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Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough

Carabao Cup
Crystal Palace
3:0
Full time
Middlesbrough

Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough in Carabao Cup ended 3:0. Here you will find the final score, the goals and goalscorers, every key moment of the match, the full statistics with xG and the video highlights. See the match prediction or browse the full fixture list.

Prediction and probabilities: Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough

How the models performed

Pro AI (XGBoost) predicted Away win · Middlesbrough at 49.6% - the match finished 3:0, so the prediction was wrong.
Model 1 · Crystal Palace X 2 · Middlesbrough Prediction Result
ELO + Poisson 31.1% 26.3% 42.7% Away win · Middlesbrough ✘ Missed
Pro AI (XGBoost) 26.7% 23.8% 49.6% Away win · Middlesbrough ✘ Missed
Data Providers 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% Home win · Crystal Palace ✔ Correct
Final score 3:0 Home win · Crystal Palace
Predictions are published before kick-off and are never edited afterwards. For information purposes only – not betting advice. 18+ · Methodology

Closing odds

Before kick-off the bookmakers were offering average odds of 1.71 on a Crystal Palace win, 3.88 on the draw and 4.46 on a Middlesbrough win (closing odds).
Market Avg odds Best Market % Model %
Crystal Palace win 1.71 1.76 1xBet 58.5% 26.7%
Draw 3.88 4.05 Marathonbet 25.8% 23.8%
Middlesbrough win 4.46 4.75 Bet365 22.4% 49.6%
Over 2.5 goals 1.60 1.62 Marathonbet 62.5% 52.7%
Under 2.5 goals 2.30 2.34 Marathonbet 43.5% 47.3%
Both teams to score - Yes 1.58 1.62 Bet365 63.3% 56.1%
Both teams to score - No 2.25 2.30 William Hill 44.4% 43.9%
Updated: 06.09.2026 13:24 · Average odds across 6 bookmakers. Informational data - not an invitation to bet and not advice. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Match events: Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough

  1. 37′Jörgen Strand Larsen · Goal (assist: Oscar Mingueza)
  2. 45′Sam Byram · Substitution (off: Neto Borges)
  3. 53′Jörgen Strand Larsen · Goal (assist: Ben Chilwell)
  4. 59′Dario Osorio · Substitution (off: Daichi Kamada)
  5. 59′Quinten Timber · Substitution (off: Adam Wharton)
  6. 65′A.Malanda · Yellow card
  7. 67′Tommy Conway · Substitution (off: Leo Castledine)
  8. 67′David Strelec · Substitution (off: will lankshear)
  9. 72′Daichi Kamada · Goal (assist: Jörgen Strand Larsen)
  10. 73′Jörgen Strand Larsen · Substitution (off: Zavier Gozo)
  11. 73′Yeremy Pino · Substitution (off: Dwight McNeil)
  12. 73′Axel Disasi · Substitution (off: Jefferson Lerma)
  13. 77′A.Malanda · Substitution (off: Ashley Phillips)
  14. 83′Myles Peart-Harris · Yellow card
  15. 84′Aidan Morris · Substitution (off: Rokas Pukstas)

Match statistics: Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough

Statistic Crystal Palace Middlesbrough
Possession 63% 37%
Shots on target 5 4
Total shots 8 16
Shots off target 1 6
Blocked shots 2 6
Corners 1 6
Fouls 10 11
Offsides 2 3
Yellow cards 0 2
Red cards 0 0
Saves 4 2
Passes 415 600

Line-ups: Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough

Crystal Palace 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 5 A. Disasi 7.4
  2. 10 Yeremy Pino 6.8
  3. 17 T. Tomiyasu 7.5
  4. 19 W. Hughes 6.9
  5. 21 H. Ahanor 7.6
  6. 22 J. Strand Larsen 9.6
  7. 23 Q. Timber 7.1
  8. 24 D. Osorio 6.9
  9. 30 Óscar Mingueza 7.7
  10. 33 B. Chilwell 7.7
  11. 44 W. Benítez 7.6
Substitutes (9)
  1. 3 T. Mitchell
  2. 8 J. Lerma 7.2
  3. 11 D. McNeil 6.6
  4. 12 Z. Gozo 6.6
  5. 18 D. Kamada 7.8
  6. 20 A. Wharton 6.8
  7. 25 A. Khalaili
  8. 29 E. Guessand
  9. 31 R. Matthews

Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 2 C. Brittain 7.0
  2. 3 S. Byram 6.2
  3. 5 A. Jones 6.0
  4. 9 T. Conway 6.4
  5. 10 A. Morris 7.0
  6. 11 A. Cozier-Duberry 6.3
  7. 12 L. Ayling 6.5
  8. 13 D. Strelec 6.3
  9. 14 M. Peart-Harris 5.7
  10. 29 A. Malanda 6.0
  11. 31 S. Brynn 5.5
Substitutes (9)
  1. 1 R. Vítek
  2. 4 A. Phillips 5.9
  3. 6 S. Berhalter
  4. 7 W. Lankshear 6.2
  5. 8 C. Barron
  6. 17 M. Arfsten
  7. 19 Leo Castledine 5.7
  8. 21 R. Pukštas 5.6
  9. 30 Neto Borges 5.9

Form and head-to-head: Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough

Crystal Palace

LWLLW

Middlesbrough

WWDWW

Carabao Cup standings

Standings are not available for this competition.

Managers: Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough

P. Sage
Crystal PalaceManagerP. Sage
K. Hellberg
MiddlesbroughManagerK. Hellberg

Match information: Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough

Kick-off
·
Competition
Carabao Cup
Round
Round of 32
City
London
Surface
grass
Capacity
25,456