Strelec
14 M. Peart-Harris
16 J. Sarmiento
17 M. Arfsten
21 R. Pukštas
22 K. Joseph
31 S. Brynn
Norwich City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1 V. Kovačević 5.4
7 P. Mattsson 6.2
11 A. Brooks 6.4
14 B. Chrisene 5.8
15 Ruairi McConville 6.1
20 A. Ben Slimane 6.0
21 M. Touré 7.7
23 K. McLean 6.0
33 J. Córdoba 6.5
35 K. Fisher 5.7
49 A. Musaba 6.1
Substitutes (9)
3 J. Stacey
6 H. Darling
16 Jacob Wright
17 A. Crnac
24 J. Makama
25 P. Maghoma
26 S. Field
29 O. Schwartau
32 D. Grimshaw
Form and head-to-head: Middlesbrough v Norwich City
